N Bellanger
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.26).
The record is strongest at Chantilly (FR) (20.6%, n=34), clear of the yard's 9.4% baseline. It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (3.1% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.58). The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (12.5%, n=48). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 4.8% over 42 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix De La Chambre Du Duc at Chantilly (FR) (Sep 2026, £25,450).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 277 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 277 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2016 to 18 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is N Bellanger's strike rate?
- N Bellanger has won 14 of 149 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does N Bellanger do best at?
- Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 34 runners (20.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is N Bellanger in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is N Bellanger's Fair A/E?
- 1.26, from 148 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.