5:17 Redcar
This Class 6 amateur jockeys' handicap at Redcar over 7f on good to firm ground brings together a field of limited performers, several of whom are dropping in class while others step up in trip or try the surface for the first time. The KTB Fit scores reflect a race with little depth, headed by Sandret on 63, with the next four principals clustered between 57 and 49. Overall the numbers point to a contest where course knowledge and an ability to handle an uncontested lead could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting one horse will secure an uncontested lead that may prove difficult for closers to overcome. King of War is the most likely to take that prominent role given his front-running style, while the majority of the field, including the selection Sandret, prefer to be held up and produce their effort late. This sets up a race where the key question is whether anything from off the pace can close the gap on a clear leader over the final furlong on this stiff 7f.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Sandret KTB Selection63/100
Sandret is a modest performer whose record at Redcar stands out, having won twice from only four runs at the track including a success over today's trip. He drops back from 1m following a string of ordinary efforts and his record on good to firm reads just one win from eleven starts. The 10-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late, a run-style that could be tested by the projected uncontested lead. Trainer Sam England continues in solid form here with a 17% strike rate and an A/E of 1.84 from 29 runs, while jockey Liam Baxter is neutral at the course. Overall his two wins from four starts at Redcar mark him out as the one to beat.
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2King of War57/100
King of War is a modest performer who has been in and out this year and arrives off the back of a poor effort last time. He has won six times at this trip and handles good to firm ground well with four wins from 21 starts. Likely to make the running or race prominently, his front-running style could be ideally suited to the projected lone-leader pace shape. Trainer Michael Wigham has a modest 7% strike rate from 14 runs at Redcar while this is the horse's first run at the track. Dropping in class is a positive but recent inconsistency remains a concern.
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3Mr Jetman56/100
Mr Jetman is a limited performer who won on his only previous visit to Redcar but has struggled since. He drops back to 7f having won at the trip earlier in his career though his recent form is modest. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the race to fall right given the uncontested lead up front. Trainer Lawrence Mullaney operates at a 5% strike rate here from 110 runs while jockey Miss Stephanie Dorey has a 50% strike rate and an A/E of 3.52 from two rides at the track. His course win gives him a foothold in the argument.
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4Irish Incentive56/100
Irish Incentive is a modest performer who has shown some ability at this trip, finishing placed once in three attempts. Dropping back from 1m should suit but the recent form figures suggest consistency is an issue. He is usually held up and produces his effort late, which may not be optimal against a lone leader. Trainer Adrian Keatley has a 9% strike rate here from 44 runs while jockey Mr Joshua Brown has a 50% strike rate and an A/E of 4.54 from two rides at Redcar. The 3-year-old remains unproven on good to firm ground.
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5Soul Warrior49/100
Soul Warrior is a limited horse who has shown only modest form this year and looks up against it from a ratings point of view. He has won once in two runs at Redcar but is 0-3 on good to firm and steps up in trip for the first time with first-time headgear now applied. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the 3-year-old will be hoping the leader comes back to him. Trainer Nigel Tinkler has a modest 7% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.87 from 921 runs, though jockey Miss Tilly Evans boasts a 100% strike rate from her one ride here.
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6Night Emperor47/100
Night Emperor is a limited performer who has shown a bit of consistency this year with form figures of 445143. He has already won once from four runs at Redcar and holds a fair record on good to firm ground with one win and two places from four starts, though he is now being asked a new question by stepping up to 7f.
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7South Kensington46/100
South Kensington is a limited performer who has shown just enough to win three times at this trip from 16 attempts. He comes here off the back of a mixed bag of recent efforts and makes his first visit to Redcar while still unproven on good to firm ground.
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8Pedro The Poet46/100
Pedro The Poet is a modest performer who has shown little in nine starts this year and arrives from a lengthy absence. He drops sharply in trip to 7f for the first time having last run over 1m6f, which asks a fresh question while he remains unproven on good to firm ground.
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9Judicature45/100
Judicature is a modest performer who has shown the odd flash of ability but has been below form on his last two starts. He has no win or place from four runs on good to firm, could only finish fifth on his one previous visit to Redcar, and now tries first-time headgear with the trip looking about right.
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10Oselton43/100
Oselton is a limited class performer who has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts. He drops back to 7f having won at the trip in the past but showed no spark on his only previous run on good to firm.
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11Ganthorpe33/100
Ganthorpe is a limited performer who has struggled at this track, finishing no better than seventh in three runs here. He steps up to 7f for the first time today having been well held over shorter, and has shown nothing recently to suggest a revival.
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12Ryefield29/100
Ryefield is a limited performer who has failed to place in any of her 11 starts and looks up against it again from a modest ratings base. She is 0-3 on good to firm and 0-3 at this trip, with first run at the track today adding another unknown.
KTB verdict
Sandret stands out as the KTB Selection on the back of his two wins from only four runs at Redcar, including a success over today's trip, allied to the trainer's solid record at the track. His ability to produce a late effort fits the shape if the projected lone leader does not get away, and the drop back from 1m looks suitable. The main dangers are King of War, who could seize an uncontested lead and prove hard to peg back, and Mr Jetman, who boasts a previous course success and is dropping in class.
KTB Selection Sandret
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 23 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sandret | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| King of War | 13/2 | BetTom |
| Mr Jetman | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Irish Incentive | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Soul Warrior | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Night Emperor | 10/3 | 7Bet |
| South Kensington | 7/2 | 7Bet |
| Pedro The Poet | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Judicature | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Oselton | 17/2 | William Hill |
| Ganthorpe | 18/1 | 7Bet |
| Ryefield | 25/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 5:17 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Redcar results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Redcar?
Sandret, who has won twice from four runs at the track.
How is the race expected to be run in terms of pace?
Lone leader with high confidence, with one clear front-runner likely to secure an uncontested lead.
Which jockey has the best strike rate at Redcar among those with rides in this race?
Miss Tilly Evans with a 100% strike rate from one ride.
Which horse is stepping up in trip for the first time while also trying headgear?
Soul Warrior, who steps up in trip for the first time with first-time headgear applied.
Who is the most likely front-runner in the race?
King of War, who tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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