What is Keith Goldsworthy's strike rate?

Keith Goldsworthy has won 66 of 695 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Keith Goldsworthy do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 9 wins from 44 runners (20.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Keith Goldsworthy?

Rhys Flint, with 104 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (9.6%).

What is Keith Goldsworthy's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 694 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Keith Goldsworthy

695 runners in the lifetime window · 71 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2014 92% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

66–695

Wins / Runs

9.5%

Strike rate

n=695

206 (30%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=694 · 0.76 incl. margin

−65.39

£1 level stake

n=695 at SP · −9.4%

£556k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 695 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Apr–Jun 38.6% when favourite Rhys Flint: 9.6% from 104 Sent off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Stratford (20.5%, n=44), Ludlow (19.6%, n=46) and Chepstow (16.7%, n=42) — all clear of the yard's 9.5% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.36). Rhys Flint rode 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 0.87). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 53 runners, 9.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Hills Of Aran (GB) — 8 wins from 60 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.2%−4.3

n=96 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −58.42

New recruits · first run for the yard

14.3%+4.8

n=21 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +8.33

Debutants · first career start

9.8%+0.3

n=41 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +8.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−5.9

n=28 · A/E 0.56 · £1 +6.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.2%−6.3

n=31 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −23.00

When favourite

38.6%

n=57 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −6.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.3%−0.2

n=194 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +106.74

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.5

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With A P McCoy 26.8% vs 9.5% · n=56

At Stratford 20.5% vs 9.5% · n=44

At Ludlow 19.6% vs 9.5% · n=46

In Class 1 0% vs 9.5% · n=53

At Chepstow 16.7% vs 9.5% · n=42

With Jamie Moore 3.2% vs 9.5% · n=63

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 382 35 9.2% +12.73

Chase 161 17 10.6% −40.16

NH Flat 95 11 11.6% +0.66

Flat 57 3 5.3% −38.62

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 252 24 9.5% +35.43

Good to Firm 127 17 13.4% −42.24

Good to Soft 125 12 9.6% +55.75

Soft 118 10 8.5% −66.58

Heavy 37 3 8.1% −11.75

Standard (AW) 27 0 0% −27.00

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 147 12 8.2% −20.25

Worcester 56 5 8.9% −35.01

Ludlow 46 9 19.6% +158.17

Stratford 44 9 20.5% +20.96

Chepstow 42 7 16.7% −6.87

Fontwell 41 3 7.3% −23.75

Newton Abbot 40 4 10% +8.62

Hereford 34 2 5.9% −25.00

Cheltenham 29 1 3.4% −18.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 24 0 0% −24.00

Exeter 22 1 4.5% +12.00

Newbury 20 0 0% −20.00

Wincanton 19 1 5.3% −16.62

Taunton 15 1 6.7% −6.00

Kempton 13 1 7.7% −9.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 271 29 10.7% −4.55

Class 5 142 10 7% −18.88

Class 3 113 11 9.7% +15.25

Class 6 90 12 13.3% −5.46

Class 1 53 0 0% −53.00

Class 2 25 4 16% +2.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 70 23 32.9% 1.01 −17.01

2nd–3rd fav 153 17 11.1% 0.69 −59.88

4th–6th fav 254 19 7.5% 0.95 +15.50

7th+ in betting 218 7 3.2% 0.95 −4.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.5% completed · 543 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 161 70.8% 7 8 30 1 1

Hurdle 382 87.4% 13 3 30 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

William Hogarth (GB)from A P O'Brien · then Brian Ellison 48 3 12 5 May 14

Hills Of Aran (GB)from A P O'Brien 38 6 11 27 Jul 12

Alesandro Mantegna (IRE)from Charlie Longsdon 31 2 12 21 Dec 11

Bolton Hall (IRE)from Richard Fahey 31 3 11 28 Jan 11

Bob Casey (IRE) 24 0 5 6 Oct 12

Hold Em (IRE) 23 4 9 1 Jan 10

Silver Blue (IRE)from Conor Dore 23 3 6 7 Oct 09

Crannaghmore Boy (IRE)then Jim Best 21 3 7 24 Jul 13

Street Dance (IRE)from Don Cantillon 21 2 6 2 May 13

Putney Bridge (GB)from Peter Bowen 20 6 8 25 Oct 12

Prescelli (IRE) 20 4 6 9 Feb 11

Tenby Jewel (IRE)then Mark Gillard 19 1 6 26 Dec 12

The 60 most-raced of 71 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A P O'Brien (2) and Don Cantillon (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

29 have since run for another yard, most often for Peter Bowen (3) and Sophie Leech (3); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

38101213148153957

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRhys Flint

15% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 0.87

RiderRWSR£1

Rhys Flint 104 10 9.6% −28.38

Jamie Moore 63 2 3.2% −34.00

Tom O'Brien 62 8 12.9% −26.96

A P McCoy 56 15 26.8% +10.82

Richard Johnson 55 4 7.3% −17.25

Timmy Murphy 31 3 9.7% −20.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£728k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 20 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hills Of Aran (GB) — Dandennis at equestrianfencing.com Handicap Hurdle Fontwell · Mar 2009 · Class 2

£21,777

Hills Of Aran (GB) — Unicoin Homes Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Jan 2008 · Class 2

£16,910

Hills Of Aran (GB) — Pertemps Handicap Hurdle (qualifier) Chepstow · Oct 2008 · Class 2

£14,575

Notable horses

Hills Of Aran (GB) Hold Em (IRE) Putney Bridge (GB) Cresswell Willow (IRE) Prescelli (IRE) William Hogarth (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sadler's Wells (USA) 13% · 7–54

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.

High Chaparral (IRE) 6.3% · 3–48

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

Pilsudski (IRE) 10% · 4–40

Progeny have won 6.3% of 605 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.5% from 199. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 209.

Moscow Society (USA) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,521 runs since 2008 (255 horses).

Imperial Ballet (IRE) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,342 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 150.

Peintre Celebre (USA) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,836 runs since 2008 (311 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.3% from 734. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 291.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 944 · newest first

The latest 50 of 944 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 7 July 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Jul 14 Newton Abbot Caldey (GB)J: Tom O'Brien North Devon Hospice Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 8 ran F 20/1

17 Jun 14 Stratford Caldey (GB)J: Jamie Moore Ijf Text 70800 To Donate 5 Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 6th 25/1

05 May 14 Ffos Las William Hogarth (GB)J: Jamie Moore Centerplate UK Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/2

05 May 14 Ffos Las Caldey (GB)J: Tom O'Brien Three Rivers Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 6th 50/1

23 Apr 14 Taunton Caldey (GB)J: A P McCoy Bathwick Tyres Salisbury Mares' Standard Open National Hunt Flat RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 14/1

04 Apr 14 Wolverhampton (AW) William Hogarth (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt 32red Burning Desire Slot HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 15/2

19 Mar 14 Warwick Caldey (GB)J: Jack Doyle Executive Hire Show Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 50/1

28 Dec 13 Chepstow Caldey (GB)J: Jamie Moore Coral Backing 'Macmillan Cancer Support' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 11 ran 11th 66/1

16 Dec 13 Ffos Las Caldey (GB)J: Jason Maguire Three Rivers 'Newcomers' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 14/1

24 Jul 13 Worcester William Hogarth (GB)J: Richard Johnson Compare Bookies Free Bets At bookmakers.co.uk Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 14/1

24 Jul 13 Worcester Crannaghmore Boy (IRE)J: A P McCoy Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran F 5/2F

10 Jul 13 Worcester Crannaghmore Boy (IRE)J: Tom O'Brien Local Parking Securities Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 14/1

03 Jul 13 Worcester Crannaghmore Boy (IRE)J: Jamie Moore Martin Nix Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 15/2

14 Jun 13 Chepstow William Hogarth (GB)J: Cathy Gannon Bathwick Tyres HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 33/1

06 Jun 13 Ffos Las William Hogarth (GB)J: Robert Williams Yokohama Tyres Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

06 Jun 13 Ffos Las Crannaghmore Boy (IRE)J: Jamie Moore At The Races Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 7th 33/1

03 Jun 13 Chepstow William Hogarth (GB)J: Cathy Gannon Bathwick Tyres Bridgend Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 20/1

01 Jun 13 Worcester More Glory (IRE)J: Jamie Moore Tramps & Velvet Nightclub Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 40/1

01 Jun 13 Worcester Sir Benfro (GB)J: Jamie Moore A & A Racing Oncourse Bookmakers Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 16 ran 13th 20/1

29 May 13 Fontwell Crannaghmore Boy (IRE)J: Jamie Moore 32RedBet.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 6th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Keith Goldsworthy's strike rate?: Keith Goldsworthy has won 66 of 695 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Keith Goldsworthy do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 9 wins from 44 runners (20.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Keith Goldsworthy?: Rhys Flint, with 104 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (9.6%).
What is Keith Goldsworthy's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 694 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.