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Trainer profile

Bernard Llewellyn

661 runners in the last 5 seasons · 54 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
46–661
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=661
158 (24%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=655 · 0.69 incl. margin
−247.01
£1 level stake
n=661 at SP · −37.4%
£509k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 661 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Jordan Williams: 6.2% from 97
The read

It is weakest at Bath (0% over 39 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0.9% (n=106, Fair A/E 0.23). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −113.89 to a £1 stake over 381 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jordan Williams rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.2%, A/E 0.86). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 40 runners, 7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.31 across 66 runners (1.5% strike, −25.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Arty Campbell (IRE) — 9 wins from 84 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.9%−6.1
n=106 · A/E 0.23 · £1 −65.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.7%−2.3
n=43 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
2.4%−4.6
n=41 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −32.50
When favourite
33.3%
n=27 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −4.01
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.8%−0.2
n=381 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −113.89
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 13.7% vs 7% · n=102
With David Probert 14.3% vs 7% · n=35
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 7% · n=40
At Bath 0% vs 7% · n=39
With Ben Jones 13.9% vs 7% · n=36
Off a 61-180-day break 1.5% vs 7% · n=66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 448 33 7.4% −137.51
Hurdle 197 12 6.1% −98.00
Chase 14 1 7.1% −9.50
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 174 13 7.5% −83.87
Good to Soft 140 9 6.4% −65.50
Standard (AW) 125 7 5.6% −16.75
Soft 106 7 6.6% −26.62
Heavy 77 7 9.1% −24.27
Good to Firm 38 3 7.9% −29.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ffos Las 182 16 8.8% −76.39
Chepstow 82 7 8.5% −21.75
Wolverhampton (AW) 67 5 7.5% −3.75
Bath 39 0 0% −39.00
Newton Abbot 26 5 19.2% +27.00
Chester 24 3 12.5% +24.50
Lingfield (AW) 20 1 5% +21.00
Kempton (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00
Hereford 17 0 0% −17.00
Doncaster 15 0 0% −15.00
Southwell (AW) 14 1 7.1% −10.00
Taunton 14 0 0% −14.00
Windsor 12 0 0% −12.00
Uttoxeter 12 1 8.3% −7.00
Leicester 12 1 8.3% −3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 282 25 8.9% −43.76
Class 5 217 14 6.5% −90.50
Class 4 106 5 4.7% −73.25
Class 3 41 2 4.9% −24.50
Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 11 31.4% 1.10 −5.01
2nd–3rd fav 119 15 12.6% 0.73 −37.00
4th–6th fav 252 14 5.6% 0.73 −88.00
7th+ in betting 255 6 2.4% 0.81 −117.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Zambezi Magic (GB)from Clive Cox 45 8 12 8 Oct 26
King of The Dance (IRE)from Eve Johnson Houghton 40 3 15 6 Oct 26
Zambezi Fix (FR)from Gordon Elliott 34 3 10 3 Jun 26
Cogital (GB)from Amanda Perrett 33 5 11 28 Sep 26
Change Of Fortune (GB)from Henry Candy 33 1 4 12 Aug 26
Scarfo (IRE)from John & Sean Quinn 31 1 10 6 Oct 26
Triple Nickle (IRE)from J A Stack 31 1 11 9 Jun 25
Good Impression (GB)from Dai Burchell 29 4 9 16 Apr 25
Port Or Starboard (IRE)from E J O'Neill 25 1 9 25 Feb 26
Beaune (IRE)from Eamonn O'Connell 23 3 10 6 Oct 26
Adrian (GER)from Henk Grewe 23 0 4 21 Sep 26
Mind Hunter (GB)from Richard Hannon 23 1 5 13 Jun 26
All 54 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 54 horses listed, 50 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dai Burchell (4) and Richard Hannon (3); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
064116118813433
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJordan Williams
15% of all rides
6.2% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
Jordan Williams 97 6 6.2% −43.00
Miss Jessica Llewellyn 55 4 7.3% +11.25
Robert Williams 39 4 10.3% −8.00
Ben Jones 36 5 13.9% −7.50
David Probert 35 5 14.3% +2.25
Aidan Keeley 35 3 8.6% −18.27
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
283
Archived wins
£2.01m
Prize money
2011
Best season · 28 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kashgar (GB) — Royal Sussex Regiment Handicap Goodwood · Sep 2014 · Class 2
£12,938
Salontyre (GER) — Exeter Hurdle (Limited Handicap) Exeter · Dec 2010 · Class 2
£12,524
Marengo (GB) — Crabbie's Handicap Chester · Jun 2016 · Class 4
£7,781
Notable horses
Arty Campbell (IRE) Cogital (GB) Taste The Wine (IRE) James Pollard (IRE) Zambezi Magic (GB) King's Masque (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Zoffany (IRE) 17.8% · 8–45
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,761 runs since 2008 (799 horses).
Havana Gold (IRE) 7.5% · 3–40
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,049 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 522. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 14.3% · 5–35
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,816 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Zambezi Sun (GB) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 9.1% of 964 runs since 2008 (119 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.9% from 171. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.3% from 133.
Cityscape (GB) 3% · 1–33
Progeny have won 9% of 2,989 runs since 2008 (213 horses).
So You Think (NZ) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,151 runs since 2008 (108 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 131.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,546 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,546 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Port Louis (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 18/1
19 Oct 26 Bath Pebble Dash (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 17/2
19 Oct 26 Bath She's Ideal (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 16/1
19 Oct 26 Bath Georg Zhukov (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 9/2
08 Oct 26 Bath Zambezi Magic (GB)J: Charlie Tucker Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 4th 5/1
08 Oct 26 Bath She's Ideal (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 7th 18/1
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Beaune (IRE)J: Miss Jessica Llewellyn bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 7/2
06 Oct 26 Brighton Scarfo (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 3/1J
06 Oct 26 Brighton King of The Dance (IRE)J: Isobelle Chalmers Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 3/1J
02 Oct 26 Ascot Shipshape (IRE)J: Isobelle Chalmers Melbourne Cup Carnival Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 6/1
02 Oct 26 Ascot Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE)J: Mr Louis Burke Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Male Amateur Riders)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 11th 25/1
28 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Cogital (GB)J: Harry Atkins Final Furlong Before "i Do" Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 5th 6/1
27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Georg Zhukov (IRE)J: Miss Amy Milburn Bridge Llangennech Open Daily Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 10f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 3/1
27 Sep 26 Ffos Las King of The Dance (IRE)J: David Probert Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 13/2
27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 4/1
27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Scarfo (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/1
27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Pebble Dash (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 11/1
27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Time Glory (IRE)J: David Probert Celebrate In Style At The Bridge Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7.5f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 40/1
21 Sep 26 Ffos Las Adrian (GER)J: Toby Moore Dandara Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 11/1
21 Sep 26 Ffos Las Mick The Hat (IRE)J: Isobelle Chalmers Dandara Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Bernard Llewellyn's strike rate?
Bernard Llewellyn has won 46 of 661 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bernard Llewellyn do best at?
Ffos Las by strike rate: 16 wins from 182 runners (8.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Bernard Llewellyn?
Jordan Williams, with 97 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.2%).
Is Bernard Llewellyn in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Bernard Llewellyn's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 655 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).