No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 2.5%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.3%+2.9
n=19 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −15.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.5%+0.1
n=40 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −36.75
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)2800%−28.00
Good to Firm700%−7.00
Good300%−3.00
Firm11100%+2.25
Good to Soft100%−1.00
Soft100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW)1500%−15.00
Kempton (AW)600%−6.00
Wolverhampton (AW)400%−4.00
Chelmsford City (AW)300%−3.00
Brighton200%−2.00
Yarmouth2150%+1.25
Leicester200%−2.00
Nottingham100%−1.00
Ripon100%−1.00
Beverley100%−1.00
Carlisle100%−1.00
Windsor100%−1.00
Lingfield100%−1.00
Newmarket100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 62314.3%−19.75
Class 51200%−12.00
Class 4300%−3.00
Class 3200%−2.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite100%0.00−1.00
2nd–3rd fav8112.5%0.91−4.75
4th–6th fav1900%0.00−19.00
7th+ in betting1300%0.00−13.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f1900%−19.00
1m – 1m1f800%−8.00
1m2f – 1m4f7114.3%−3.75
Under 6f500%−5.00
1m5f – 2m200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2013300%−3.00
20142314.3%−19.75
20151500%−15.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps3812.6%−34.75
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners2000%−20.00
11-13 runners1500%−15.00
5-7 runners400%−4.00
2-4 runners2150%+1.25
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 19 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000005000000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,309 runs since 2013 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.
Songandaprayer (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12% of 200 runs since 2008 (13 horses).
Tiger Hill (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,823 runs since 2008 (360 horses).
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Elnadim (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.8% of 3,353 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 108. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 152.
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,990 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 41 archived runs · newest first
Every one of Tomas Harrigan's 41 archived rides, from 4 April 2013 to 27 June 2015, newest first — one winner among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Tomas Harrigan's strike rate?
Tomas Harrigan has won 1 of 41 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Tomas Harrigan's Fair A/E?
0.29, from 41 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Tomas Harrigan·SR 2.4%·A/E 0.29
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