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Trainer profile

Nick Littmoden

155 runners in the last 5 seasons · 44 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 19 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
15–155
Wins / Runs
9.7%
Strike rate
n=155
35 (23%)
Placed
1.29
Fair A/E
n=151 · 1.09 incl. margin
−4.80
£1 level stake
n=154 at SP · −3.1%
£474k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.29).

Deterministic profile computed from 155 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well off a break of 180+ days (13.3%, n=30). The record reads poorly on Good going — 3.3% over 30 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du President de la Republique Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2023, £101,549). The stable star of the record: Lord Theo (GB) — 8 wins from 76 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8%−1.7
n=50 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −1.80
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%−0.6
n=22 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +4.90
Debutants · first career start
11.1%+1.4
n=18 · A/E 3.34 · £1 +14.80
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
33.3%+23.6
n=3 · A/E 5.19 · £1 +5.40
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −2.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.5%−0.2
n=63 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +2.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.5%+0.8
n=19 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 3.3% vs 9.7% · n=30
Off a break of 180+ days 13.3% vs 9.7% · n=30
In Class 4 6.5% vs 9.7% · n=31
On Standard (AW) going 10.7% vs 9.7% · n=56 · A/E 1.16
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 99 10 10.1% −5.10
Hurdle 28 2 7.1% +1.20
Chase 23 3 13% +4.10
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 56 6 10.7% −8.70
Good 30 1 3.3% −17.00
Soft 29 4 13.8% +8.60
Heavy 16 2 12.5% +18.10
Good to Firm 13 1 7.7% −7.00
Good to Soft 11 1 9.1% +1.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 26 4 15.4% +20.20
Lingfield (AW) 14 2 14.3% +0.00
Chantilly (FR) 12 2 16.7% +3.40
Saint-Cloud (FR) 10 1 10% +5.40
Wolverhampton (AW) 8 2 25% +8.00
Kempton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Southwell (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 4 1 25% +5.10
Fakenham 4 0 0% −4.00
Yarmouth 4 0 0% −4.00
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00
Deauville (FR) 4 1 25% +10.10
Longchamp (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 31 2 6.5% −20.00
Class 5 27 2 7.4% −8.00
Class 1 19 2 10.5% −2.00
Class 6 19 2 10.5% +0.00
Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 1 12.5% 0.45 −4.80
2nd–3rd fav 25 3 12% 0.81 −8.00
4th–6th fav 53 8 15.1% 2.21 +32.10
7th+ in betting 68 3 4.4% 1.39 −24.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Monsieur Beaulieu (GB) 17 2 10 1 Jul 25
One Million Dreams (FR)then Archie Watson 14 2 3 28 Apr 26
Warrnambool (GER)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt 13 0 0 18 Sep 26
Captain Speaking (FR) 10 1 3 22 Dec 24
Imperil (FR)from C Scandella 8 2 3 30 Nov 24
Last Note (FR)then Cian Collins 6 0 2 7 Oct 25
Green Team (FR)from Ian Williams 5 1 2 21 Sep 26
Shihoku (FR)from M D O'Callaghan · then James Owen 5 1 2 3 Oct 25
Kakarotto (GB)then Michael Keady 5 0 1 23 Sep 25
Grey D'Ars (FR)from T Lemer 5 1 1 4 Dec 24
Launchpad (IRE) 4 0 0 17 Sep 26
Ramli (GB)from Michael Keady 4 1 2 20 Jun 26
All 44 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 44 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Keady (2) and Sophie Leech (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Amy Murphy (2) and Michael Keady (2); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
2923097160670017
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Quinlan 27 1 3.7% −18.40
Miss Grace Littmoden 11 2 18.2% +11.50
Fred Daly 11 0 0% −11.00
Hollie Doyle 7 1 14.3% −2.50
Kyle McHugh 7 1 14.3% −0.50
Mlle Axelle Nicco 5 1 20% +9.10
Corentin Berge 5 2 40% +13.60
Benjamin Gelhay 4 1 25% +4.40
Jack Callan 4 1 25% +2.00
Kevin Nabet 3 1 33.3% +15.70
Mme Marie Velon 3 0 0% −3.00
Hugh Nugent 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
230
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£2.23m
Prize money
2006
Best season · 44 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Imperil (FR) — Prix du President de la Republique (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2023 · Grade 3
£101,549
Captain Speaking (FR) — Prix Saint Sauveur (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2022 · Listed
£35,924
One More Round (USA) — Totesport Heritage Handicap Windsor · Jul 2006 · Class 2
£31,160
Notable horses
Lord Theo (GB) Kindlelight Debut (GB) Wavertree Warrior (IRE) Orpsie Boy (IRE) Fearsome (GB) Ninth House (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
No Risk At All (FR) 17.4% · 4–23
Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,107 runs since 2008 (430 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 941.
Equiano (FR) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,539 runs since 2008 (549 horses).
Reliable Man (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,208 runs since 2008 (146 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 105. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.9% from 101.
Linda's Lad (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,312 runs since 2008 (183 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.8% from 212.
Gemix (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10% of 721 runs since 2008 (123 horses).
Muhaarar (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,786 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,604 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,604 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 3 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Secret Message (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Bettingsites.co.uk Free Bet Offers Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 300/1
21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Green Team (FR)J: Kyle McHugh attheraces.com/market Movers Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 18/1
18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Warrnambool (GER)J: Kyle McHugh JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 16/1
17 Sep 26 Yarmouth Launchpad (IRE)J: George Wood Moss And Co Hospitality Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1
09 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Secret Message (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet/breeders Backing Racing Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 11th 200/1
01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Warrnambool (GER)J: Miss Grace Littmoden Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 18/1
26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Launchpad (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 150/1
20 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Warrnambool (GER)J: Ryan Kavanagh Air Cool Engineering Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 22/1
15 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Launchpad (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 22/1
11 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Warrnambool (GER)J: Luke Morris Smarter Gambling Starts At gambling.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 6/1
03 Aug 26 Windsor Green Team (FR)J: Miss Grace Littmoden A1R Services Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 7/1
27 Jul 26 Southwell (AW) Pic N Mix (FR)J: Jonny Peate Prestige Safety First Aid Training Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 300/1
13 Jul 26 Windsor Launchpad (IRE)J: Luke Morris Ambrose Loves Reggae EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 150/1
20 Jun 26 Nottingham Ramli (GB)J: Kyle McHugh Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Training Series Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/4
01 Jun 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ramli (GB)J: Kyle McHugh Race And Rest At The Holiday Inn Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 11/2
29 May 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Green Team (FR)J: Miss Grace Littmoden Download The At The Races App Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 17/2
25 May 26 Huntingdon Land Of Dreams (FR)J: Jack Quinlan Bet Smarter With Oddschecker+ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 6 ran PU 25/1
21 May 26 Southwell (AW) Green Team (FR)J: Miss Grace Littmoden Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 4/1
19 May 26 Huntingdon Pic N Mix (FR)J: Jack Quinlan Tattersalls Ireland May HIT & P2P Sale Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 125/1
14 May 26 Salisbury Ramli (GB)J: Kyle McHugh Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Novice StakesClass 3 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nick Littmoden's strike rate?
Nick Littmoden has won 15 of 155 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Nick Littmoden's Fair A/E?
1.29, from 151 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).