What is Tristan Davidson's strike rate?

Tristan Davidson has won 86 of 687 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tristan Davidson do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 16 wins from 76 runners (21.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tristan Davidson?

Harry Reed, with 146 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (13%).

Is Tristan Davidson in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tristan Davidson's Fair A/E?

1.13, from 683 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tristan Davidson

687 runners in the last 5 seasons · 64 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2022

86–687

Wins / Runs

12.5%

Strike rate

n=687

220 (32%)

Placed

1.13

Fair A/E

n=683 · 0.97 incl. margin

−91.67

£1 level stake

n=687 at SP · −13.3%

£803k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

19.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13).

Deterministic profile computed from 687 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 26.2% when favourite Harry Reed: 13% from 146 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (21.1%, n=76), clear of the yard's 12.5% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=83, Fair A/E 0.66). Harry Reed rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (19.7%, n=61). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.9% over 34 runners, 9.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Iris Dancer (GB) — 13 wins from 82 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−7.7

n=83 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −54.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.5%−5.0

n=40 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +14.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−12.5

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−12.5

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.4%−1.1

n=44 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −25.00

When favourite

26.2%

n=65 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −13.07

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.1%−7.4

n=79 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −40.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Hamilton 21.1% vs 12.5% · n=76

With Rowan Scott 20% vs 12.5% · n=100

Off a break of 180+ days 2.9% vs 12.5% · n=34

On Heavy going 3.1% vs 12.5% · n=32

With claiming riders up 5.1% vs 12.5% · n=79

Off a 0-7-day break 19.7% vs 12.5% · n=61

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 508 64 12.6% −74.23

Hurdle 132 17 12.9% +5.99

Chase 33 4 12.1% −12.63

NH Flat 14 1 7.1% −10.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 221 35 15.8% −46.25

Standard (AW) 174 19 10.9% −5.00

Good to Soft 112 14 12.5% +26.00

Soft 88 9 10.2% −16.00

Good to Firm 60 8 13.3% −22.75

Heavy 32 1 3.1% −27.67

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 125 12 9.6% +3.50

Ayr 80 6 7.5% −31.50

Hamilton 76 16 21.1% +4.50

Carlisle 54 5 9.3% −9.30

Catterick 48 7 14.6% −10.75

Musselburgh 41 5 12.2% −19.93

Hexham 34 5 14.7% +32.62

Wolverhampton (AW) 28 4 14.3% +0.50

Southwell (AW) 19 2 10.5% −9.75

Kelso 18 3 16.7% +3.00

Thirsk 16 1 6.3% −12.50

Haydock 15 1 6.7% −2.00

Ripon 15 3 20% +0.00

Wetherby 14 0 0% −14.00

Newcastle 12 2 16.7% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 246 31 12.6% −77.10

Class 6 204 24 11.8% −45.43

Class 4 194 23 11.9% −21.88

Class 3 26 5 19.2% +53.62

Class 2 15 3 20% +1.12

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 78 21 26.9% 1.00 −9.57

2nd–3rd fav 168 34 20.2% 1.21 −6.60

4th–6th fav 224 22 9.8% 1.14 −30.00

7th+ in betting 217 9 4.1% 1.18 −45.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Iris Dancer (GB)from R Mike Smith 74 13 23 20 Sep 26

Coconut Bay (GB)from Hughie Morrison 71 6 23 12 Sep 26

Our Absent Friends (IRE) 65 9 24 16 Oct 26

Ecclesiastical (GB)from T G McCourt · then Lisa Williamson 29 6 14 27 Mar 25

Harb (GB)from Peter Crate 26 5 9 12 Oct 26

Runninsonofagun (IRE)from Anthony Mullins 24 2 11 12 Oct 26

Dandy Lichious (IRE)from Paul W Flynn 21 0 3 11 Aug 25

Secret Road (IRE)from Gerard Keane · then Lisa Williamson 21 3 7 28 Oct 24

Spirit Of Ash (IRE)from John Joseph Murphy 20 5 10 26 Apr 24

Laudable (GB)from John Joseph Murphy 19 3 10 10 Jun 25

Rory's Story (IRE) 17 1 5 4 Sep 25

Shantou Moon (IRE)then William Young Jnr 17 2 3 4 May 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 46 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Joseph Murphy (5) and Barry J Fitzgerald (2); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Lisa Williamson (2); 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

51318610211317158103

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderHarry Reed

21% of all rides
13% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

Harry Reed 146 19 13% −35.94

Rowan Scott 100 20 20% +23.44

Jason Hart 100 16 16% +10.08

Andrew Mullen 63 9 14.3% −21.00

Phil Dennis 44 3 6.8% +0.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

157

Archived wins

£1.26m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 30 wins

Breizh River (FR) — Virgin Bet Auld Reekie Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Jan 2026 · Class 2

£26,015

Breizh River (FR) — Oakmere Homes Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cartmel · Jun 2026 · Class 2

£22,708

Divilabother (IRE) — EWGA Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race) Cartmel · Aug 2026 · Class 2

£12,903

Notable horses

Iris Dancer (GB) Our Absent Friends (IRE) Greengage (IRE) Pearl Of Qatar (GB) Justatenner (GB) Coconut Bay (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 16.7% · 13–78

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Bated Breath (GB) 8.5% · 6–71

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,128 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 843.

Camacho (GB) 13.8% · 9–65

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,319 runs since 2008 (596 horses).

Teofilo (IRE) 15.6% · 5–32

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,070 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 20.7% · 6–29

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,216 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–26

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,120 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,120 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 May 2011 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Rewired (GB)J: Harry Reed Download The www.betvickers.com App Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 8th 28/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Our Absent Friends (IRE)J: Jason Hart Shape Engineering Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 14th 28/1

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Nobotheratall (IRE)J: Harry Reed We Buy Cars On The Go Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 18/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Breizh River (FR)J: Harry Reed Bobby Renton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 2/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Runninsonofagun (IRE)J: Jason Hart Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 11/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Harb (GB)J: Jason Hart Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 14/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Perseus Way (IRE)J: Harry Reed Wasdell Group Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle Race (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 2nd 11/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Jetovango (IRE)J: Harry Reed Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 4th 16/1

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Divilabother (IRE)J: Harry Reed F Ball Established 1886 Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 3/1

03 Oct 26 Redcar Our Absent Friends (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Watch Race Replays On Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 20/1

03 Oct 26 Redcar Eagles Dream (IRE)J: Amie Waugh Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1

29 Sep 26 Ayr Runninsonofagun (IRE)J: Alex Jary Christmas Party Day Dancing @Ayr Racecourse Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 28/1

26 Sep 26 Ripon Our Absent Friends (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 20/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Eagles Dream (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Esh Stantec Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 12/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Jetovango (IRE)J: Harry Reed Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 7th 11/2

24 Sep 26 Perth Divilabother (IRE)J: Harry Reed Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 5th 13/2

23 Sep 26 Perth Breizh River (FR)J: Harry Reed Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow David Whitaker Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 5/2F

23 Sep 26 Perth Nobotheratall (IRE)J: Harry Reed Bet With The Dewhurst Ring Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 9th 20/1

21 Sep 26 Hamilton Harb (GB)J: Jason Hart Heineken Low & No Bar Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 4/1

21 Sep 26 Hamilton Rewired (GB)J: Jack Garritty Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tristan Davidson's strike rate?: Tristan Davidson has won 86 of 687 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tristan Davidson do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 16 wins from 76 runners (21.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tristan Davidson?: Harry Reed, with 146 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (13%).
Is Tristan Davidson in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tristan Davidson's Fair A/E?: 1.13, from 683 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.