No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.56). Rode mostly for Mel Brittain — 69% of rides in the window.
Deterministic profile computed from 184 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFired Apr–MayFresh horses: 2.9%Mel Brittain: 3.9% from 127
The read
Mel Brittain supplied 69% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 0.66). The rider also read well at trips under 6f (8%, n=50) and on Good to Soft going (6%, n=50). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 71 rides (0% strike, −71.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.4%−0.3
n=84 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −44.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.7%+14.0
n=6 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
2.9%+0.2
n=35 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −3.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
1.9%−0.8
n=54 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −20.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f8% vs 2.7% · n=50
On Good to Soft going6% vs 2.7% · n=50
On Good to Firm going0% vs 2.7% · n=71
Off a 15-30-day break5.1% vs 2.7% · n=39
Over 6f – 7f1.3% vs 2.7% · n=77 · A/E 0.34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm7100%−71.00
Good to Soft5036%+4.00
Good4112.4%−35.50
Standard (AW)800%−8.00
Soft6116.7%−2.50
Firm500%−5.00
Heavy300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Redcar2913.4%−25.50
Thirsk2000%−20.00
Ripon2015%−14.50
Newcastle1500%−15.00
Beverley1300%−13.00
Catterick1218.3%+22.00
Doncaster1100%−11.00
York1000%−10.00
Hamilton900%−9.00
Musselburgh8112.5%−1.00
Haydock7114.3%+6.00
Carlisle600%−6.00
Wolverhampton (AW)400%−4.00
Nottingham400%−4.00
Chester400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 58322.4%−74.00
Class 65923.4%−18.00
Class 43113.2%−18.00
Class 3900%−9.00
Class 1200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite7114.3%0.67−3.50
2nd–3rd fav2114.8%0.36−15.50
4th–6th fav3126.5%0.96−11.00
7th+ in betting12510.8%0.40−91.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f7711.3%−64.00
Under 6f5048%+0.00
1m – 1m1f2700%−27.00
1m2f – 1m4f2200%−22.00
1m5f – 2m700%−7.00
2m1f – 2m4f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200814853.4%−85.00
20093600%−36.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps9833.1%−44.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners6134.9%−37.50
11-13 runners5611.8%−50.50
14-16 runners3912.6%−5.00
17+ runners1500%−15.00
5-7 runners1300%−13.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 84 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··0540050···
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£42,425
Prize money
2008
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Lisburn (IRE) — Turn On The Style Nursery Handicap Haydock · Aug 2008 · Class 4
£5,505
Caranbola (GB) — Totesport Betxtra Place Only Maiden Auction Fillies' Stakes Ripon · Apr 2008 · Class 5
£2,914
Knavesmire (IRE) — Redcar 'A Course For All Reasons' Maiden Auction Stakes Redcar · May 2008 · Class 5
Progeny have won 8.2% of 999 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.8% from 122. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.5% from 179.
Xaar (GB)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 6.1% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (218 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 10.7% from 122.
Mark of Esteem (IRE)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,657 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 128.
Bahamian Bounty (GB)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.
Lucky Story (USA)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,554 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 351. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.5% from 451.
Lujain (USA)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 192 · newest first
The latest 50 of 192 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 30 May 2009.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is T Williams's strike rate?
T Williams has won 5 of 184 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does T Williams ride most for?
Mel Brittain, with 127 rides since 2008 — 69% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (3.9%).
What is T Williams's Fair A/E?
0.56, from 182 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
T Williams·SR 2.7%·A/E 0.56
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