Deborah Sanderson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01).
The record is strongest at Catterick (13.3%, n=30), clear of the yard's 8.7% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). Silvestre De Sousa rode 14% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12% vs 8.7%, A/E 0.96). The yard also read well on Good to Firm going (13.5%, n=96) and off a 8-14-day break (12.2%, n=90). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 35 runners, 8.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard at trips under 6f: Fair A/E 0.62 across 71 runners (5.6% strike, −16.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Prigsnov Dancer (IRE) — 6 wins from 53 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 368 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 368 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 April 2009 to 8 June 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Deborah Sanderson's strike rate?
- Deborah Sanderson has won 32 of 368 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Deborah Sanderson do best at?
- Catterick by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Deborah Sanderson?
- Silvestre De Sousa, with 50 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (12%).
- What is Deborah Sanderson's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 365 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.