4:47 Listowel
The Ballygarry Estate Hotel & Spa Mares Novice Steeplechase at Listowel brings together a compact field of seven for this 2m3f100y contest on good ground. KTB's Fit ratings identify a clear top four, headed by La Note Verte on 68, with Lady Bluebird, Emily Love and Miss Doyenne all closely grouped between 64 and 50. The race features high-class performers with solid recent form, and the supplied trainer and jockey records at the venue add further layers, particularly for those with previous Listowel experience.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with high confidence, driven by two habitual front-runners in La Note Verte and Walks The Talk. This is likely to test those racing prominently and could lead to a late collapse that plays into the hands of hold-up performers. The key question is whether the early speed can be sustained or if the race will fall apart in the closing stages, allowing patient runners to capitalise.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1La Note Verte KTB Selection68/100
La Note Verte is a high-class performer with a solid recent record that includes two wins from her last three starts. She boasts strong course connections, having won two of her three runs at Listowel, and has four wins from six starts on good ground, underlining her effectiveness under these conditions. The trainer holds a 19% strike rate at the track from 754 runs with an A/E of 0.85, while the jockey is operating at 23% from 244 rides with an A/E of 0.92. As a habitual front-runner who tends to make the running or race prominently with high confidence, she is sure to set the early fractions in a race expected to be strongly run. Dropping back in trip today asks a fresh question, yet her overall profile makes her the KTB Selection.
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2Lady Bluebird64/100
Lady Bluebird is a high-class mare who arrives in solid form after a win and a second on her last two starts. She steps up in trip today having already won at this distance and holds a good record on good ground with one win from five starts and three placed efforts. The trainer has a 0% strike rate at Listowel from seven runners with an A/E of 0, while the 5lb claimer has a solid 15% strike rate at the venue from 13 rides with an A/E of 1.5. Usually held up and producing her effort late with high confidence, she is well placed to benefit if the strong pace collapses as anticipated. Her recent progress suggests she remains a major player.
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3Emily Love54/100
Emily Love is a high-class mare with a solid recent record that includes two wins from her last four starts. She drops back from 3m1f to a trip she has already won twice from four attempts and boasts a strong record on good ground with four wins and six places from eight runs. Gordon Elliott has a 13% strike rate at Listowel from 325 runs with an A/E of 0.89, while Jack Kennedy is operating at 11% from 90 rides with an A/E of 0.72. Usually held up and producing her effort late with medium confidence, she should be ideally positioned if the race develops as the pace shape suggests. Her proven ability at the trip and on the ground makes her a leading contender.
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4Miss Doyenne50/100
Miss Doyenne arrives in decent form having won last time out and finished placed on her only previous run at today's trip. She has shown she handles good ground with one win from one start and the drop back from 2m5f looks a neutral move rather than a negative. Henry de Bromhead has a solid 15% strike rate at Listowel from 273 runs with an A/E of 1, while Darragh O'Keeffe is operating at 9% from 169 rides with an A/E of 0.75. Usually held up and producing her effort late with high confidence, she is another who can take advantage should the strong early pace take its toll. Her progressive profile keeps her firmly in the mix.
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5Kelya48/100
Kelya has shown mixed form in three runs since 2021, winning a point before a solid second in a bumper and a modest fifth on hurdling debut last time. The trip looks a fair question having failed to make an impact in one previous attempt at it, while the trainer and jockey both operate at an 8% strike rate at Listowel.
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6Missus Beeton44/100
Missus Beeton has shown fair form this season with a placed effort here last time and three good-ground placings from nine attempts. She won over today's trip earlier in her career but steps back up in distance from 1m7½f having looked exposed at shorter recently, with the trainer holding a modest 6% strike rate at Listowel from 17 runs and the jockey operating at 5% from 65 rides here.
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7Walks The Talk44/100
Walks The Talk has shown fair form with two placed efforts at this trip from limited tries and remains competitive on good ground with one placing from two starts. He drops back from 3m having been pulled up on his latest start and now makes his first appearance at Listowel, where the trainer holds an 11% strike rate from 104 runs and the jockey is operating at 5% from 19 rides.
KTB verdict
La Note Verte is the KTB Selection. She brings high-class ability, a strong recent record, two wins from three runs at Listowel and four wins from six on good ground, all of which align perfectly with the conditions. Her front-running style will set the tone in a race with a strong pace likely, and the yard and jockey combination add further confidence at this venue. The main dangers are Lady Bluebird and Emily Love, both high-class mares in solid form who are suited by the hold-up style that could be favoured if the pace collapses late, with Miss Doyenne also capable of featuring on her recent progress.
KTB Selection La Note Verte
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 23 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| La Note Verte | 11/8 | Bet365 |
| Lady Bluebird | 5/1 | Bet365 |
| Emily Love | 6/1 | Bet Victor |
| Miss Doyenne | 11/4 | Bet Victor |
| Kelya | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Missus Beeton | 40/1 | Bet Victor |
| Walks The Talk | 14/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 4:47 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best course record at Listowel?
La Note Verte has won two of her three runs at Listowel.
How does the expected strong pace shape influence the race?
The strong pace with two or more habitual front-runners could collapse late, favouring hold-up horses.
What is La Note Verte's record on good ground?
Four wins from six starts on good ground.
Which trainers have the strongest strike rates at Listowel in this field?
W. P. Mullins has a 19% strike rate at Listowel from 754 runs, Henry de Bromhead 15% from 273 runs, and Gordon Elliott 13% from 325 runs.
Which runner is stepping up in trip from a recent shorter run?
Missus Beeton steps back up in distance from 1m7½f.
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