Skip to content
Trainer profile

Alan Kirtley

189 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2013
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
9–189
Wins / Runs
4.8%
Strike rate
n=189
18 (10%)
Placed
1.68
Fair A/E
n=186 · 1.42 incl. margin
+30.75
£1 level stake
n=189 at SP · +16.3%
£29,683
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.68). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (98 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 189 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8.2%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 8.2% (n=98, Fair A/E 2.29), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well on Good to Firm going (9.3%, n=54) and over 1m5f – 2m (8.5%, n=47). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 32 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Miss Ferney (GB) — 6 wins from 36 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.8
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.8
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.8
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.2%+3.4
n=98 · A/E 2.29 · £1 +40.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Paul Pickard 12.5% vs 4.8% · n=40
On Good to Firm going 9.3% vs 4.8% · n=54
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 4.8% · n=32
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4.8% · n=30
With claiming riders up 8.2% vs 4.8% · n=98
Over 1m5f – 2m 8.5% vs 4.8% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 123 7 5.7% +67.75
Hurdle 49 2 4.1% −20.00
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 54 5 9.3% +126.00
Good 53 4 7.5% −13.25
Good to Soft 32 0 0% −32.00
Soft 26 0 0% −26.00
Standard (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle 29 2 6.9% +60.50
Redcar 24 2 8.3% +52.00
Catterick 20 2 10% +7.00
Wetherby 12 0 0% −12.00
Sedgefield 11 0 0% −11.00
Beverley 9 0 0% −9.00
Pontefract 8 0 0% −8.00
Ripon 8 0 0% −8.00
Carlisle 7 0 0% −7.00
Thirsk 7 0 0% −7.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Hexham 6 0 0% −6.00
Musselburgh 6 2 33.3% +4.25
Doncaster 5 0 0% −5.00
Southwell 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 79 5 6.3% +24.25
Class 5 71 2 2.8% +22.00
Class 4 35 2 5.7% −11.50
Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 2 28.6% 1.98 +5.25
4th–6th fav 27 3 11.1% 1.74 +0.50
7th+ in betting 154 4 2.6% 1.64 +26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Miss Ferney (GB) 36 6 11 22 Sep 12
College Land Boy (GB)from John Quinn 16 0 0 29 Sep 09
I Feel Fine (GB)from D W Barker 15 0 0 7 Jun 11
Glamoroso (IRE)from D W Barker 14 0 1 29 Sep 09
Miss Matiz (GB)then Tracy Waggott 12 0 0 26 Aug 13
Alloro (GB)from David Thompson · then Evelyn Slack 12 2 2 17 Jun 10
Blue Rum (IRE)from P C Haslam 10 0 0 24 Oct 11
Ignition (GB)from Mark Brisbourne 9 0 0 6 Jan 09
The Babe Magnet (GB) 9 1 3 28 Dec 08
English Archer (GB)from Mark Brisbourne 6 0 0 14 Oct 09
Celtic Step (GB)from Peter Niven · then Peter Niven 5 0 0 13 May 11
Rats (GB)from Kate Walton 4 0 0 19 Jun 11
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Swinbank (2) and D W Barker (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for David Thompson (2) and Philip Sharp (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
09008001211000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPaul Pickard
21% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.91
RiderRWSR£1
Paul Pickard 40 5 12.5% +54.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
9
Archived wins
£30,575
Prize money
2011
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Miss Ferney (GB) — Royal Scots Club Handicap Musselburgh · Sep 2011 · Class 4
£4,528
Alloro (GB) — Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer Handicap Newcastle · May 2010 · Class 5
£3,627
The Babe Magnet (GB) — E S Hartley Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Cartmel · May 2008 · Class 4
£3,253
Notable horses
Miss Ferney (GB) Alloro (GB) The Babe Magnet (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cayman Kai (IRE) 16.7% · 6–36
Progeny have won 7.9% of 317 runs since 2008 (22 horses).
Rock City (IRE) 0% · 0–35
Progeny have won 4.1% of 245 runs since 2008 (31 horses).
Minster Son (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 7.7% of 662 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 102.
Cois Na Tine (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.9% of 121 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Mull of Kintyre (USA) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.
Auction House (USA) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,734 runs since 2008 (142 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 10% from 100.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 194 · newest first

The latest 50 of 194 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2007 to 26 August 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Aug 13 Newcastle Miss Matiz (GB)J: Declan Cannon Betfred 'The Bonus King' Fillies HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 66/1
17 Aug 13 Doncaster Miss Matiz (GB)J: Declan Cannon Crown Hotel Bawtry Leger Preview Dinner HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 100/1
16 Aug 13 Catterick Toepaz (GB)J: Declan Cannon Dawn Caroline Photography Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 10th 100/1
28 Jul 13 Carlisle Toepaz (GB)J: Louis Steward Support Racing Welfare Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 150/1
21 Jul 13 Redcar Miss Matiz (GB)J: Louis Steward Redcar Cricket Club Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 9f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 80/1
05 Jul 13 Beverley Miss Matiz (GB)J: Declan Cannon Racing Again Tomorrow Selling StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 100/1
27 Jun 13 Newcastle Miss Matiz (GB)J: Declan Cannon Betfred 'Racing's Biggest Supporter' Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 11th 100/1
17 Jun 13 Carlisle Miss Matiz (GB)J: Connor Beasley Wetheral Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 100/1
05 Jun 13 Ayr Ad Value (IRE)J: Jason Hart John And Betty Dowse Memorial Handicap (Qualifier For The 15,000 Betfair Scottish Stayers' Series Final)Class 6 · 15f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 14/1
27 May 13 Redcar Ad Value (IRE)J: James Sullivan Come Racing Again Tomorrow Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 14f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 33/1
21 May 13 Newcastle Ad Value (IRE)J: Kevin Stott John Smith's Estb 1758 HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 50/1
20 May 13 Redcar Miss Matiz (GB)J: Connor Beasley Win A VIP Day Out At redcarracing.co.uk Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 150/1
06 Oct 12 Redcar Call It Out (GB)J: Paul Pickard Thanks For 53 Years Derek Brown Selling StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 150/1
22 Sep 12 Catterick Miss Ferney (GB)J: Duran Fentiman Follow Us On Twitter At CatterickRaces HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 12/1
11 Sep 12 Redcar Miss Ferney (GB)J: Declan Cannon Hold Your Christmas Party At Redcar Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 14/1
28 Aug 12 Ripon Lady Ongar (GB)J: James Sullivan Ripon-races.co.uk Selling StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 100/1
27 Aug 12 Newcastle Miss Ferney (GB)J: Paul Pickard Roflow HandicapClass 5 · 14.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 25/1
27 Aug 12 Newcastle Miss Matiz (GB)J: Paul Pickard Stp Construction HandicapClass 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 50/1
17 Aug 12 Newcastle Lady Ongar (GB)J: James Sullivan Fastflow Pipeline Services Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 100/1
17 Aug 12 Newcastle Miss Matiz (GB)J: Paul Pickard Fastflow Pipeline Services Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Kirtley's strike rate?
Alan Kirtley has won 9 of 189 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Alan Kirtley's Fair A/E?
1.68, from 186 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).