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Jockey profile

Robert Williams

860 rides in the lifetime window · 189 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2024 91% of rides over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
68–860
Wins / Runs
7.9%
Strike rate
n=860
228 (27%)
Placed
0.94
n=857 · 0.81 incl. margin
−267.29
£1 level stake
n=860 at SP · −31.1%
£477k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (81 rides). Rides mostly for Bernard Llewellyn — 76% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 860 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 24.2% when favourite Bernard Llewellyn: 8.7% from 654 LTO winners: 11.1% Claiming: 8% Rides the favourite in 4% of races
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.1% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.76), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=149, Fair A/E 0.56). Bernard Llewellyn supplies 76% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.95). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20%, n=40) and in Flat races (13.5%, n=74). The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 1.9% over 105 rides, 6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.45 across 77 rides (2.6% strike, −51.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Borak (IRE) — 5 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.3%−1.6
n=189 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −59.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.1%+3.2
n=81 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −42.38
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.4%−4.5
n=149 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −76.50
When favourite
24.2%
n=33 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −8.24
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8%+0.1
n=817 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −246.29
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.9%−3.0
n=103 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −48.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 20% vs 7.9% · n=40
Over 2m5f – 3m 1.9% vs 7.9% · n=105
In Flat races 13.5% vs 7.9% · n=74
Off a break of 180+ days 2.6% vs 7.9% · n=77
With Nikki Evans 3% vs 7.9% · n=100
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 12.8% vs 7.9% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 669 54 8.1% −174.29
Chase 88 4 4.5% −69.00
Flat 74 10 13.5% +5.00
NH Flat 29 0 0% −29.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 275 28 10.2% −22.80
Soft 181 11 6.1% −74.05
Good to Soft 164 14 8.5% −42.38
Heavy 122 5 4.1% −99.56
Good to Firm 98 7 7.1% −39.25
Standard (AW) 13 1 7.7% +0.00
Firm 7 2 28.6% +10.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ffos Las 141 11 7.8% −55.86
Chepstow 129 9 7% −51.25
Newton Abbot 81 7 8.6% −9.75
Hereford 53 5 9.4% −23.17
Uttoxeter 49 4 8.2% −31.88
Taunton 42 2 4.8% −17.00
Stratford 36 2 5.6% −20.00
Ludlow 32 2 6.3% +1.00
Exeter 30 2 6.7% −6.00
Worcester 25 2 8% −6.50
Wincanton 25 3 12% +7.00
Leicester 23 1 4.3% −18.50
Bangor-on-Dee 19 1 5.3% −16.00
Fontwell 18 2 11.1% −8.00
Plumpton 17 5 29.4% +20.37

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 334 28 8.4% −109.81
Class 4 332 22 6.6% −112.48
Class 3 116 12 10.3% −20.75
Class 6 55 6 10.9% −1.25
Class 2 19 0 0% −19.00
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 41 10 24.4% 0.98 −5.74
2nd–3rd fav 185 28 15.1% 0.97 −18.55
4th–6th fav 287 24 8.4% 1.07 −8.00
7th+ in betting 347 6 1.7% 0.56 −235.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89% completed · 757 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 88 75% 4 2 15 0 1
Hurdle 669 90.9% 10 8 40 2 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Taste The Wine (IRE) 40 4 14 31 May 18
James Pollard (IRE) 29 4 9 28 Nov 13
Hansupfordetroit (IRE) 25 1 10 5 Mar 19
Arty Campbell (IRE) 23 2 10 12 Oct 21
Global Thrill (GB) 23 1 5 8 May 19
Borak (IRE) 22 5 9 23 Apr 21
Fuzzy Logic (IRE) 20 4 7 15 Jun 17
Acapulco Bay (GB) 20 3 8 24 Mar 16
Captain Sharpe (GB) 20 1 6 23 Feb 14
Going Nowhere Fast (IRE) 17 3 5 10 Jul 16
Flanagans Field (IRE) 16 0 6 10 Mar 21
Nabhan (GB) 16 1 6 27 Oct 19
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 189 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
079714134920554
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
76% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.95
TrainerRWSR£1
Bernard Llewellyn 654 57 8.7% −144.74
Nikki Evans 100 3 3% −60.50
Dai Burchell 35 4 11.4% −13.88
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
68
Archived wins
£477k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 15 wins
Borak (IRE) — Invest Southwest 'Confined' Handicap Hurdle Taunton · Oct 2019 · Class 3
£7,733
Borak (IRE) — Janet & Ken Wilcox Diamond Wedding Celebration Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Oct 2018 · Class 4
£6,498
Never Equalled (IRE) — Porsche Cardiff Handicap Hurdle Ffos Las · Mar 2017 · Class 3
£6,498

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 14% · 6–43
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,496 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Verglas (IRE) 10% · 4–40
Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).
Indian Ridge (IRE) 16.1% · 5–31
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,484 runs since 2008 (142 horses).
Tobougg (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).
Zagreb (USA) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,455 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Big Shuffle (USA) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (134 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 860 · newest first

The latest 50 of 860 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 July 2010 to 24 May 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Williams's strike rate?
Robert Williams has won 68 of 860 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert Williams do best at?
Hereford by strike rate: 5 wins from 53 rides (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robert Williams ride most for?
Bernard Llewellyn, with 654 rides since 2008 — 76% of the total. That pairing has won 57 (8.7%).
What is Robert Williams's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 857 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).