4:30 Uttoxeter
This Class 5 handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter over 1m7f168y on good ground brings together a field of 15 where the KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top. The top five are separated by just four points on the numbers, suggesting a competitive renewal that could be decided by how the race unfolds tactically. With no obvious leader in a steadily-run affair, the KTB assessments point to course knowledge, trip suitability and yard form at the track as the main factors likely to separate the principals.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates a lack of any confirmed front-runner, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical contest in which being handy from the outset is likely to pay dividends. Most of the field, including all five principals, are held-up types who produce their efforts late, so the key question will be whether any horse can generate sufficient momentum from the rear in a race that may not be truly tested early. Those with previous course experience or proven ability to quicken off a steady gallop could hold the edge as the field bunches turning in.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Time Interval62/100
Time Interval is a useful performer who has been placed on both previous visits to Uttoxeter and now drops back to a trip where he has won twice from 12 starts. He possesses solid form on good ground, with five wins from 20 runs, and the Dan Skelton yard fires at a healthy 23% strike rate at the track from 635 runs. Recent efforts have been ordinary but the course record and trip change give him a fair chance of bouncing back. Harry Skelton takes the ride, with the combination boasting a 29% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 497 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace in what is expected to be a tactical affair.
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2Jet Patrol KTB Selection62/100
Jet Patrol is a useful performer who has shown consistent form this year without winning. He drops back in trip today having won at this distance in the past though his recent efforts have come over longer. The James Owen yard strikes at a solid 29% at Uttoxeter from 58 runs while the horse has already run once at the track, finishing fifth. Jonathan Burke is in the saddle, with their partnership holding a 24% strike rate from 68 runners. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is the KTB Selection and looks set to play a major role in a steadily-run race where late closers could be favoured.
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3Finjimk61/100
Finjimk is useful on the balance of his ratings and race history but has looked out of form on his last three starts and was pulled up on his most recent outing. He drops back in trip today having failed to make the frame in two previous runs at this distance. The Nick Scholfield yard has a strong 29% strike rate at Uttoxeter from a small but profitable sample of seven runs. Kielan Woods takes the mount, though the jockey's record at the track reads 12% from 232 rides. With no course form on record and three runs on good ground yielding no win or place, he will need to rediscover his best in a race likely to be run at a steady tempo.
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4Latin60/100
Latin is useful on his day and has the class to be competitive in this grade. Olly Murphy has a solid 21% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 392 runs while Sean Bowen knows the track well too with a 20% record from 580 rides. He has shown only modest form on his last three starts and remains winless in three tries at this trip. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he will be looking to make his mark from off the pace. Placed twice from ten starts on good ground without winning, he arrives with enough ability to feature if the race shape plays to his strengths.
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5Mi Sueno58/100
Mi Sueno is a fair performer who has won twice this year and arrives in decent form after a solid second last time. He drops back to a trip he has won over before while his trainer posts a strong 29% strike rate at Uttoxeter from a small but profitable sample. Placed just twice from 19 runs on good ground so the surface is no guarantee of a big run. Harry Reed is aboard for the Nick Scholfield stable, whose combined record at the venue is respectable. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he is another who will be hoping the steady pace allows him to close effectively.
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6Diesel Line58/100
Diesel Line is a useful performer who has won twice here from five runs and knows his way around this track. He drops back to a trip he has won at twice from six attempts after his last run over further, with three wins from 11 starts on good ground adding to his credentials.
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7Promethean58/100
Promethean is a useful performer on his day but arrives in modest recent form having been pulled up on his last start. He has never won in 20 runs and is 0-2 at today's trip while dropping back from further, with the yard's modest 8% strike-rate at Uttoxeter adding little encouragement.
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8Zucayan57/100
Zucayan is a useful performer who has been placed on his last two completed starts and has won three times at today's trip. He drops back from 2m2½f which should suit, and the yard's solid 17% strike-rate at Uttoxeter adds some encouragement, though his only run here ended in a fall and recent form has been patchy.
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9Cawthorne Banker53/100
Cawthorne Banker is a useful performer who has won three of his four starts at Uttoxeter and also has a solid record at today's trip with four wins from 22 runs. He showed useful form when winning two of his last three starts but has been beaten on his most recent outing, with five wins from 22 starts on good ground.
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10Northern Rose52/100
Northern Rose is a fair handicapper who knows this track, having won once from eight runs here. She has been placed on good ground nine times from 20 starts and drops back to a trip she has won over before, though the yard's modest 8% strike-rate at Uttoxeter tempers expectations.
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11Annual Invitation50/100
Annual Invitation is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings who has shown bits of promise without winning. He has run just once at Uttoxeter and finished fifth, while three attempts at this trip have also failed to produce a victory, with the Christian Williams yard posting an 8% strike rate here from 105 runs.
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12Lady Dapple Rose49/100
Lady Dapple Rose is a useful performer who has shown enough in handicap hurdles to suggest she can be competitive at this level. Recent form has been patchy with a fall on her latest start and she is 0-3 on good ground, dropping back in trip today while making her first appearance at Uttoxeter.
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13Uncle Remus46/100
Uncle Remus is a fair performer who has shown some ability here, finishing third on his only visit to Uttoxeter. He drops back in trip today having won at this distance before, though his recent form of 3-98P5 suggests he is out of sorts at present.
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14Bowling Shane42/100
Bowling Shane is a fair performer who has shown some competitiveness on good ground without winning. Dropping back in trip today after a recent 2m2f run, he has placed once at this distance in three attempts but lacks a win at any trip, with first-time headgear now applied.
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15Delta Legend35/100
Delta Legend is a fair performer on his best days but arrives in poor form having been pulled up or beaten a long way on his last three starts. The yard has a modest 3% strike-rate at Uttoxeter from 129 runs and the horse has failed to place in four runs on good ground while still looking for his first success at this trip after three attempts.
KTB verdict
The KTB numbers point to a race where several have chances but the selection is Jet Patrol. A useful performer who has shown consistent form this year without winning, he drops back in trip having won at this distance in the past and is trained by a yard that strikes at 29% at Uttoxeter. Usually held up, he should be suited by the steadily-run nature of the race and his prior visit to the track adds to his claims. Time Interval is a major danger thanks to his placed record at the course and proven effectiveness over the trip on good ground, while Finjimk, Latin and Mi Sueno are all capable of figuring if they can rediscover their best form.
KTB Selection Jet Patrol
This is the narrative read of the 4:30 Uttoxeter. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Uttoxeter racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Uttoxeter results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest recent course record at Uttoxeter?
Cawthorne Banker has won three of his four starts at Uttoxeter.
How many principals are held-up types with high confidence in their run-style?
Three of the five principals – Time Interval, Latin and Mi Sueno – are held up with high confidence.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Uttoxeter among those represented in the top five?
Nick Scholfield has a 29% strike rate at Uttoxeter from seven runs, matching the figure shown for both his runners in the principals.
Which horse is dropping in class and has a 100% strike rate at the track for its jockey?
Promethean is dropping in class and Jack Quinlan has a 100% strike rate at Uttoxeter from one ride.
How many of the principals have previous winning form at today's trip?
Time Interval, Jet Patrol and Mi Sueno have all won at this trip before.
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