Tom McLaughlin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 230 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 9% (165 rides).
The record is strongest at Chepstow (14%, n=107), clear of the rider's 7.3% baseline. It is weakest at Haydock (0% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=254, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 9.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −102.37 to a £1 stake over 165 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Malcolm Saunders supplied 12% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.8% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Good to Soft going (11.4%, n=175). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.7% over 148 rides, 4.6pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Sportingbet Yorkshire Cup at York (May 2012, £79,394). The standout partner of the record was Wooden King (IRE) — 6 wins from 39 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,595 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,595 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 July 2007 to 13 September 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Tom McLaughlin's strike rate?
- Tom McLaughlin has won 169 of 2,312 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Tom McLaughlin do best at?
- Chepstow by strike rate: 15 wins from 107 rides (14%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Tom McLaughlin ride most for?
- Malcolm Saunders, with 278 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (10.8%).
- What is Tom McLaughlin's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 2,297 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.