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Trainer profile

Kevin Thomas Coleman

803 runners in the last 5 seasons · 106 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 12.3% of 220 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 96% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
58–803
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=803
197 (25%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=802 · 0.76 incl. margin
−213.69
£1 level stake
n=803 at SP · −26.6%
£1.02m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 9% (33 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 803 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug 24.1% when favourite Seamie Heffernan: 8% from 88 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

It is weakest at Naas (0% over 60 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3.7% (n=82, Fair A/E 1.31). Seamie Heffernan rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 0.86). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 30 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Only Spoofing (IRE) — 6 wins from 69 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.8%−0.4
n=103 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −11.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.2
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
3.7%−3.5
n=82 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +52.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.1%+1.9
n=33 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +8.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.5%−2.7
n=22 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −18.00
When favourite
24.1%
n=58 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −13.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.8%−0.4
n=205 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −89.20
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.2
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Naas 0% vs 7.2% · n=60
With Chris Hayes 0% vs 7.2% · n=40
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 7.2% · n=30
With Robbie Colgan 1.6% vs 7.2% · n=61
At Cork 2.3% vs 7.2% · n=87
At Curragh 3.4% vs 7.2% · n=88
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 770 56 7.3% −186.89
Hurdle 31 1 3.2% −28.80
Chase 2 1 50% +2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 254 18 7.1% −117.11
Soft 232 14 6% −72.88
Standard (AW) 139 13 9.4% −40.03
Good to Soft 79 6 7.6% +38.88
Heavy 79 3 3.8% −27.75
Good to Firm 20 4 20% +5.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 129 10 7.8% −47.36
Curragh 88 3 3.4% −48.50
Cork 87 2 2.3% −39.00
Navan 62 5 8.1% −11.50
Naas 60 0 0% −60.00
Gowran Park 54 5 9.3% −1.75
Leopardstown 43 3 7% +46.00
Tipperary 29 1 3.4% +12.00
Bellewstown 27 1 3.7% −21.00
Killarney 26 1 3.8% −11.00
Fairyhouse 24 1 4.2% −13.00
Listowel 23 2 8.7% −15.75
Roscommon 21 3 14.3% +4.00
Down Royal 14 1 7.1% −4.00
Galway 13 1 7.7% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 18 7 38.9% +16.21
Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 3 9 3 33.3% +15.00
Class 5 5 3 60% +8.94
Class 6 2 1 50% +0.20

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 75 17 22.7% 0.97 −18.90
2nd–3rd fav 119 16 13.4% 0.90 −22.79
4th–6th fav 207 12 5.8% 0.79 −91.50
7th+ in betting 402 13 3.2% 1.19 −80.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Only Spoofing (IRE)from Jedd O'Keeffe 55 5 13 19 May 26
Derry Lad (IRE) 35 3 12 18 Sep 26
Shoebox King (IRE) 34 2 8 22 Oct 25
Swiss Army Officer (IRE) 31 1 6 12 May 26
Coumshingaun (IRE) 26 4 10 20 Jul 24
Benavente (GB)from Richard John O'Brien · then Denis Gerard Hogan 25 3 8 17 Oct 25
Akecheta (IRE) 24 2 10 23 Aug 26
Thatwilldoso (IRE) 22 5 11 18 Oct 26
Devil's Angel (GB)from Jedd O'Keeffe · then Raymond Hurley 20 1 4 13 Jul 25
Kasper Hauser (GB) 16 2 5 28 Aug 26
Fleetfootsoldier (IRE)then John C McConnell 15 3 4 16 Feb 24
Green Kite (IRE) 13 0 3 18 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 106 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jedd O'Keeffe (2); 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard; 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 12
Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
058481110954126
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSeamie Heffernan
11% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
Seamie Heffernan 88 7 8% −23.96
Robbie Colgan 61 1 1.6% −53.00
R. P. Cleary 51 5 9.8% −7.38
Chris Hayes 40 0 0% −40.00
Nathan Crosse 37 4 10.8% −10.00
Julian Pietropaolo 35 4 11.4% +0.60
Wayne Lordan 30 2 6.7% −3.50
Colin Keane 30 3 10% −3.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
71
Archived wins
£1.19m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 14 wins
Thatwilldoso (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap Sligo (IRE) · Aug 2026
£18,000
With Love (GB) — Irish EBF Auction Series Race Leopardstown · Jun 2022
£17,700
Derry Lad (IRE) — Sky Bet Sunday Series Middle-Distance Handicap Pontefract · Jun 2023 · Class 3
£16,493
Notable horses
Only Spoofing (IRE) Thatwilldoso (IRE) Derry Lad (IRE) Coumshingaun (IRE) Swiss Army Officer (IRE) Benavente (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Approve (IRE) 9.1% · 5–55
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,685 runs since 2008 (179 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.7% from 503. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 552.
Epaulette (AUS) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Aclaim (IRE) 5.9% · 2–34
Progeny have won 10% of 2,522 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 385.
Sioux Nation (USA) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 12.4% of 2,866 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 576. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.8% from 189.
Twilight Son (GB) 9.1% · 3–33
Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,641 runs since 2008 (281 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.6% from 613.
U S Navy Flag (USA) 12.1% · 4–33
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,395 runs since 2008 (147 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 181.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 990 · newest first

The latest 50 of 990 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 May 2018 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Kingcharles (FR)J: Conor Cusack Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 12/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Green Kite (IRE)J: Colin Keane Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 12th 9/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Thatwilldoso (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 12/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Hypiradon (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap8.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 22/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Brewing (GB)J: Robbie Colgan BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Matavai Bay (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 14/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Ocean Phoenix (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 8/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Griselinia (IRE)J: J M Sheridan M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 200/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Tax Me Later (IRE)J: Reese Holohan M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 3/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Kingcharles (FR)J: Patrick McGettigan View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 5/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) The Drambling Man (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap6f · Yielding · 10 ran 4th 11/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Violet Dove (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 21 ran 12th 200/1
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rosiliane (IRE)J: Shane Gray bettingsites.co.uk Bookmaker Comparison EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 100/30
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Cascade Canyon (IRE)J: Terry Casey Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap11f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 16/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Tickle The Cat (GER)J: Rory Cleary Killarney Student Raceday Handicap8f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 33/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Oppenheimer (IRE)J: Ben Coen Killarney Student Raceday Handicap8f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 14/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Roaming Coyote (IRE)J: Ben Coen Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap8f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 8/1
04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Green Kite (IRE)J: Conor Cusack Business Plus Handicap6f · Soft · 22 ran 19th 22/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Miners Cabin (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 9th 100/1
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Tax Me Later (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Bellewstown Inn Fillies Maiden8f · Soft To Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 11/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Thomas Coleman's strike rate?
Kevin Thomas Coleman has won 58 of 803 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Thomas Coleman do best at?
Gowran Park by strike rate: 5 wins from 54 runners (9.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kevin Thomas Coleman?
Seamie Heffernan, with 88 runners since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8%).
Is Kevin Thomas Coleman in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Kevin Thomas Coleman's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 802 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).