What is Ewan Whillans's strike rate?

Ewan Whillans has won 108 of 1,241 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ewan Whillans do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 68 runners (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ewan Whillans?

Craig Nichol, with 207 runners since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (12.6%).

Is Ewan Whillans in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ewan Whillans's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 1,230 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ewan Whillans

1,241 runners in the last 5 seasons · 114 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 4.2% of 285 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 23 Oct 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

108–1,241

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=1,241

299 (24%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=1,230 · 0.91 incl. margin

−143.77

£1 level stake

n=1,241 at SP · −11.6%

£1.35m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 14% (70 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,241 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr 27.3% when favourite Craig Nichol: 12.6% from 207 Headgear returns: 14.3% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=70, Fair A/E 2.22), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=179, Fair A/E 0.67). Craig Nichol rides 17% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.6% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.53) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (17.7%, n=79). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 56 runners, 8.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.34 across 63 runners (1.6% strike, −54.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the bet365 Morebattle Hurdle at Kelso (Mar 2024, £61,728). The stable star of the record: Ramon Di Loria (IRE) — 10 wins from 89 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.4%−5.3

n=179 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −27.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.7%−5.0

n=54 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −14.50

Debutants · first career start

5.9%−2.8

n=34 · A/E 0.97 · £1 +23.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−2.4

n=32 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +36.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14.3%+5.6

n=70 · A/E 2.22 · £1 +64.38

When favourite

27.3%

n=55 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −5.97

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%−1.7

n=157 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −55.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

33.3%+24.6

n=3 · A/E 6.77 · £1 +8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Firm going 17.7% vs 8.7% · n=79

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 8.7% · n=56

With Peter Kavanagh 18.8% vs 8.7% · n=32

On last-time-out winners 15.1% vs 8.7% · n=106

Over 1m – 1m1f 1.6% vs 8.7% · n=63

With Sean Quinlan 16.3% vs 8.7% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 739 56 7.6% −239.51

Hurdle 315 38 12.1% +115.66

Chase 129 10 7.8% −36.17

NH Flat 58 4 6.9% +16.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 354 35 9.9% −50.14

Standard (AW) 328 23 7% −79.50

Good to Soft 260 19 7.3% +7.08

Soft 171 12 7% −50.37

Good to Firm 79 14 17.7% +11.16

Heavy 49 5 10.2% +18.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 203 10 4.9% −83.00

Ayr 171 17 9.9% −30.92

Hamilton 116 5 4.3% −69.67

Musselburgh 115 11 9.6% −19.17

Kelso 103 15 14.6% +48.95

Carlisle 69 5 7.2% −20.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 68 10 14.7% +14.75

Perth 67 7 10.4% +45.38

Southwell (AW) 48 3 6.3% −2.25

Hexham 46 5 10.9% +36.00

Newcastle 39 5 12.8% −1.92

Catterick 38 3 7.9% −13.25

Redcar 25 4 16% +1.00

Sedgefield 21 3 14.3% +28.50

Haydock 16 1 6.3% −11.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 453 40 8.8% −109.17

Class 5 359 24 6.7% −118.88

Class 4 279 26 9.3% +41.41

Class 3 76 9 11.8% +22.75

Class 2 66 8 12.1% +17.12

Class 1 8 1 12.5% +3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 69 20 29% 1.12 −0.56

2nd–3rd fav 205 32 15.6% 0.99 −20.21

4th–6th fav 455 39 8.6% 1.13 −9.00

7th+ in betting 512 17 3.3% 1.08 −114.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ramon Di Loria (IRE)from Tracey Collins 89 10 36 12 Oct 26

Billy Bathgate (GB)from Alistair Whillans 63 6 21 20 Oct 26

Ebony Maw (GB)from G M Lyons 52 5 20 29 Sep 26

Zephlyn (IRE) 49 5 13 24 Sep 26

Scots Poet (GB)from Alistair Whillans 43 7 17 16 Sep 26

Millbuie (GB) 33 0 6 2 Oct 26

Back Tomorrow (GB)from Richard Spencer 31 3 5 9 Feb 26

Desert Quest (IRE)from Alistair Whillans 30 4 11 16 Jul 26

Cracking Destiny (IRE)from Alistair Whillans 28 3 6 30 Oct 25

Topkapi Star (GB)from Amy Murphy 27 4 4 4 Feb 26

Hold The Note (IRE)from Mick Channon 24 2 4 30 Nov 25

Bella Bluesky (GB)from Alistair Whillans 24 3 7 5 Apr 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 114 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 47 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alistair Whillans (15) and Evan Williams (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for James Ewart (2) and Jim Goldie (2); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

913131378968656

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCraig Nichol

17% of all rides
12.6% SR · A/E 1.53

RiderRWSR£1

Craig Nichol 207 26 12.6% +146.87

Rowan Scott 161 13 8.1% −59.59

Jason Hart 81 10 12.3% −3.25

Greg Fairley 59 8 13.6% +23.83

P J McDonald 54 4 7.4% +18.50

Callum Bewley 53 1 1.9% −50.00

Sean Quinlan 43 7 16.3% +29.83

Ryan Sexton 39 5 12.8% +13.50

Danny McMenamin 35 4 11.4% +7.83

Peter Kavanagh 32 6 18.8% +46.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

115

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.42m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 32 wins

Cracking Rhapsody (IRE) — bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£61,728

Cracking Rhapsody (IRE) — bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2025 · Class 2

£61,728

Cracking Rhapsody (IRE) — Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2025 · Grade 2

£56,270

Notable horses

Ramon Di Loria (IRE) Scots Poet (GB) Cracking Rhapsody (IRE) Billy Bathgate (GB) Luminaries (IRE) Ebony Maw (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.7% · 13–134

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,928 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Iffraaj (GB) 9.9% · 10–101

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,956 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses).

New Approach (IRE) 9.1% · 6–66

Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,792 runs since 2008 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.

Yeats (IRE) 14.8% · 8–54

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,810 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Leading Light (IRE) 17.8% · 8–45

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,197 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Nathaniel (IRE) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,070 runs since 2008 (635 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.5% from 325.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,340 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,340 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 August 2021 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Hexham Blakey Boy (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 9/4

20 Oct 26 Hexham Billy Bathgate (GB)J: Craig Nichol Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 6/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Sure And Stedfast (IRE)J: Greg Fairley Phil Bull Trophy Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 22/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Star Of Guiting (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Every Irish Race Live On RacingTV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/2

14 Oct 26 Nottingham It's All About You (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Colwick Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 40/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Inappropriate (IRE)J: Greg Fairley Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Southwell Luminaries (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Golf And Gallop Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 3/1F

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Mr Withington (FR)J: Shane Gray Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 15/2

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Galahad Threepwood (GB)J: Greg Fairley Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 11/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Ramon Di Loria (IRE)J: Shane Gray Musselburgh Members Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 20/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham Pether's Daisy (GB)J: Callum Bewley Clubs Of Northumberland Open National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 20/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham Athair Mor (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Blaydon Races Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/4J

08 Oct 26 Ayr Royal Blaze (GB)J: William Pyle Stella Artois Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 28/1

04 Oct 26 Kelso Luminaries (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 100/30F

03 Oct 26 Redcar Sure And Stedfast (IRE)J: Greg Fairley Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Millbuie (GB)J: Joanna Mason Henry Malone 1926 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 22/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Billy Bathgate (GB)J: Clifford Lee Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 15/2

29 Sep 26 Ayr Ebony Maw (GB)J: Jason Hart Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 15f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 9/2

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Inappropriate (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 12/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Zephlyn (IRE)J: Craig Nichol A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ewan Whillans's strike rate?: Ewan Whillans has won 108 of 1,241 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ewan Whillans do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 68 runners (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ewan Whillans?: Craig Nichol, with 207 runners since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (12.6%).
Is Ewan Whillans in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ewan Whillans's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 1,230 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.