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Trainer profile

Adam Kirby

187 runners in the last 5 seasons · 37 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2022
22–187
Wins / Runs
11.8%
Strike rate
n=187
51 (27%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=186 · 0.86 incl. margin
−66.19
£1 level stake
n=187 at SP · −35.4%
£193k
Prize money (window)
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02).

Deterministic profile computed from 187 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (22%, n=50) and on Standard (AW) going (15.7%, n=70). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 6.8% over 59 runners, 5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10%−1.8
n=20 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −8.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
10.5%−1.3
n=19 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −7.30
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.8
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
22.2%+10.4
n=9 · A/E 2.04 · £1 −2.80
When favourite
42.3%
n=26 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +3.06
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10%−1.8
n=30 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −16.74
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 22% vs 11.8% · n=50
Off a 15-30-day break 6.8% vs 11.8% · n=59
With Pat Cosgrave 6.3% vs 11.8% · n=32
With Charles Bishop 16.7% vs 11.8% · n=36
On Standard (AW) going 15.7% vs 11.8% · n=70
In Class 6 15.6% vs 11.8% · n=77
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 70 11 15.7% −20.00
Good to Firm 57 5 8.8% −36.99
Good 43 4 9.3% −11.20
Good to Soft 10 2 20% +9.00
Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 22 1 4.5% −19.50
Southwell (AW) 19 3 15.8% −5.57
Yarmouth 15 1 6.7% −11.00
Leicester 14 0 0% −14.00
Brighton 14 3 21.4% −0.74
Lingfield (AW) 13 4 30.8% +3.87
Kempton (AW) 12 2 16.7% −4.30
Newmarket 9 1 11.1% +14.00
Doncaster 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Windsor 9 0 0% −9.00
Lingfield 9 2 22.2% −4.52
Chepstow 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Bath 4 1 25% −2.43
Ffos Las 4 0 0% −4.00
Sandown 3 1 33.3% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 77 12 15.6% −21.91
Class 5 59 5 8.5% −24.85
Class 4 38 3 7.9% −13.50
Class 2 7 1 14.3% −5.43
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 3 1 33.3% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 32 11 34.4% 1.10 −2.94
2nd–3rd fav 36 7 19.4% 1.17 +2.75
4th–6th fav 54 3 5.6% 0.75 −24.00
7th+ in betting 65 1 1.5% 0.59 −42.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
My Mate Mackley (GB)from Alice Haynes 15 4 9 6 Oct 26
Travel Agent (IRE)from Martin Dunne 13 2 4 6 Oct 26
Ancient State (IRE)from Martin Dunne 12 4 7 3 Oct 26
South Kensington (IRE)from Martin Dunne 11 2 4 15 Oct 26
Tuscan Point (IRE)from Richard Fahey 11 2 5 1 Aug 26
Mokata (GB) 10 0 0 15 Oct 26
Bill The Bull (IRE) 9 2 2 1 Oct 26
Ziggy's Condor (IRE)from Richard & Peter Fahey 8 0 2 13 Oct 26
Dancing With Drums (IRE)from Martin Dunne 8 1 2 14 Jul 26
Caragio (IRE)from Martin Dunne 7 2 5 7 Oct 26
Lenny's Spirit (FR)from Denis Quinn 7 0 1 14 Jul 26
Mariselle (IRE) 6 0 0 15 Oct 26
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 37 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Martin Dunne (6) and Alice Haynes (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 12
Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
··172015100111017··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderCharles Bishop
19% of all rides
16.7% SR · A/E 1.72
RiderRWSR£1
Charles Bishop 36 6 16.7% −11.07
Pat Cosgrave 32 2 6.3% −28.76
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
22
Archived wins
£193k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 22 wins
Ancient State (IRE) — Land Of Lights Festival At Gullivers Handicap Stakes Doncaster · Sep 2026 · Class 3
£18,319
Bill The Bull (IRE) — Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Bath · Jun 2026 · Class 2
£15,702
Norham (IRE) — Sporting Times/sri Lanka Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) Sandown · Sep 2026 · Class 4
£6,019
Notable horses
My Mate Mackley (GB) Ancient State (IRE) Travel Agent (IRE) Tuscan Point (IRE) South Kensington (IRE) Bill The Bull (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Blue Point (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 14% of 3,383 runs since 2008 (412 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17% from 335. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.7% from 206.
No Nay Never (USA) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,307 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 612. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.
Tasleet (GB) 26.7% · 4–15
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,172 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15.9% from 107. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 354.
Dandy Man (IRE) 33.3% · 4–12
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Kodiac (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Mohaather (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10% of 1,261 runs since 2008 (158 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 187 · newest first

The latest 50 of 187 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2026 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Special Breeze (GB)J: Taryn Langley bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 7/2
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mariselle (IRE)J: David Egan Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 50/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Mokata (GB)J: Laura Coughlan Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 9th 66/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton South Kensington (IRE)J: Charles Bishop bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 5th 9/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Chapel Down (GB)J: Charles Bishop Each Way Extra At bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 20/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Danger Alert (GB)J: Taryn Langley Racing Value At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 6th 15/2
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Spy Kingdom (USA)J: Charles Bishop Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 11th 100/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Ziggy's Condor (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Join Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 18th 40/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Enalia (GB)J: Robert Havlin British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 150/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Fancied Angel (GB)J: Charles Bishop British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 66/1
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Alpha Bella (GB)J: Jason Watson Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 7th 100/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Caragio (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 1st 6/5F
06 Oct 26 Leicester Travel Agent (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Mario & Traci Plough Duxford Last Orders Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 22/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton My Mate Mackley (GB)J: Taryn Langley Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 15/8F
06 Oct 26 Leicester Jenny Rae (FR)J: Cieren Fallon British EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 100/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton South Kensington (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 1st 13/2
06 Oct 26 Brighton Itsonlyrockandroll (GB)J: Joe Bradnam Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Hands And Heels Race) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 40/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Mokata (GB)J: Charles Bishop Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 7th 40/1
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Danger Alert (GB)J: Taryn Langley White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 10/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jaipur Prince (IRE)J: William Carson Bettingsites.co.uk New Customer Offers Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adam Kirby's strike rate?
Adam Kirby has won 22 of 187 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Adam Kirby in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Adam Kirby's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 186 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).