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Trainer profile

Hugh Paul Finegan

170 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
6–170
Wins / Runs
3.5%
Strike rate
n=170
24 (14%)
Placed
0.87
n=170 · 0.70 incl. margin
−51.50
£1 level stake
n=170 at SP · −30.3%
£90,369
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 170 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Eoghan Finegan: 4.7% from 64
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −93.50 to a £1 stake over 140 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Eoghan Finegan rides 38% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.7%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (9.1%, n=33) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (8.2%, n=49). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 58 runners, 3.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.42 across 56 runners (1.8% strike, −37.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tara Handicap Hurdle at Navan (Dec 2021, £23,600).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.4%−1.1
n=42 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −36.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
8.3%+4.8
n=12 · A/E 6.42 · £1 +39.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.5
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.5%+9.0
n=8 · A/E 2.73 · £1 +7.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.9%−0.6
n=140 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −93.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 9.1% vs 3.5% · n=33
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 8.2% vs 3.5% · n=49
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 3.5% · n=58
Over 2m5f – 3m 1.8% vs 3.5% · n=56 · A/E 0.42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 100 3 3% −24.50
Flat 37 1 2.7% −22.00
Chase 17 1 5.9% +4.00
NH Flat 16 1 6.3% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 69 2 2.9% −33.00
Soft 41 1 2.4% −35.50
Good to Soft 34 1 2.9% −15.00
Heavy 19 2 10.5% +39.00
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Thurles 13 0 0% −13.00
Navan 13 0 0% −13.00
Punchestown 12 1 8.3% −5.00
Downpatrick 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 11 0 0% −11.00
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Sligo 9 0 0% −9.00
Wexford 8 2 25% +64.00
Bellewstown 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Leopardstown 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Galway 7 0 0% −7.00
Down Royal 7 1 14.3% −1.50
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.79 −4.50
4th–6th fav 37 3 8.1% 1.40 +6.00
7th+ in betting 120 2 1.7% 0.68 −50.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.5% completed · 117 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 17 94.1% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 100 84% 3 1 11 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Futurum Regem (IRE) 36 1 4 29 Dec 25
Lady Bluebird (IRE) 23 4 9 23 Sep 26
Mustameet Secret (IRE) 18 0 1 1 Jan 26
Not May (IRE) 14 0 4 25 Aug 25
Ar Aghaidh (IRE) 13 0 1 31 Oct 25
Nugentstown Sue (IRE) 10 0 1 5 Oct 26
Light Her Up (IRE) 9 0 1 21 Jul 26
Television (IRE) 9 0 0 7 Oct 24
Wee Valerie (IRE) 9 0 0 31 May 24
Happy Lad (IRE) 8 0 0 14 Dec 22
Ms Agartha Yeats (IRE)then F G Hand 5 1 2 25 Feb 24
Mystery Decision (IRE) 3 0 0 30 Oct 26
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0002509600408
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderEoghan Finegan
38% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 1.02
RiderRWSR£1
Eoghan Finegan 64 3 4.7% −32.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
15
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£195k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Futurum Regem (IRE) — Tara Handicap Hurdle (grade B) Navan · Dec 2021 · Grade B
£23,600
Futurum Regem (IRE) — Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (81-130) Navan · Nov 2021
£9,440
Lady Bluebird (IRE) — Cottage Autism Network Mares Beginners Chase Wexford · Jun 2026
£7,657

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sir Prancealot (IRE) 2.8% · 1–36
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,688 runs since 2016 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
Retirement Plan (GB) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 7.7% of 156 runs since 2021 (17 horses).
Mustameet (USA) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,161 runs since 2013 (103 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 424.
Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,979 runs since 2011 (375 horses).
Ocovango (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,009 runs since 2019 (307 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.
Malinas (GER) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,954 runs since 2010 (419 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 316 · newest first

The latest 50 of 316 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 February 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Hugh Paul Finegan's strike rate?
Hugh Paul Finegan has won 6 of 170 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Hugh Paul Finegan?
Eoghan Finegan, with 64 runners since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.7%).
Is Hugh Paul Finegan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Hugh Paul Finegan's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 170 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).