4:00 Uttoxeter
The 4:00 at Uttoxeter is a Class 3 Ready Freddie Go Handicap Steeple Chase over three miles and ten yards on good ground. A field of seven runners lines up, with the KTB numbers highlighting a competitive but compact group where four principals sit within a narrow band of Fit Scores from 73 to 62. The race features a pronounced pace bias towards the front, with one horse likely to enjoy an uncontested lead, which shapes the entire contest.
How the race shapes up
With a lone-leader pace shape carrying high confidence, the race is expected to be dominated by a clear front-runner who faces little pressure early on. Most of the field, including the top three in the KTB Fit rankings, prefer to be held up and produce their efforts from off the pace. The key question is whether any closer can bridge the gap to an uncontested leader on this stamina test, or whether the one who gets the soft lead can dictate and hold on.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Grand Clermont KTB Selection73/100
Grand Clermont is a high-class performer with a solid career record and proven ability at this level. He has won over this trip and on good ground, and his Uttoxeter record reads one win from four runs. The 10-year-old drops back in trip today after his latest run over further, which could sharpen him up again. He is usually held up and produces his effort late. David Pipe has a 16% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 0.93 from 552 runs, while Rian Corcoran is 20% at the track with an A/E of 0.9 from 15 rides. The trainer and jockey combination shows 22 wins from 97 rides at a 23% strike rate with an A/E of 1.23 and +£17.18 LSP.
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2Bagheera Ginge71/100
Bagheera Ginge is a high-class performer with strong recent form including a win and a fall when in contention. He has been placed twice from three runs at Uttoxeter and the yard has a solid 31% strike rate here. The 8-year-old steps up markedly in trip today which remains an unanswered question while his record on good ground is respectable but not dominant. He is usually held up and produces his effort late. Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies have a 31% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1.56 from 13 runs, and Sam Twiston-Davies is 18% at the track with an A/E of 0.95 from 538 rides. The trainer and jockey show 37 wins from 232 rides at a 16% strike rate with an A/E of 0.75 and -£89.32 LSP. He is dropping in class.
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3Mt Fugi Park69/100
Mt Fugi Park is a high-class performer with a solid recent record of two wins from his last four completed starts. He steps up in trip today having already won twice at this distance, and his record shows three wins from five runs on good ground. This is the horse's first visit to Uttoxeter. He tends to make the running or race on the pace, which could be significant given the lone-leader pace shape. Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill have an 11% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 0.84 from 81 runs, while Benjamin Macey is 16% at the track with an A/E of 1.24 from 38 rides. The trainer and jockey combination shows 13 wins from 107 rides at a 12% strike rate with an A/E of 0.78 and -£4.02 LSP. He is stepping up in class.
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4Light N Strike62/100
Light N Strike is high-class on his day with strong ratings history and placed efforts in both previous runs here. Recent form is modest though and he steps up markedly in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in two previous attempts at this distance. The 10-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late. Emma Lavelle has a 13% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 0.81 from 223 runs, and Ben Jones is 16% at the track with an A/E of 0.98 from 132 rides. The trainer and jockey show 40 wins from 231 rides at a 17% strike rate with an A/E of 0.97 and +£34.14 LSP. He is dropping in class.
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5A Definite Getaway58/100
A Definite Getaway is a smart performer who arrives in decent nick after two placed efforts this spring. He steps up in trip today having already won twice at this distance from only five attempts, and his record on good ground is solid. The yard has a 21% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 39 runs. He is stepping up in class.
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6Axel Bleue53/100
Axel Bleue is a smart performer who has been in excellent heart this season with two wins from his last four starts. He ran a solid race when second over course and distance on his only previous visit to Uttoxeter and handles good ground well. He steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question. The yard has a 21% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 39 runs.
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7Gwash50/100
Gwash is a smart performer who has shown his best around here with a second on this track among four runs. He is consistent rather than progressive of late and steps up in trip for the first time today which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a 17% strike rate at Uttoxeter from a big sample while the jockey is 0-8 at the course.
KTB verdict
Grand Clermont stands out as the KTB Selection. He brings high-class form, a proven record at this level, a win over the trip and on good ground, plus a course success at Uttoxeter from four visits. The drop back in trip after his latest run over further looks a positive move that should sharpen him. His main dangers are Bagheera Ginge, who has strong recent form and placed efforts at the track, and Mt Fugi Park, who can make the running in a race that may suit a clear leader.
KTB Selection Grand Clermont
This is the narrative read of the 4:00 Uttoxeter. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Uttoxeter racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Uttoxeter results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to get the uncontested lead?
Mt Fugi Park is the only front-runner in the field and tends to make the running or race on the pace.
How many of the principals are held-up types?
Three of the four principals – Grand Clermont, Bagheera Ginge and Light N Strike – are usually held up and produce their effort late.
Which horse has the strongest trainer record at Uttoxeter?
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies have a 31% strike rate at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1.56 from 13 runs.
Which runner has already won twice at this distance?
Both Mt Fugi Park and A Definite Getaway have won twice at this distance.
How many previous visits to Uttoxeter has the selection had?
Grand Clermont has won here from four runs at Uttoxeter.
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