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Trainer profile

Christopher Kellett

274 runners in the last 5 seasons · 31 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
25–274
Wins / Runs
9.1%
Strike rate
n=274
67 (25%)
Placed
1.13
Fair A/E
n=270 · 1.03 incl. margin
−79.40
£1 level stake
n=274 at SP · −29.0%
£198k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13).

Deterministic profile computed from 274 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.44). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (25.9%, n=54) and on Good going (12.8%, n=94). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 0% over 43 runners, 9.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: White Umbrella (GB) — 6 wins from 44 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.4%−6.7
n=42 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −38.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
27.3%
n=11 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −3.40
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%−2.4
n=45 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −28.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 25.9% vs 9.1% · n=54
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 9.1% · n=43
In Class 4 3.2% vs 9.1% · n=31
With C&D winners 14% vs 9.1% · n=57
With Jason Hart 13.9% vs 9.1% · n=36
On Good going 12.8% vs 9.1% · n=94
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 223 22 9.9% −50.90
Chase 29 2 6.9% −10.50
Hurdle 20 1 5% −16.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 94 12 12.8% +1.85
Standard (AW) 60 5 8.3% −25.25
Soft 41 4 9.8% −12.50
Good to Soft 40 3 7.5% −17.50
Good to Firm 25 1 4% −12.00
Heavy 14 0 0% −14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 44 4 9.1% −13.75
Catterick 38 4 10.5% +2.00
Carlisle 25 3 12% +2.50
Hamilton 21 4 19% +3.60
Ayr 19 3 15.8% +7.50
Redcar 11 1 9.1% −5.00
Doncaster 10 0 0% −10.00
Ripon 10 0 0% −10.00
Newcastle (AW) 10 1 10% −5.50
Beverley 9 0 0% −9.00
Nottingham 8 2 25% +7.25
Market Rasen 7 0 0% −7.00
Thirsk 7 0 0% −7.00
Chester 7 0 0% −7.00
Pontefract 6 1 16.7% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 148 18 12.2% −23.15
Class 5 92 5 5.4% −52.25
Class 4 31 1 3.2% −14.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 1 100% +12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 3 25% 0.89 −4.40
2nd–3rd fav 40 8 20% 0.98 +7.00
4th–6th fav 97 12 12.4% 1.64 +15.00
7th+ in betting 125 2 1.6% 0.56 −97.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
White Umbrella (GB)from Harry & Roger Charlton 44 6 12 2 Sep 26
Darbucks (IRE) 39 5 15 24 Sep 25
Twoforthegutter (IRE)from Ian Williams 24 3 10 9 Sep 25
Begoodtoyourself (IRE) 19 2 5 10 May 24
Daring Leader (IRE)from Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 17 3 7 2 Oct 26
Redrosezorro (GB)from Eric Alston 17 2 4 2 Oct 24
Blistering Barney (IRE) 14 3 5 15 Aug 23
El Pinto (GB) 9 0 2 15 Jun 26
I See The Sea (IRE)from Philip Hobbs & Johnson White 9 1 3 13 Apr 26
Golden Move (GB)from Paul Nicholls 8 0 0 2 Feb 26
Keep Wondering (IRE)from Philip Hobbs & Johnson White 7 0 1 15 Apr 24
Dance Hello (IRE)from K R Burke 6 0 0 17 May 26
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ian Williams (3) and Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00038283125171420
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJason Hart
13% of all rides
13.9% SR · A/E 1.29
RiderRWSR£1
Jason Hart 36 5 13.9% +4.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
54
Archived wins
£382k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Blistering Barney (IRE) — Fairfax Saddles Grassroots Series Stayers' Final Handicap Nottingham · Sep 2022 · Class 2
£15,462
Rookery Lad (GB) — Avon Estates Handicap Chase Stratford · Jun 2006 · Class 3
£7,829
Rookery Lad (GB) — Rocom Plantronics Handicap Chase Wetherby · May 2006 · Class 3
£6,506
Notable horses
White Umbrella (GB) Blistering Barney (IRE) Darbucks (IRE) Rookery Lad (GB) Deconso (GB) Bahhmirage (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 13.6% · 6–44
Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,064 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.
Profitable (IRE) 12.8% · 5–39
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,408 runs since 2008 (356 horses).
Expert Eye (GB) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 10% of 2,187 runs since 2008 (196 horses).
Getaway (GER) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Acclamation (GB) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Foxwedge (AUS) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (131 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,387 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,387 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Redcar Dadawada (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Redrosecastana (IRE)J: Olivia Tubb Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 66/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kindly Queen (IRE)J: Christian Howarth Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 50/1
02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Luminous Warrior (IRE)J: Jason Hart Armah Switchgear Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 15/2
02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Daring Leader (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Henry Malone 1926 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 22/1
30 Sep 26 Catterick Redrosecastana (IRE)J: Luke Morris Racing To School Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 6th 150/1
28 Sep 26 Hamilton Dadawada (IRE)J: Zak Wheatley Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 11/1
24 Sep 26 Pontefract Alice Inher Palace (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Celebrating The Life Of Bobby Howard EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 8th 125/1
21 Sep 26 Hamilton Havana Cohiba (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Evolution, Your Partner For Fastener Solutions EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 100/1
21 Sep 26 Hamilton Daring Leader (IRE)J: Lauren Young Racing TV Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 17/2
19 Sep 26 Chester Kindly Queen (IRE)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Lord Mayor's Spooktacular Fireworks Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 66/1
15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Redrosecastana (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com "Confined" Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Run No More Than Twice) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 125/1
14 Sep 26 Thirsk Dadawada (IRE)J: Faleh Bughenaim Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 10th 50/1
09 Sep 26 Redcar Luminous Warrior (IRE)J: Jason Hart Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 10/1
05 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Daring Leader (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 28/1
02 Sep 26 Hamilton Kindly Queen (IRE)J: Faleh Bughanaim Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap StakesClass 5 · 13f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 80/1
02 Sep 26 Hamilton White Umbrella (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Hampton By Hilton Hotel Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 7/1
02 Sep 26 Hamilton Dadawada (IRE)J: Faleh Bughanaim Heineken Low & No Bar Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 125/1
26 Aug 26 Catterick Redrosecastana (IRE)J: Mark Winn Yorkshire Dales Distillery/EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes(for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 150/1
25 Aug 26 Musselburgh Luminous Warrior (IRE)J: Connor Beasley AAB Group And Bibby Financial Services Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Christopher Kellett's strike rate?
Christopher Kellett has won 25 of 274 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Christopher Kellett do best at?
Catterick by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 runners (10.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Christopher Kellett in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Christopher Kellett's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 270 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).