What is Julia Feilden's strike rate?

Julia Feilden has won 40 of 471 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Julia Feilden do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 33 runners (21.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Julia Feilden?

Dylan Hogan, with 255 runners since 2022 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (8.2%).

What is Julia Feilden's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 468 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Julia Feilden

471 runners in the last 5 seasons · 45 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2024 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

40–471

Wins / Runs

8.5%

Strike rate

n=471

133 (28%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=468 · 0.77 incl. margin

−176.12

£1 level stake

n=471 at SP · −37.4%

£335k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 471 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Dylan Hogan: 8.2% from 255

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (21.2%, n=33) and Brighton (14.3%, n=42) — all clear of the yard's 8.5% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.5% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.59). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −78.75 to a £1 stake over 133 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Dylan Hogan rides 54% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.2%, A/E 0.79). The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (13.6%, n=88). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 34 runners, 8.5pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totesport.com Leicestershire Stakes at Leicester (Apr 2010, £22,708). The stable star of the record: Bavarica (GB) — 11 wins from 103 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.5%−4.0

n=66 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −31.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−8.5

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.5

n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%−1.8

n=15 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.7%−1.8

n=15 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +14.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=24 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +2.39

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.8%−1.7

n=133 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −78.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Southwell (AW) 21.2% vs 8.5% · n=33

At Lingfield (AW) 0% vs 8.5% · n=34

In Class 4 0% vs 8.5% · n=34

On Good to Firm going 13.6% vs 8.5% · n=88

At Brighton 14.3% vs 8.5% · n=42

With a new jockey booking 4.5% vs 8.5% · n=132

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 465 40 8.6% −170.12

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 218 17 7.8% −85.98

Good to Firm 88 12 13.6% +8.16

Good 60 4 6.7% −30.00

Soft 48 2 4.2% −32.75

Good to Soft 45 3 6.7% −30.30

Heavy 12 2 16.7% −5.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chelmsford City (AW) 89 6 6.7% −40.42

Yarmouth 76 4 5.3% −31.67

Brighton 42 6 14.3% −7.50

Lingfield (AW) 34 0 0% −34.00

Southwell (AW) 33 7 21.2% +22.44

Wolverhampton (AW) 30 1 3.3% −24.50

Kempton (AW) 26 2 7.7% −7.00

Leicester 25 4 16% −7.92

Nottingham 21 0 0% −21.00

Lingfield 15 4 26.7% +20.00

Windsor 15 1 6.7% −7.00

Newmarket 10 0 0% −10.00

Doncaster 8 0 0% −8.00

Newcastle (AW) 6 1 16.7% −2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 288 31 10.8% −50.40

Class 5 146 9 6.2% −88.72

Class 4 34 0 0% −34.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 31 9 29% 1.08 −0.61

2nd–3rd fav 112 16 14.3% 0.90 −29.01

4th–6th fav 171 12 7% 0.88 −51.50

7th+ in betting 157 3 1.9% 0.60 −95.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Smokey Malone (GB)then Julia & Shelley Birkett 35 4 15 19 Dec 24

Heer's Sadie (GB)then Julia & Shelley Birkett 34 3 9 1 Nov 24

Stintino Sunset (GB)then Julia & Shelley Birkett 31 3 11 7 Nov 24

Fen Tiger (IRE)then Julia & Shelley Birkett 27 3 12 6 Nov 24

Spanish Mane (IRE)from Richard Fahey · then Julia & Shelley Birkett 24 5 9 9 Sep 24

Queen's Company (GB)then Julia & Shelley Birkett 22 4 9 4 Nov 24

Mrs Meader (GB)from Seamus Mullins · then Julia & Shelley Birkett 21 4 6 26 Oct 24

Corporate Raider (IRE)from Robert Cowell · then Julia & Shelley Birkett 21 2 6 17 Sep 24

Grand Duchess Olga (GB)from Rae Guest · then Julia & Shelley Birkett 18 3 9 21 Dec 24

Engrave (GB)from Hugo Palmer 17 1 6 16 Feb 23

Macho Sun (IRE)then Mike Sowersby 16 0 3 29 Jul 24

Arpina (IRE)then Grace Harris 16 0 7 3 Mar 23

All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Clive Cox (2) and Hugo Palmer (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Julia & Shelley Birkett (15); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1585241787118710

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDylan Hogan

54% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 0.79

RiderRWSR£1

Dylan Hogan 255 21 8.2% −79.15

Sam Feilden 31 2 6.5% −18.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

278

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.74m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 23 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Spirit of Sharjah (IRE) — totesport.com Leicestershire Stakes (Listed) Leicester · Apr 2010 · Listed

£22,708

Spirit of Sharjah (IRE) — Sunbury Stakes (Listed) Kempton (AW) · Dec 2010 · Listed

£21,005

Spirit of Sharjah (IRE) — Turf TV Aubigny Stakes (Listed) Goodwood · May 2007 · Listed

£12,492

Notable horses

Bavarica (GB) Spanish Mane (IRE) Silver Alliance (GB) Spirit of Sharjah (IRE) Limerick Lord (IRE) Sand Repeal (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Twilight Son (GB) 7.9% · 3–38

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,634 runs since 2008 (281 horses).

Outstrip (GB) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,270 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 631. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.

Heeraat (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 8% of 2,992 runs since 2008 (194 horses).

Cityscape (GB) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 9% of 2,989 runs since 2008 (213 horses).

Vadamos (FR) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,076 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 155.

El Kabeir (USA) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,228 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 173. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 10.1% from 426. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.7% from 347.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,690 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,690 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 29 December 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Dec 24 Southwell (AW) Show Biz Kid (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 66/1

21 Dec 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Grand Duchess Olga (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Weekly Free Bet With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

19 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Smokey Malone (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Sky Bet Build A Bet HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 11/1

19 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Leon Trotsky (GB)J: Frederick Larson Sky Bet Build A Bet HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 25/1

19 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Holywell Bay (GB)J: Dylan Hogan CCR 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 125/1

18 Dec 24 Kempton (AW) Rusheen Boy (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Unibet Zero% Mission HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 2nd 17/2

23 Nov 24 Huntingdon Crowd Quake (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Daily Sports Price Boosts At Rhino.Bet 'Junior' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 25/1

21 Nov 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Rusheen Boy (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Stay Safe Players With BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 16/5F

21 Nov 24 Wolverhampton (AW) One For Harvey (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 9/2

19 Nov 24 Lingfield (AW) Grand Duchess Olga (GB)J: Chloe Lyons Stay In Control With BetUK 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 11/2

14 Nov 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Silver Shamrock (IRE)J: Chloe Lyons Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 66/1

14 Nov 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Leon Trotsky (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 16/1

13 Nov 24 Southwell (AW) Smokey Malone (GB)J: Dylan Hogan 30 In Free Bets With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 7/1

13 Nov 24 Southwell (AW) Eager Puccini (GB)J: Frederick Larson Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 100/1

11 Nov 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Grand Duchess Olga (GB)J: Dylan Hogan BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 9/2

11 Nov 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Show Biz Kid (IRE)J: Sean Levey Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 7/1

07 Nov 24 Southwell (AW) Stintino Sunset (GB)J: Harry Burns Gamble Responsibly At BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 18/1

06 Nov 24 Nottingham Fen Tiger (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Goodbye For 2024 From Nottingham Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 11/1

04 Nov 24 Kempton (AW) Queen's Company (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Raven Roofing Supplies HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 1st 10/1

01 Nov 24 Newmarket Heer's Sadie (GB)J: Chloe Lyons Munich's Allianz-Grosser Preis Von Bayern HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 13th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Julia Feilden's strike rate?: Julia Feilden has won 40 of 471 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Julia Feilden do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 33 runners (21.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Julia Feilden?: Dylan Hogan, with 255 runners since 2022 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (8.2%).
What is Julia Feilden's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 468 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.