What is Terry Casey's strike rate?

Terry Casey has won 9 of 157 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Terry Casey ride most for?

Michael Mulvany, with 77 rides since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.8%).

Is Terry Casey in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Terry Casey's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 157 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Terry Casey

157 rides in the last 5 seasons · 75 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 9 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)

from 1 Jan 2022

9–157

Wins / Runs

5.7%

Strike rate

n=157

37 (24%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=157 · 0.67 incl. margin

−97.75

£1 level stake

n=157 at SP · −62.3%

£158k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86). Rides mostly for Michael Mulvany — 49% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 157 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Michael Mulvany: 7.8% from 77 Claiming: 5.8%

The read

Michael Mulvany supplies 49% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.8% vs 5.7%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 15-30-day break (9.1%, n=44). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.66 across 68 rides (4.4% strike, −49.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.3%−0.4

n=75 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −51.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−5.7

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−5.7

n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

When favourite

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.8%+0.1

n=155 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −95.75

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.2%−2.5

n=95 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −77.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 15-30-day break 9.1% vs 5.7% · n=44

With Daniel James Murphy 8.3% vs 5.7% · n=36

With Michael Mulvany 7.8% vs 5.7% · n=77

At trips under 6f 3.1% vs 5.7% · n=32

On Good going 4.4% vs 5.7% · n=68 · A/E 0.66

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 68 3 4.4% −49.00

Soft 40 3 7.5% −15.00

Standard (AW) 24 1 4.2% −20.25

Good to Soft 10 1 10% −3.50

Heavy 10 1 10% −5.00

Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 24 1 4.2% −20.25

Navan 22 1 4.5% −11.00

Curragh 21 1 4.8% −12.50

Bellewstown 16 2 12.5% −5.50

Gowran Park 15 0 0% −15.00

Naas 11 2 18.2% +4.00

Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00

Down Royal 6 0 0% −6.00

Cork (IRE) 6 0 0% −6.00

Roscommon 5 1 20% −1.00

Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00

Galway 4 0 0% −4.00

Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00

Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00

Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00

2nd–3rd fav 26 6 23.1% 1.69 +4.25

4th–6th fav 40 1 2.5% 0.31 −31.50

7th+ in betting 84 2 2.4% 0.80 −63.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

James The Second (IRE) 9 0 2 6 Aug 25

Velvet Skies (IRE) 8 0 4 26 Aug 25

Sovereign Cry (IRE) 7 1 1 21 Sep 26

Duke Of Leggagh (IRE) 6 2 2 30 Sep 26

Eichan San (IRE) 5 0 1 23 Oct 26

Nephin Mountain (IRE) 5 1 2 15 Sep 26

Go Out (FR) 4 0 1 16 Oct 26

Master Garvey (IRE) 4 0 1 12 Oct 26

Eclairage (IRE) 4 0 1 2 Oct 26

Borora Aura (IRE) 4 1 1 30 Sep 26

Boyne Valley (IRE) 4 0 0 9 Jan 26

Sunriseontheboyne (IRE) 4 0 1 22 Aug 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 75 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0·0080134480·

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMichael Mulvany

49% of all rides
7.8% SR · A/E 1.24

TrainerRWSR£1

Michael Mulvany 77 6 7.8% −35.50

Daniel James Murphy 36 3 8.3% −18.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→

Archived wins

£158k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 6 wins

Unique Journey (IRE) — DNG Nationwide Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Oct 2026

£21,000

Duke Of Leggagh (IRE) — Barney Curley Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap Bellewstown · Oct 2025

£8,850

Nephin Mountain (IRE) — Download The Tote App Handicap Ballinrobe (IRE) · Jul 2026

£7,200

Notable horses

Duke Of Leggagh (IRE) Sovereign Cry (IRE) Nephin Mountain (IRE) Borora Aura (IRE) The Love Machine (IRE) Unique Journey (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Buratino (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,883 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119.

Cotai Glory (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,947 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,416. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 425.

River Boyne (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 2.2% of 231 runs since 2008 (24 horses).

Kuroshio (AUS) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,308 runs since 2008 (119 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.8% from 288.

Ten Sovereigns (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 10.9% of 1,600 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 149.

New Bay (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,987 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 157 · newest first

The latest 50 of 157 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 April 2024 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Eichan San (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy Halloween Mid-Term Racing Next Week Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 9/2

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Gerrit's Gem (IRE)T: J G Coogan Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 7/2J

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Blessed By Faith (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy Navan Racing Festival Advanced Price Tickets On Sale Now Maiden5f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 80/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Bang Po (IRE)T: Liam McAteer Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 22nd 40/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Cause I Like You (IRE)T: Michael Mulvany Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 10/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Terre De Vega (GB)T: John Andrew Kinsella Nord Anglia International School Dublin Foxrock Cup Handicap8.5f · Good · 16 ran 9th 28/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Frescobaldi (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 25/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Simmering Seas (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 8/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Go Out (FR)T: Daniel James Murphy Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 11/4F

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Blessed By Faith (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 125/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Barretstown (IRE)T: Conor O'Dwyer Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Optional Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 100/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Unique Journey (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy DNG Nationwide Handicap6f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 15/2

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Master Garvey (IRE)T: Joseph Anthony Murray Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I)7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 12/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Jp's Express (IRE)T: Michael Mulvany TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 8/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Barretstown (IRE)T: Conor O'Dwyer View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 40/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Cascade Canyon (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap11f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 16/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Terre De Vega (GB)T: John Andrew Kinsella 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 28/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Smoke Them Out (IRE)T: T G McCourt Business Plus Handicap6f · Soft · 22 ran 3rd 11/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Eclairage (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 100/30

30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Duke Of Leggagh (IRE)T: Michael Mulvany Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 5th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 21 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 21 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Terry Casey's strike rate?: Terry Casey has won 9 of 157 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Terry Casey ride most for?: Michael Mulvany, with 77 rides since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.8%).
Is Terry Casey in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Terry Casey's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 157 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.