1:43 Hamilton

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Daring Leader KTB Selection61/100

   Form 838187 · Christopher Kellett · Lauren Young(3)

   Daring Leader is a limited performer who has won once from two starts at Hamilton and twice from five at this trip. He has form on soft ground but has failed to place on both attempts. The trainer has a 12% strike rate at Hamilton with an A/E of 1.27 from 41 runs while the jockey has a 13% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.04 from 67 rides. As a front-runner he is set to make the running here from draw 3, a scenario that fits the uncontested lead suggested by the pace shape. His recent form of 838187 includes a win, and while modest overall he holds the KTB Selection tag on these terms.

2. 2Little Ted54/100

   Form 226422 · Tim Easterby · Jake Dickson(3)

   Little Ted is a limited performer who has been knocking at the door of late with four seconds in his last six starts. He handles soft ground, having been placed twice from three runs on it without winning, and has won over today's trip though he remains winless in 2024. Dropping in class should help, and both trainer and jockey have solid records at Hamilton with the trainer on 14% strike rate and A/E 0.91 from 638 runs while the jockey is 13% with A/E 1.07 from 15 rides. Usually held up with high confidence, he will be produced late from draw 1 and needs to find a way past an uncontested leader on this surface.

3. 3April Diamond49/100

   Form 652061 · Iain Jardine · Cara Tuke(7)

   April Diamond is a limited performer who has shown the odd flash of ability, most recently when winning a similar race over 7f at this track. She steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question, and she is unproven on soft ground. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Hamilton with an A/E of 0.93 from 659 runs although the jockey has a 0% strike rate from three rides with an A/E of 0. Usually held up with high confidence from draw 7, she will be coming from the rear in a race where the leader may not come back.

4. 4Hostelry45/100

   Form 545162 · Ruth Carr · Warren Fentiman

   Hostelry is a limited handicapper who has won twice at Hamilton from seven runs and also has nine wins from 46 starts at today's trip. She showed her best this year when winning at Redcar in June but has been hit and miss since with a string of ordinary efforts. The trainer has a solid 11% strike-rate here from 256 runs with an A/E of 0.89 yet the jockey is operating at just 4% from 25 rides with an A/E of 0.34. She is 0-4 on soft ground from four runs, and as a hold-up performer with high confidence she faces the stiff task of reeling in a clear leader on this going.

5. 5Hale Bopp44/100

   Form 300376 · Daragh Bourke · Amie Waugh

   Hale Bopp is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last four starts and holds only modest form on soft ground from a small sample of two runs without a win or place. He has won over today's trip in the past but that was some time ago and his overall record at this level is limited. Both trainer and jockey have established records at Hamilton though neither figure stands out.

6. 6Millbuie38/100

   Form 037236 · Ewan Whillans · William Pyle

   Millbuie is a limited performer who has shown his best at this track with three placed efforts from nine runs though he has never won here. He drops back to 1m having been placed three times at the trip earlier in his career and the recent form of 037236 suggests he can be competitive at this level on his best days. The trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Hamilton with A/E 0.53 from 122 runs and the jockey's 7% with A/E 0.66 from 60 rides both point to limited upside while the three soft-ground runs without a place add a note of caution.

7. 7Toy Soldier38/100

   Form 226875 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · Lexie Clarkson(7)

   Toy Soldier is a limited performer who has been competitive without winning on soft ground, where he is placed once from four runs, or at this trip. He has shown some ability here at Hamilton but could only finish fifth on his one visit. The trainer holds an 8% strike rate at the track with A/E 0.59 from 13 runs while the jockey is still seeking a first winner from five rides with A/E 0.