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Trainer profile

Nikki Evans

407 runners in the last 5 seasons · 57 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
16–407
Wins / Runs
3.9%
Strike rate
n=407
49 (12%)
Placed
0.90
Fair A/E
n=405 · 0.77 incl. margin
−233.05
£1 level stake
n=407 at SP · −57.3%
£144k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 407 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jun
The read

The record is strongest at Bath (8.2%, n=49), clear of the yard's 3.9% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=97, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −131.38 to a £1 stake over 165 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (12.9%, n=31) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (9.5%, n=63). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 61 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.00 across 51 runners (0% strike, −51.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Steel Rain (GB) — 7 wins from 42 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.9
n=97 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −97.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.9
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.9
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.3%+2.4
n=16 · A/E 2.19 · £1 −8.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.9
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
100%
n=2 · A/E 4.09 · £1 +5.45
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.4%−1.5
n=165 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −131.38

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 12.9% vs 3.9% · n=31
With C&D winners 10.4% vs 3.9% · n=48
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 9.5% vs 3.9% · n=63
At Bath 8.2% vs 3.9% · n=49
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 3.9% · n=61
Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 3.9% · n=51
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 254 13 5.1% −98.55
Hurdle 95 1 1.1% −90.00
Chase 51 2 3.9% −37.50
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 139 7 5% −41.50
Standard (AW) 115 5 4.3% −71.17
Good to Soft 47 1 2.1% −42.00
Soft 46 1 2.2% −42.88
Good to Firm 35 1 2.9% −27.50
Heavy 18 0 0% −18.00
Firm 7 1 14.3% +10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 98 5 5.1% −54.17
Ffos Las 68 4 5.9% −27.50
Bath 49 4 8.2% +24.00
Chepstow 41 1 2.4% −37.88
Hereford 26 0 0% −26.00
Ludlow 15 0 0% −15.00
Leicester 13 0 0% −13.00
Stratford 13 1 7.7% −4.00
Worcester 12 0 0% −12.00
Southwell (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Windsor 6 0 0% −6.00
Uttoxeter 6 0 0% −6.00
Warwick 5 0 0% −5.00
Kempton (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Fontwell 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 191 12 6.3% −50.55
Class 5 138 3 2.2% −119.50
Class 4 67 1 1.5% −52.00
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 3 75% 3.45 +7.95
2nd–3rd fav 35 3 8.6% 0.56 −18.50
4th–6th fav 106 6 5.7% 0.99 −48.50
7th+ in betting 262 4 1.5% 0.73 −174.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Virtual Hug (IRE)from Conor O'Dwyer 44 5 13 13 Sep 26
Angel's Call (IRE) 24 2 5 21 Sep 26
Dancing Dani (IRE) 21 0 3 19 Dec 24
More Than Likely (GB)from Richard Hughes 21 3 4 29 Jul 24
Reign Suepreme (IRE) 18 1 4 15 May 24
Wood Farm Wag (GB) 18 0 0 6 May 24
Not Just Yet (IRE)from Daniel James Murphy 16 0 3 14 Sep 25
Sofian (IRE) 15 1 2 21 Aug 26
Spiritus Mundi (IRE)from John Queally 12 0 1 9 May 24
Ocean's Of Money (IRE)from Liz Doyle 11 0 0 4 Jan 24
Pomeriggio (IRE)from Peter Fahey 10 0 1 4 Aug 26
Howdy Partner (IRE)from John Joseph Hanlon 10 0 1 30 May 24
All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 57 horses listed, 36 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James Joseph Mangan (3) and Ann Duffield (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
032687260440
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane Quinlan
11% of all rides
4.4% SR · A/E 0.82
RiderRWSR£1
Shane Quinlan 45 2 4.4% −31.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
50
Archived wins
£412k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Late Shipment (GB) — 188bet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Mar 2017 · Class 4
£6,498
Angel's Call (IRE) — Get Raceday Ready Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Wolverhampton (AW) · Apr 2024 · Class 4
£5,670
Sue Be It (IRE) — racinguk.com/freetrial Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Div 1) Stratford · Jun 2018 · Class 4
£5,458
Notable horses
Steel Rain (GB) Virtual Hug (IRE) Late Shipment (GB) Duneen Dream (USA) More Than Likely (GB) Turnbury (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Buratino (IRE) 11.4% · 5–44
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,878 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118.
Soldier's Call (GB) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,098 runs since 2008 (215 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.1% from 198. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 243.
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,787 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Coach House (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,476 runs since 2008 (145 horses).
Imperial Monarch (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,584 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Stowaway (GB) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,790 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,790 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 January 2005 to 11 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Oct 26 Chepstow Kates Choice (IRE)J: Ben Poste Dragonbet Daily Extra Place Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 20/1
27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Naval Ensign (IRE)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 80/1
21 Sep 26 Ffos Las City Escape (IRE)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Dandara Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 20/1
21 Sep 26 Ffos Las Angel's Call (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill RHN Travel Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 4/1
21 Sep 26 Ffos Las Angelica Teach (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill BETTING.BET New Betting Sites/EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 125/1
13 Sep 26 Bath Virtual Hug (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Loud Hire Staging Hire Bath Summer Stayers' Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 14f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 40/1
12 Sep 26 Bath Angel's Call (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 12/1
31 Aug 26 Chepstow Angel's Call (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Runtech Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 13/2
29 Aug 26 Chepstow City Escape (IRE)J: Alfie Redman Download The At The Races App Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 7/1
21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Virtual Hug (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Ascona Ladies Race Day Elegance Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 6th 5/1
21 Aug 26 Ffos Las City Escape (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Ascona Fabulous Ladies Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 1st 12/1
21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Sofian (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Ascona Ladies Chic Fashion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 22/1
12 Aug 26 Ffos Las Angel's Call (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Dandara Homes Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/1
04 Aug 26 Ffos Las Pomeriggio (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Dandara Homes Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 8th 150/1
04 Aug 26 Ffos Las Sofian (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7.5f · Good · 9 ran RR 6/1
28 Jul 26 Ffos Las Virtual Hug (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Alan Bennett Racing/Keith Davies Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 12f · Good · 9 ran 4th 22/1
28 Jul 26 Ffos Las Sofian (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh DragonBet/Martin Davies Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 12/1
24 Jul 26 Chepstow City Escape (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Weir Mechanical Solutions Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 9/2
04 Jul 26 Leicester City Escape (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Rich And Carr Solicitors HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 18/1
01 Jul 26 Bath Naval Ensign (IRE)J: Ben Ffrench Davis MJ Church HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Firm · 7 ran 6th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nikki Evans's strike rate?
Nikki Evans has won 16 of 407 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nikki Evans do best at?
Bath by strike rate: 4 wins from 49 runners (8.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Nikki Evans in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nikki Evans's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 405 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).