No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.6
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.6
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle3013.3%−7.00
Chase700%−7.00
NH Flat200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm1317.7%+10.00
Good1200%−12.00
Good to Soft600%−6.00
Heavy400%−4.00
Soft400%−4.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot7114.3%+16.00
Chepstow500%−5.00
Worcester400%−4.00
Ffos Las400%−4.00
Hereford400%−4.00
Uttoxeter300%−3.00
Wincanton300%−3.00
Stratford200%−2.00
Taunton200%−2.00
Ludlow200%−2.00
Southwell100%−1.00
Exeter100%−1.00
Huntingdon100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 51815.6%+5.00
Class 41700%−17.00
Class 3300%−3.00
Class 6100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite100%0.00−1.00
2nd–3rd fav200%0.00−2.00
4th–6th fav8112.5%2.01+15.00
7th+ in betting2800%0.00−28.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f1516.7%+8.00
2m5f – 3m1200%−12.00
1m5f – 2m1100%−11.00
Over 3m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20096116.7%+17.00
2010800%−8.00
20111000%−10.00
2012900%−9.00
2013500%−5.00
2014100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2500%−25.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners1500%−15.00
8-10 runners1417.1%+9.00
14-16 runners900%−9.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 11 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 2 had their first archived run for this yard.
1 has since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000250000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mouseen (IRE) — Bet Totepool At totesport.com Conditional Jockeys' Maiden Hurdle Newton Abbot · Aug 2009 · Class 5
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Grape Tree Road (GB)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,125 runs since 2008 (142 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 109. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.1% from 264. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.7% from 322.
Topanoora (IRE)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.8% of 719 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 126. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.4% from 210.
Bertolini (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Supreme Leader (GB)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Progeny have won 7.8% of 422 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 77 · newest first
The latest 50 of 77 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 April 2005 to 1 May 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Lisa Day's strike rate?
Lisa Day has won 1 of 39 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Lisa Day's Fair A/E?
0.62, from 39 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Lisa Day·SR 2.6%·A/E 0.62
KTB
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