What is Sophie Ralston's strike rate?

Sophie Ralston has won 31 of 506 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sophie Ralston do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 55 rides (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Sophie Ralston ride most for?

Dean Ivory, with 152 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (8.6%).

What is Sophie Ralston's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 506 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Sophie Ralston

506 rides in the lifetime window · 203 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2021 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

31–506

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=506

104 (21%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=506 · 0.78 incl. margin

−176.04

£1 level stake

n=506 at SP · −34.8%

£282k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (33 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 506 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun Dean Ivory: 8.6% from 152 LTO winners: 18.2%

The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford City (AW) (10.9%, n=55), clear of the rider's 6.1% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (1.5% over 66 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.2% (n=33, Fair A/E 1.03), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=69, Fair A/E 0.31). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −28.00 to a £1 stake over 203 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Dean Ivory supplied 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.6% vs 6.1%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (10%, n=50). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 30 rides, 6.1pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Oeil De Tigre (FR) — 5 wins from 10 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.4%−1.7

n=203 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −28.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.2%+12.1

n=33 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −9.54

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4%−2.1

n=75 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −46.50

When favourite

36.8%

n=19 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +2.96

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.1%+0.0

n=495 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −170.54

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.4%−4.7

n=69 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −56.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.2% vs 6.1% · n=33

With Tony Carroll 13.6% vs 6.1% · n=66

Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 6.1% · n=30

At Kempton (AW) 1.5% vs 6.1% · n=66

At Chelmsford City (AW) 10.9% vs 6.1% · n=55

Off a 0-7-day break 10% vs 6.1% · n=50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 238 13 5.5% −117.62

Good to Firm 122 10 8.2% +44.33

Good 57 4 7% −35.75

Good to Soft 33 1 3% −30.00

Soft 29 1 3.4% −20.00

Firm 19 1 5.3% −16.00

Heavy 8 1 12.5% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 66 1 1.5% −62.50

Lingfield (AW) 61 3 4.9% −36.50

Chelmsford City (AW) 55 6 10.9% +4.88

Bath 45 3 6.7% +66.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 45 3 6.7% −12.50

Brighton 35 2 5.7% −25.00

Windsor 29 3 10.3% −8.00

Lingfield 26 0 0% −26.00

Yarmouth 18 1 5.6% −12.50

Chepstow 16 1 6.3% −7.50

Epsom 13 0 0% −13.00

Goodwood 9 3 33.3% −0.92

Nottingham 9 1 11.1% −2.00

Salisbury 8 0 0% −8.00

Newbury 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 252 14 5.6% −40.00

Class 5 173 13 7.5% −72.75

Class 4 42 3 7.1% −28.79

Class 2 16 1 6.3% −11.50

Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 7 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 25 8 32% 1.21 +1.46

2nd–3rd fav 63 8 12.7% 0.83 −18.50

4th–6th fav 124 8 6.5% 0.86 −63.00

7th+ in betting 294 7 2.4% 0.85 −96.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Essaka (IRE) 33 3 15 3 Nov 21

Nezar (IRE) 21 2 5 29 Sep 21

Nicky Baby (IRE) 16 1 4 14 Apr 21

Kerrera (GB) 15 1 3 15 Aug 21

Laurentia (IRE) 13 2 3 14 Jul 21

Point Of Woods (GB) 12 2 3 4 Aug 20

Valentine Mist (IRE) 10 1 3 19 Aug 20

Narjes (GB) 10 1 5 31 Oct 19

Oeil De Tigre (FR) 10 5 7 24 Aug 18

Soaring Spirits (IRE) 9 0 1 13 Jul 21

Tropics (USA) 8 1 3 4 Feb 21

Highway Robbery (GB) 7 1 3 14 Sep 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 203 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

215010911672440

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDean Ivory

30% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.15

TrainerRWSR£1

Dean Ivory 152 13 8.6% −25.62

Tony Carroll 66 9 13.6% −20.92

Pat Phelan 64 2 3.1% −51.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£282k

Prize money

2019

Best season · 10 wins

Tropics (USA) — Bet totetrifecta At totesport.com Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jun 2019 · Class 2

£16,173

Oeil De Tigre (FR) — Hospital Innovations Ltd Support Nspcc Handicap Goodwood · Jun 2018 · Class 4

£6,728

Oeil De Tigre (FR) — Silk Series Lady Riders' Handicap Chepstow · Jul 2017 · Class 4

£6,301

Notable horses

Oeil De Tigre (FR) Essaka (IRE) Nezar (IRE) Laurentia (IRE) Point Of Woods (GB) Fantastic Flyer (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Equiano (FR) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,542 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,639 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 327.

Dark Angel (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Champs Elysees (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,127 runs since 2013 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 38.5% · 5–13

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,809 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Iffraaj (GB) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,990 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 506 · newest first

The latest 50 of 506 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2013 to 3 November 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 21 Nottingham Essaka (IRE)T: Tony Carroll MansionBet Proud To Support British Racing HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 17 ran 11th 22/1

29 Sep 21 Kempton (AW) Templier (IRE)T: Katie Stephens MansionBet Proud To Support British Racing HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 12th 100/1

29 Sep 21 Kempton (AW) Nezar (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Download The MansionBet App Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 5th 14/1

30 Aug 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Nezar (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 15/2

15 Aug 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Kerrera (GB)T: Dean Ivory Chelmsford City Racecourse Supporting Havens Hospices HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 11/2

12 Aug 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Kerrera (GB)T: Dean Ivory Tote.co.uk Live Streaming Every Uk Race Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 4/1

10 Aug 21 Lingfield (AW) Charming Kid (GB)T: Dean Ivory Silk Series Handicap (Pro-Am Females Jockeys)Class 4 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 5 ran 2nd 13/2

10 Aug 21 Lingfield (AW) Nezar (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 2nd 6/1

26 Jul 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Flaming Spear (IRE)T: Dean Ivory MansionBet's Betstival Beaten By A Head HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 11/2

14 Jul 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Laurentia (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Visit attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 8/1

13 Jul 21 Brighton Soaring Spirits (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Follow attheraces On Twitter Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 10/1

13 Jul 21 Brighton Kerrera (GB)T: Dean Ivory Follow attheraces On Twitter Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 22/1

10 Jul 21 Ascot Flaming Spear (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Betfred 'Ascot Official Bookmaker' HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 7th 9/1

09 Jul 21 Chepstow Essaka (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Vickers.Bet Bet 10GET20 Promo Code Chepstow HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 11/1

05 Jul 21 Windsor Nezar (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Visit Attheraces.com Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/1

30 Jun 21 Bath Essaka (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Download The Free At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 5th 16/1

29 Jun 21 Brighton Kerrera (GB)T: Dean Ivory Racing With Pride HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 7th 22/1

29 Jun 21 Brighton Soaring Spirits (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Racing Staff Week 2021 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 6th 40/1

28 Jun 21 Windsor Laurentia (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Read Kevin Blake On Attheraces.com HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 28/1

22 Jun 21 Brighton Soaring Spirits (IRE)T: Dean Ivory Download The At The Races App Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sophie Ralston's strike rate?: Sophie Ralston has won 31 of 506 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sophie Ralston do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 55 rides (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Sophie Ralston ride most for?: Dean Ivory, with 152 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (8.6%).
What is Sophie Ralston's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 506 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.