Robert Williams
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (81 rides). Rides mostly for Bernard Llewellyn — 76% of rides in the window.
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.1% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.76), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=149, Fair A/E 0.56). Bernard Llewellyn supplies 76% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.95). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20%, n=40) and in Flat races (13.5%, n=74). The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 1.9% over 105 rides, 6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.45 across 77 rides (2.6% strike, −51.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Borak (IRE) — 5 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 860 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 860 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 July 2010 to 24 May 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Robert Williams's strike rate?
- Robert Williams has won 68 of 860 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Robert Williams do best at?
- Hereford by strike rate: 5 wins from 53 rides (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Robert Williams ride most for?
- Bernard Llewellyn, with 654 rides since 2008 — 76% of the total. That pairing has won 57 (8.7%).
- What is Robert Williams's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 857 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.