1:30 Plumpton

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Le Cold Grey65/100

   Form 32- · Paul Nicholls · Sam Twiston-Davies

   Family: half-brother to Gaillard Du Mesnil, a Grade 1 winner (5 wins from 18 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Le Cold Grey arrives with progressive bumper form, having finished third on debut and second last time out over shorter trips. He now steps up in trip as a fresh question while carrying the pedigree of being a half-brother to Gaillard Du Mesnil, a Grade 1 winner, with the dam having produced three other runners including one winner. Paul Nicholls holds a 28% strike rate at Plumpton from 299 runs, notably above his 23% at other tracks, and teams up with Sam Twiston-Davies whose Plumpton record stands at 22% from 148 rides. The horse is unproven on good ground and has no course form, yet the stable's local record adds interest as he steps up in class. His front-running tendencies, albeit on limited evidence with low confidence, could prove influential given the tentative pace shape.

2. 2Bold Step KTB Selection65/100

   Form 2-2 · Nicky Henderson · Nico de Boinville

   Family: half-brother to Steal A March (4 wins from 15 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Bold Step has shown plenty in two bumper runs this year, finishing second on both occasions, and now makes his hurdling debut for Nicky Henderson. The yard posts a 31% strike rate at Plumpton from 262 runs, well above their 22% elsewhere, and Nico de Boinville's 20% record from 75 Plumpton rides adds further strength to the combination. He steps up in trip today as a fresh question while the small sample leaves his ability on good ground and overall level unknown. As a half-brother to Steal A March who won four times from 15 starts, with the dam having produced two winners from two other runners, there is enough in the profile to suggest he can build on those placed efforts. Typically settling in midfield with medium confidence, he should be well placed to deliver his effort once the race unfolds up the straight.

3. 3Bailly's Comet64/100

   Form 139- · Anthony Honeyball · Rex Dingle

   Family: half-brother to Romeo Coolio, a Grade 1 winner (7 wins from 14 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Bailly's Comet showed useful promise when winning on debut at Fontwell before a modest effort last time out. Dropping in class for this assignment, the lightly-raced 4-year-old faces a fresh question as he steps up in trip. Anthony Honeyball's 25% strike rate at Plumpton from 194 runs sits above the yard's 17% at other courses, though Rex Dingle's 14% record from 162 Plumpton rides is more modest. With one win and two places from two runs on good ground he holds no concerns on that front, and his prominent run-style with medium confidence aligns with the tentative pace shape. As a half-brother to Romeo Coolio, a Grade 1 winner with seven victories from 14 runs, and with the dam having produced two winners from four other runners, the pedigree offers encouragement.

4. 4Silverhill Freya58/100

   Form P5- · Tom Lacey · Stan Sheppard

   Family: half-sister to Peejaybee (8 wins from 28 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Silverhill Freya is a newcomer whose assessment rests on pedigree and connections given the low data confidence. She is a half-sister to the useful winner Peejaybee who landed eight victories from 28 starts, while the dam has produced two winners from four other runners. Tom Lacey holds a 28% strike rate at Plumpton from 32 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, and Stan Sheppard is aboard though no specific Plumpton jockey record is supplied. By Beaumec De Houelle, whose progeny carry an 11% overall win rate from 557 runners, she has no course win on record and no previous form to assess. The 58 KTB Fit score places her as the lowest of the four principals, yet the stable's local record means she cannot be entirely dismissed on debut.

5. 5Vicomte Le Brave52/100

   Form 13-P35 · Cynthia Woods · Tom Cannon

   Family: half-brother to Vanillier, a Grade 1 winner (5 wins from 33 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Vicomte Le Brave has shown little in two starts since joining Cynthia Woods and arrives off the back of a pulled-up effort. A half-brother to high-class chaser Vanillier, he brings pedigree interest but remains lightly raced with only two career runs in the last year, and the small sample makes trip and ground suitability unknown. Dropping in class, his prominent run-style carries medium confidence though the yard's 0% strike rate from 54 Plumpton runs offers little encouragement.

6. 6Merci Vieil Ami43/100

   Form P-8055 · Paddy Butler · Marc Goldstein

   Family: half-brother to Le But (2 wins from 15 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Merci Vieil Ami has shown little so far with a recent form line of P-8055 and two modest fifths here at Plumpton. The yard's 5% strike rate at the track is above their 3% elsewhere yet remains modest overall, and he steps up markedly in trip today as a lightly raced 5-year-old with only four career runs. Usually held up with high confidence, he has four runs on good without a win or place.

7. 7Chase The Status36/100

   Form 53-64 · Max Young · James Best

   Family: the dam has had 2 other runners, none of them a winner.

   Chase The Status has shown only modest form in two starts over shorter trips and steps up markedly in distance today as a fresh question. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 8 runs at Plumpton and data confidence is low given the small sample and limited family success, with the dam having produced no winners from two other runners. Usually racing prominently with medium confidence, he has two runs on good without a win or place.