2:27 Carlisle
The 2:27 at Carlisle is a Class 3 Magnet, Better. By Design Handicap Steeple Chase over 3m110y, a Challenger Staying Chase Series qualifier that has attracted a small but competitive field of five. All runners arrive unproven on the prevailing ground, which adds a layer of uncertainty to a race that features several high-class performers on official ratings between 104 and 130. The KTB Fit Scores identify Dare To Shout at the head of the numbers on 72, ahead of Breizh River on 65 and Walk On Quest on 57, painting a picture of a contest where proven course form and the ability to handle a genuinely-run race will be at a premium.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is described as genuinely run, with a front-runner expected to be pressed by several handy types in what should prove a fair test. Sir Carnegie is the most likely to take the field along from the front, while both Dare To Shout and Breizh River prefer to race prominently and will be close to the pace from the outset. Walk On Quest and Sean Og are more inclined to settle in mid-division, meaning the key question is whether the prominent pair can maintain their position when the tempo lifts in the latter stages or if the race will fall into the hands of a closer timing his effort.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Dare To Shout KTB Selection72/100
Dare To Shout is a high-class performer who has won both starts at Carlisle, including over course and distance. He steps up in trip today having won once from three runs at this distance, though his recent form of 425P-9 is mixed. The nine-year-old usually races handily on or close to the lead and will be suited by the anticipated genuine pace. First-time headgear is now fitted in a bid to sharpen him up, while he remains unproven on the ground. Ann Hamilton and Danny McMenamin team up with a 26% record together, and both have solid strike rates at the track.
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2Breizh River65/100
Breizh River is a high-class performer with an official rating of 130 and a solid recent record of 32133D. He has placed without winning at today's trip in two of three runs and showed his best effort here when second on his latest visit to Carlisle. The eight-year-old usually races handily on or close to the lead and should be to the fore in a genuinely-run contest. He remains unproven on the ground, while the yard's 10% strike rate at Carlisle is in line with their record elsewhere and the jockey's 6% strike rate is likewise consistent with his figures at other courses.
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3Walk On Quest57/100
Walk On Quest is a high-class performer who won over course and distance on his only previous visit to Carlisle. He steps up in trip again today having been placed without winning at this range on two of five starts, though he is unproven on the ground. The seven-year-old typically settles in midfield and will be looking to come through late in what should be a truly-run affair. Dropping in class is a positive, and the Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore partnership operates at its standard level here alongside Derek Fox.
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4Sean Og53/100
Sean Og is a smart performer on his day with a solid recent record that includes two wins from his last five starts. He steps up in class and in trip today having already won at this distance, but he has run four times at Carlisle without placing and remains unproven on the ground.
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5Sir Carnegie47/100
Sir Carnegie is a useful performer who has shown plenty of consistency this year with three wins from his last eight starts. He drops back from 3m2f to a trip he has won at twice from eight attempts and arrives in decent recent form, though the Carlisle debut and unproven ground both remain unknowns at this level.
KTB verdict
Dare To Shout looks to hold the strongest hand on balance and is the KTB Selection. His two-from-two record at Carlisle is a significant asset, he has already shown he can win at this trip, and the prominent run-style should see him ideally placed in a race that is set to be run at a genuine gallop. First-time headgear may help him to put his mixed recent form behind him. Breizh River is the most obvious danger given his higher official rating, solid recent efforts and course placings, while Walk On Quest cannot be dismissed with his course-and-distance success and a drop in class.
KTB Selection Dare To Shout
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 22 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Dare To Shout | 11/4 | William Hill |
| Breizh River | 7/2 | Bet Victor |
| Walk On Quest | 6/1 | 7Bet |
| Sean Og | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Sir Carnegie | 11/4 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 2:27 Carlisle. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Carlisle racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Carlisle results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Carlisle racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best course record at Carlisle?
Dare To Shout has won both starts at Carlisle.
How many of these runners have previous course-and-distance form?
Dare To Shout has won once from three runs at this distance and Walk On Quest has won over course and distance.
Who is most likely to make the running?
Sir Carnegie tends to make the running or race on the pace.
Which trainers have the strongest strike rate at Carlisle?
Ann Hamilton has a 19% strike rate at Carlisle from 115 runs, while Dianne Sayer has a 10% strike rate from 442 runs.
Which horse is dropping in class?
Walk On Quest is dropping in class.
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