Skip to content
Trainer profile

J G Murray

140 runners in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 30 days ago 90% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
3–140
Wins / Runs
2.1%
Strike rate
n=140
11 (8%)
Placed
0.85
n=140 · 0.66 incl. margin
−79.00
£1 level stake
n=140 at SP · −56.4%
£30,475
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 140 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 2.6%
The read

The yard also reads well on Soft going (6.7%, n=30). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 53 runners (0% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.6%+0.5
n=114 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −53.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 6.7% vs 2.1% · n=30
With Wesley Joyce 5.6% vs 2.1% · n=36
On Good going 0% vs 2.1% · n=53
With a new jockey booking 1.4% vs 2.1% · n=69 · A/E 0.70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 126 3 2.4% −65.00
Hurdle 13 0 0% −13.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 53 0 0% −53.00
Soft 30 2 6.7% +5.00
Standard (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Soft 22 1 4.5% +4.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Sligo 13 1 7.7% +13.00
Navan 13 0 0% −13.00
Gowran Park 10 1 10% +16.00
Bellewstown 9 1 11.1% +0.00
Curragh 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 4 1 25% 2.21 +5.00
4th–6th fav 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
7th+ in betting 122 2 1.6% 1.00 −70.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mass Gathering (IRE)from Thomas Cleary 24 2 3 20 Aug 23
Romantic War (IRE)from Thomas Cleary 17 0 2 8 Sep 26
Sin E Shekells (GB)from James McAuley 15 0 3 6 Sep 24
Top Of The Pops (GB)from Mark Johnston 14 1 1 1 Jul 25
Dark Enigma (GB)from E J O'Neill 13 0 0 10 Dec 25
Forever My Girl (IRE)from Brian Nolan · then Katy Price 8 0 0 2 Jul 22
Hollys Honour (IRE)from Shane Ryder 6 0 0 13 Oct 22
Susie Wosie (IRE)from James McAuley 5 0 0 23 Aug 24
Tack (FR)from E D Delany 3 0 0 13 Apr 24
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James McAuley (4) and Thomas Cleary (2); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000650600000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWesley Joyce
26% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 2.29
RiderRWSR£1
Wesley Joyce 36 2 5.6% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
3
Archived wins
£30,475
Prize money
2022
Best season · 2 wins
Mass Gathering (IRE) — Inaugural Western Motors Cupra Handicap (47-65) Bellewstown · Jul 2022
£6,490
Mass Gathering (IRE) — Yeats Country Claiming Race Sligo · May 2022
£6,195
Top Of The Pops (GB) — Paulstown Handicap (0-60) Gowran Park · Apr 2025
£5,900

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Canford Cliffs (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2008 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.
Lawman (FR) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,418 runs since 2008 (730 horses).
Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Bated Breath (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,128 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 843.
Kingman (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,470 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Equiano (FR) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,538 runs since 2008 (549 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 149 · newest first

The latest 50 of 149 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 August 2021 to 20 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Apr 26 Navan Romantic War (IRE)J: Freya Frain Kilberry Apprentice Handicap5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 16th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J G Murray's strike rate?
J G Murray has won 3 of 140 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J G Murray's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 140 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).