1:12 Galway
This is a seven-runner rated novice chase over 2m2f54y at Galway, a race that looks competitive on paper with three horses carrying an official rating of 130. The KTB Fit Scores identify Karl Des Tourelles as the clear top horse on 68, ahead of Begorra Man on 62, with Coral River and King's Bucks completing the principals. All runners are unproven on the ground according to the data, and the pace shape is expected to be muddling and tactical.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious front-runner in a muddling, tactical pace shape, the race is likely to be decided by those able to race close to the pace. Karl Des Tourelles, Begorra Man and Coral River all have prominent run-styles and should be handily placed throughout, while King's Bucks typically settles in mid-division. The key question is which of the prominent runners can best navigate the tactical nature of the contest and produce their effort at the right time.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Karl Des Tourelles KTB Selection68/100
Karl Des Tourelles is a high-class performer who showed his well-being when second here over this trip on his return. He has placed at the distance and has solid course form with a second from his only run at Galway. The trainer operates at a 12% strike rate here in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey is 12% at the track above his 8% at other courses. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he should be well positioned in a muddling tactical affair. His recent form of 6466-2 underlines his readiness, and at an official rating of 130 he brings the highest class to proceedings.
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2Begorra Man62/100
Begorra Man has shown consistent placed form in five runs and now drops back in trip to a distance he has not tried before. He is a full brother to Listed winner Fingle Bridge and comes from a family with plenty of winners. Trainer Gavin Cromwell has a 7% strike rate at Galway from 394 runs which is below his 10% at other courses while Keith Donoghue records an 11% strike rate here from 171 rides in line with his overall figure. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead with high confidence in that style, he should be prominent in a race that lacks an obvious leader. His form of 2/222- speaks of reliability.
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3Coral River53/100
Coral River is a high-class performer who arrives in solid form after a win and two placed efforts from his last four starts. He steps up in trip today having been placed once at this distance without winning, though he was well beaten on his only previous run here. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 7-11% strike rate at Galway which sits in line with their figures elsewhere. With a high-confidence prominent run-style he should be on or close to the pace in this tactical contest. Carrying an official rating of 130 and with recent form of 32219-, he is entitled to be involved at the business end.
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4King's Bucks51/100
King's Bucks has shown fair placed form at this trip and drops back from 3m having been placed once in one run at 2m2f. He finished fourth on his only visit to Galway and his recent efforts include a second and two other placings mixed with a pulled-up run. The Henry de Bromhead stable operates at an 11% strike rate here which is in line with their record elsewhere while Mike O'Connor has a 5% strike rate at the track which is also in line with his record at other courses. Typically settling in midfield, he may need the race to fall his way in a muddling affair. His form reads 432P2- and the family line shows he is a half-brother to Fazayte who won five times from 33 runs.
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5County Final47/100
County Final has placed twice from eight starts and arrives off the back of three modest efforts. The yard's 6% strike rate at Galway is in line with their record elsewhere while Harry Cobden's 13% strike rate here comes from only 16 rides. Dropping back in trip is a fresh question and the horse remains unproven on this ground. Usually held up and producing its effort late, he may find the muddling pace shape against him.
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6Maidenstreetprince45/100
Maidenstreetprince is a high-class performer on his day with a solid official rating of 124 and consistent recent form figures of 33F32. He has shown ability at today's trip without winning and steps back up in distance after his latest run over 1m6f. Course form is modest with two runs here yielding 13th and unseated, while both trainer and jockey record in-line strike rates at Galway and the horse remains unproven on this ground. Usually held up, he may struggle to land a blow in a tactical race.
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7On Your Way42/100
On Your Way arrives with a patchy but not fully exposed profile after 13 runs. The step up in trip poses a fresh question having been unsuccessful in one previous try at this distance. Trainer at Galway records an 8% strike rate from 213 runs in line with their overall figure while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge. Usually held up and producing its effort late, he faces a stiff task in this muddling tactical contest.
KTB verdict
Karl Des Tourelles stands out as the KTB Selection. A high-class performer, he showed his well-being when second here over this trip on his return and has solid course form with a second from his only run at Galway. His prominent run-style should serve him well in a muddling tactical race and the Philip Fenton yard and Sean Flanagan combination both have respectable strike rates at the track. The main dangers are likely to come from the other prominent runners, particularly the consistent Begorra Man and the high-class Coral River who arrives in solid form.
KTB Selection Karl Des Tourelles
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:42am, 26 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Karl Des Tourelles | 7/4 | Bet Victor, 12:35am |
| Begorra Man | 7/1 | Bet365, 12:35am |
| Coral River | 11/2 | Bet365, 12:35am |
| King's Bucks | 9/4 | Bet365, 12:35am |
| County Final | 14/1 | Bet365, 12:35am |
| Maidenstreetprince | 12/1 | Bet365, 12:35am |
| On Your Way | 11/1 | Bet365, 12:42am |
This is the narrative read of the 1:12 Galway. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Galway racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Galway results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Galway racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit Score and is the selection?
Karl Des Tourelles with a KTB Fit Score of 68/100 is the selection.
How many runners are prominent in run-style?
Three runners are prominent: Karl Des Tourelles, Begorra Man and Coral River.
Which horse is a full brother to a Listed winner?
Begorra Man is a full brother to Fingle Bridge, a Listed winner who won five times from 11 runs.
Which horse has course form of a second at Galway over this trip?
Karl Des Tourelles has course form of a second from his only run at Galway.
What is the pace shape for this race?
Muddling / tactical with medium confidence, a race that should suit those ridden close to the pace.
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