Rod Millman
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 330 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 20% (46 runs).
The record is strongest at Sandown (22.9%, n=48), clear of the yard's 12.5% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 19.6% (n=46, Fair A/E 1.56), but debutants struggle at 2.3% (n=86, Fair A/E 0.58). Lewis Edmunds rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.7% vs 12.5%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (26.4%, n=72) and over 1m5f – 2m (20.8%, n=48). 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes at Newbury (Jul 2025, £134,092). The stable star of the record: Airshow (GB) — 13 wins from 82 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 6,801 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 6,801 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Rod Millman's strike rate?
- Rod Millman has won 207 of 1,657 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rod Millman do best at?
- Sandown by strike rate: 11 wins from 48 runners (22.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Rod Millman?
- Lewis Edmunds, with 251 runners since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (14.7%).
- Is Rod Millman in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Rod Millman's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 1,646 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.