What is Mel Brittain's strike rate?

Mel Brittain has won 120 of 1,629 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mel Brittain do best at?

Haydock by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mel Brittain?

David Allan, with 212 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7.1%).

What is Mel Brittain's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 1,620 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mel Brittain

1,629 runners in the lifetime window · 138 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner May 2015 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

120–1,629

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=1,629

387 (24%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=1,620 · 0.78 incl. margin

−272.20

£1 level stake

n=1,629 at SP · −16.7%

£651k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,629 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb 28.7% when favourite David Allan: 7.1% from 212 Sent off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Beverley (13.4%, n=157), clear of the yard's 7.4% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=323, Fair A/E 0.55). David Allan rode 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.87). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hilary Needler Trophy at Beverley (May 2008, £12,206). The stable star of the record was Caranbola (GB) — 9 wins from 65 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.1%−4.3

n=323 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −175.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.4

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Debutants · first career start

5.4%−2.0

n=93 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +112.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.2%−4.2

n=31 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −16.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%+0.9

n=24 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −10.50

When favourite

28.7%

n=94 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −8.53

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.3%−0.1

n=368 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +36.06

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%+2.6

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +31.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Silvestre De Sousa 25.5% vs 7.4% · n=51

With Mark Lawson 15.2% vs 7.4% · n=99

With Robert Winston 14.1% vs 7.4% · n=142

At Beverley 13.4% vs 7.4% · n=157

With Tom Eaves 0% vs 7.4% · n=46

With C&D winners 12.6% vs 7.4% · n=198

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,604 118 7.4% −266.20

Hurdle 18 2 11.1% +1.00

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 397 21 5.3% −101.38

Good 389 20 5.1% −134.09

Standard (AW) 377 38 10.1% −52.94

Good to Soft 228 23 10.1% +80.88

Soft 188 15 8% −52.42

Heavy 38 2 5.3% −8.25

Firm 12 1 8.3% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 222 21 9.5% −69.22

Thirsk 182 8 4.4% −95.50

Beverley 157 21 13.4% +4.03

Newcastle 154 7 4.5% −71.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 153 17 11.1% +18.28

Ripon 130 9 6.9% −21.67

Redcar 122 6 4.9% +47.50

York 100 2 2% −81.00

Doncaster 93 4 4.3% −35.50

Pontefract 72 3 4.2% −39.00

Nottingham 52 4 7.7% +33.00

Catterick 40 2 5% −0.50

Haydock 35 5 14.3% +18.13

Ayr 22 2 9.1% +7.75

Musselburgh 18 4 22.2% +11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 716 58 8.1% −66.03

Class 6 484 38 7.9% −40.47

Class 4 309 15 4.9% −155.75

Class 3 66 4 6.1% −14.50

Class 2 25 0 0% −25.00

Class 7 19 4 21.1% −1.45

Class 1 10 1 10% +31.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 113 31 27.4% 1.08 −8.78

2nd–3rd fav 270 30 11.1% 0.74 −104.42

4th–6th fav 447 32 7.2% 0.89 −120.00

7th+ in betting 799 27 3.4% 0.97 −39.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Caranbola (GB) 65 9 24 16 Aug 13

Steel Stockholder (GB)then Antony Brittain 64 7 18 30 Jan 15

Brockfield (GB)then Antony Brittain 50 5 18 8 Oct 14

Carragold (GB)then Antony Brittain 49 8 19 26 Feb 15

Seldom (IRE) 49 3 16 5 Jul 14

Grey Command (USA)then Philip Kirby 49 5 13 25 Jun 12

Mozayada (USA)from Mark Johnston 47 6 10 6 Mar 12

Trade Secret (GB) 43 5 12 9 Aug 14

Tobrata (GB) 38 1 15 26 May 14

Lujiana (GB) 37 5 9 19 Jun 12

Lucky Lodge (GB)then Antony Brittain 35 5 16 27 May 15

Fulford (GB) 35 3 9 19 Sep 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 138 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mark Johnston (2); 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Antony Brittain (17); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1311785551166137

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Allan

13% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 0.87

RiderRWSR£1

David Allan 212 15 7.1% +21.25

John Cavanagh 153 5 3.3% −83.65

Robert Winston 142 20 14.1% −19.38

T Williams 127 5 3.9% −64.00

Mark Lawson 99 15 15.2% +53.81

P J McDonald 93 5 5.4% −20.00

Jimmy Quinn 84 2 2.4% −30.00

Duran Fentiman 70 5 7.1% −17.17

Franny Norton 68 6 8.8% −53.05

Paul Mulrennan 58 4 6.9% −19.75

Silvestre De Sousa 51 13 25.5% +37.83

Tom Eaves 46 0 0% −46.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

134

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£712k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 29 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Knavesmire (IRE) — Hilary Needler Trophy (Fillies' Listed) Beverley · May 2008 · Listed

£12,206

Trade Secret (GB) — Robert Palmer Memorial Handicap Newmarket · Aug 2012 · Class 3

£9,704

Mayfield Girl (IRE) — JW 4x4 Northallerton - Lily's 8 Today Handicap Thirsk · Apr 2013 · Class 3

£7,439

Notable horses

Caranbola (GB) Carragold (GB) Steel Stockholder (GB) Mozayada (USA) Brockfield (GB) Grey Command (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lucky Story (USA) 11.8% · 16–136

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,554 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 351. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.5% from 451.

Diktat (GB) 12.5% · 8–64

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.

Mark of Esteem (IRE) 10.9% · 7–64

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,657 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 128.

One Cool Cat (USA) 12.3% · 7–57

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,592 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.4% from 605.

Lujain (USA) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.

Falbrav (IRE) 9.8% · 5–51

Progeny have won 10.2% of 636 runs since 2008 (48 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.9% from 165.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,964 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,964 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 27 May 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 May 15 Thirsk Grey Destiny (GB)J: David Allan Thirsk Next Meeting Monday 8th June Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd 14/1

27 May 15 Thirsk Lucky Lodge (GB)J: David Allan New Racing UK Android App HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

19 May 15 Newcastle Grey Destiny (GB)J: Graham Lee Marriott Gosforth Park Handicap (Str) (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 8/1

19 May 15 Newcastle Harmonical (GB)J: David Allan H Malone & Sons HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 8/1

19 May 15 Newcastle Desktop (GB)J: P J McDonald Collingwood Insurance Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 20/1

15 May 15 York French (GB)J: Graham Lee Langleys Solicitors EBF Marygate Fillies' Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 6/1

11 May 15 Doncaster Harmonic Lady (GB)J: Graham Lee Betdaq 20 Free Bet & 3% Comm Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 7/1

09 May 15 Thirsk Dream Scenario (GB)J: Graham Lee Thirsk 'irish Day' Saturday 16th May HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 14/1

09 May 15 Thirsk Desktop (GB)J: P J McDonald Racing Uk Anywhere Available Now Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 20/1

09 May 15 Thirsk Sooqaan (GB)J: Graham Lee Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 6/1

09 May 15 Thirsk Cool Music (IRE)J: P J McDonald Dick Peacock Sprint HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 17 ran 8th 25/1

08 May 15 Ripon Mozimba (GB)J: P J McDonald Sis Bringing Betting To Life Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 9/1

04 May 15 Beverley Stanghow (GB)J: Graham Lee Barbara Dickson Beverley Folk Festival HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 10/3F

02 May 15 Thirsk Mozimba (GB)J: Tom Eaves totescoop6 The Millionaire Maker Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 14/1

29 Apr 15 Pontefract Mayfield Boy (GB)J: Graham Lee Betfred Supports The Nrc HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 11/1

28 Apr 15 Newcastle Stanghow (GB)J: Graham Lee Northeast Oyster Festival On Tour Newcastle 2015 HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 14/1

28 Apr 15 Newcastle Lucky Lodge (GB)J: P J McDonald New Spa At Ramside Hall Hotel HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 2/1F

16 Apr 15 Ripon French (GB)J: Graham Lee EBF Eat Sleep & Drink At Nags Head Pickhill Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 14/1

06 Apr 15 Redcar Lucky Lodge (GB)J: P J McDonald Ellie Smith Designed Today's Racecard Cover HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 2nd 10/1

06 Apr 15 Redcar Mayfield Girl (IRE)J: P J McDonald Redcar Racecourse Cheapest Admission In Great Britain Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mel Brittain's strike rate?: Mel Brittain has won 120 of 1,629 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mel Brittain do best at?: Haydock by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mel Brittain?: David Allan, with 212 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7.1%).
What is Mel Brittain's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 1,620 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.