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Jockey profile

Robert Kirk

206 rides in the lifetime window · 95 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2012 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
16–206
Wins / Runs
7.8%
Strike rate
n=206
45 (22%)
Placed
1.20
Fair A/E
n=205 · 1.03 incl. margin
−26.92
£1 level stake
n=206 at SP · −13.1%
£111k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.9%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.20). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (42 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 206 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 9.5%
The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=95, Fair A/E 0.78). The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (17.1%, n=35) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (15.2%, n=66). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 4.3% over 69 rides, 3.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.2%−3.6
n=95 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −42.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
22.2%+14.4
n=18 · A/E 1.96 · £1 +10.33
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.5%+1.7
n=42 · A/E 2.16 · £1 +3.50
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.8%+0.0
n=192 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −16.67
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.3%−2.5
n=57 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −20.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 17.1% vs 7.8% · n=35
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 15.2% vs 7.8% · n=66
In Chase races 13.6% vs 7.8% · n=44
On first rides for the horse 4.2% vs 7.8% · n=95
Off a 15-30-day break 4.3% vs 7.8% · n=69
Over 1m5f – 2m 4.9% vs 7.8% · n=82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 139 9 6.5% −19.00
Chase 44 6 13.6% +4.08
NH Flat 19 1 5.3% −8.00
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 81 6 7.4% −34.42
Good to Soft 49 5 10.2% +20.00
Soft 35 2 5.7% −3.00
Good to Firm 28 2 7.1% −2.00
Heavy 10 1 10% −4.50
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Hereford 17 1 5.9% −2.00
Stratford 15 1 6.7% +6.00
Ludlow 12 0 0% −12.00
Worcester 11 1 9.1% −7.00
Towcester 11 1 9.1% −2.50
Fontwell 11 1 9.1% +8.00
Uttoxeter 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Kempton 9 3 33.3% +10.00
Taunton 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Bangor-on-Dee 8 0 0% −8.00
Warwick 7 0 0% −7.00
Fakenham 7 2 28.6% +17.75
Market Rasen 7 0 0% −7.00
Wincanton 7 2 28.6% +25.00
Ffos Las 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 86 9 10.5% +11.33
Class 5 70 4 5.7% −31.25
Class 3 21 2 9.5% +11.00
Class 6 18 1 5.6% −7.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 33 6 18.2% 1.18 −4.92
4th–6th fav 59 6 10.2% 1.42 +26.00
7th+ in betting 109 4 3.7% 1.34 −43.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.3% completed · 183 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 44 77.3% 0 3 7 0 0
Hurdle 139 81.3% 3 4 18 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sun Quest (GB) 17 1 6 15 May 12
Roc De Guye (FR) 11 2 3 4 Jun 12
Jurado Express (IRE) 10 4 7 18 Apr 10
Heezagrey (IRE) 8 0 4 3 Aug 12
Gouranga (GB) 7 1 1 8 Sep 12
J'adhere (FR) 7 1 2 4 May 12
Tild'or Du Granit (FR) 6 0 0 26 Mar 11
Sparrow Hills (IRE) 5 2 3 22 Mar 11
Mexican Bob (GB) 4 1 2 20 Jun 12
Oscar Sierra (IRE) 4 1 1 5 Mar 12
Bond Cruz (GB) 4 0 0 19 Sep 10
Finnegan Paddy (IRE) 3 0 2 27 Mar 12
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 95 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1401756141760074
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardTim Vaughan
24% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 1.08
TrainerRWSR£1
Tim Vaughan 49 4 8.2% +13.00
James Evans 44 3 6.8% −15.25
Steven Dixon 34 3 8.8% +17.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
16
Archived wins
£111k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 6 wins
Sparrow Hills (IRE) — higos.co.uk Insurance Services Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Jan 2011 · Class 3
£6,505
Sparrow Hills (IRE) — Bathwick Tyres Dorchester Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Jan 2011 · Class 3
£4,879
Sun Quest (GB) — Colin 'derby' Rose / John Ireland Memorial Handicap Hurdle Fontwell · Mar 2010 · Class 4
£3,253
Notable horses
Jurado Express (IRE) Roc De Guye (FR) Sparrow Hills (IRE) Sun Quest (GB) Gouranga (GB) J'adhere (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Groom Dancer (USA) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 7% of 1,020 runs since 2008 (94 horses).
Video Rock (FR) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 12% of 661 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.8% from 170. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15% from 253.
Jurado (USA) 40% · 4–10
Progeny have won 13.5% of 185 runs since 2008 (20 horses).
Moscow Society (USA) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,521 runs since 2008 (255 horses).
Naheez (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7% of 457 runs since 2008 (55 horses).
Nikos (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 12.9% of 628 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17.7% from 130. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 147.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 206 · newest first

The latest 50 of 206 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2008 to 8 September 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Sep 12 Stratford Cheshire Prince (GB)T: Amy Downie Walls And Ceilings International Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 16.5f · Good · 14 ran UR 80/1
08 Sep 12 Stratford Putiacca Bella (FR)T: Tim Vaughan Sue And Steve White 25th Wedding Anniversary Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 20/1
08 Sep 12 Stratford Gouranga (GB)T: Tony Carroll Shakespeare Hospice Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 13 ran 10th 33/1
05 Sep 12 Hereford Tiger's Tileah (GB)T: Stephen Hughes Play Casino On Your Mobile At BetVictor.com Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 66/1
05 Sep 12 Hereford Wricksons Bridge (IRE)T: Nikki Evans hayonwyebooksellers.com Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 25/1
05 Sep 12 Hereford Regency Dreams (GB)T: Nikki Evans Talk To Victor Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 66/1
02 Sep 12 Newton Abbot Putiacca Bella (FR)T: Tim Vaughan totepool Mobile Text tote To 89660 Conditional Jockeys' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 28/1
27 Aug 12 Bangor-on-Dee Trackmate (GB)T: James Evans Betfair Commits 40 Million To British Racing Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 7/1
23 Aug 12 Ffos Las Regency Dreams (GB)T: Nikki Evans Yokohama Tyres Claiming HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 4th 33/1
03 Aug 12 Bangor-on-Dee Heezagrey (IRE)T: James Evans R W Hough Plasterers Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 20/1
21 Jul 12 Cartmel Postmaster (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 5/1
18 Jul 12 Uttoxeter Butler (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan John Crabbie's Cloudy Ginger Beer Conditional Jockeys' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 7/2
15 Jul 12 Stratford Piment D'Estruval (FR)T: Tim Vaughan Birmingham Mail 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 1st 20/1
20 Jun 12 Worcester Mexican Bob (GB)T: James Evans Follow Us On Twitter At WorcesterRaces Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 1st 3/1
19 Jun 12 Newton Abbot Indian Chase (GB)T: Dr Jeremy Naylor At The Races Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 100/1
04 Jun 12 Towcester Roc De Guye (FR)T: James Evans Nottingham International Casino Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 9/1
03 Jun 12 Fontwell Indian Chase (GB)T: Dr Jeremy Naylor Speedyfit Energy Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 40/1
31 May 12 Ffos Las Sensible And Fair (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Glyn Abbey Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 25/1
23 May 12 Worcester Heezagrey (IRE)T: James Evans Ladbrokes Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 8th 50/1
15 May 12 Wincanton Sun Quest (GB)T: Steven Dixon Terry Shergold Diamond Birthday Celebration Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Kirk's strike rate?
Robert Kirk has won 16 of 206 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Robert Kirk's Fair A/E?
1.20, from 205 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).