7:45 Chepstow
This Class 6 apprentice handicap over 1m2f at Chepstow on good ground features a field of eight limited performers where the KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched between 54 and 31. The race lacks depth and looks an opportunity for a horse with course form and recent consistency to take advantage. Overall the KTB numbers point to a modest contest in which placed form rather than wins will be the main guide.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is that of a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting Pepper Fizz will have the opportunity to dictate an uncontested lead from the front. With the majority of the field, including the selection, tending to be held up and produce their efforts late, the key question is whether any of the closers can bridge the gap to a horse allowed an easy time up front on this turning track. The race is therefore likely to be won from the front or by something that can time its run perfectly from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Knightmare KTB Selection54/100Knightmare is a limited class performer who has been consistent in recent months with a string of placed efforts.
- 2Pepper Fizz50/100Pepper Fizz is a limited performer who has shown only modest form across nine runs this year.
- 3Rajbello47/100Rajbello is a limited performer who has shown little since early promise and arrives here on the back of four modest efforts.
- 4Typeface46/100Typeface has shown consistent placed form in this grade lately and handles good ground well with two wins from four starts.
- 5Tiger Beetle45/100Limited performer who has been placed twice from three runs at Chepstow without winning.
- 6Celebrating Ethel40/100Limited performer who has dropped to the bottom of the weights but has shown little spark this year.
- 7City Escape39/100Limited performer who has been around a long time and is now operating at a modest level.
- 8Elora Prince31/100Limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and sits on a career record of no wins from 15 runs.
The contenders
Knightmare KTB Fit 54/100
Knightmare is a limited class performer who has been consistent in recent months with a string of placed efforts, as his form figures of 522212 attest. He has already won once from two runs at Chepstow and steps up to this longer trip having been placed twice in four attempts at it. Trainer David Evans has a 12% strike-rate here from a huge sample of 957 runs while the 7lb claimer Amy Tucker is too lightly raced at the track to judge with a 0% strike-rate from three rides. The horse is usually held up and produces its effort late, a run-style that could be vulnerable if the leader is allowed to get away. He has been placed twice from five starts on good ground without winning. As the KTB Selection he is taken to strike on a track where he has already shown his liking.
Pepper Fizz KTB Fit 50/100
Pepper Fizz is a limited performer who has shown only modest form across nine runs this year, reflected in her recent figures of 5-6065. She has placed once at this track and once on good ground, both without winning, and now drops back in trip to an untried 1m2f which asks a fresh question. The trainer holds a 10% strike rate here from 30 runs while the jockey Hope Regan has had too few rides at the course to judge despite a 100% record from her solitary ride. Her front-running style makes her the obvious candidate to take the uncontested lead according to the race pace shape. With the KTB Fit score of 50 she is the closest rival to the selection and her ability to dictate could prove decisive if the held-up types fail to close.
Rajbello KTB Fit 47/100
Rajbello is a limited performer who has shown little since early promise and arrives here on the back of four modest efforts with form figures of -55859. The drop back to 1m2f is a fresh question after his last run over 1m4f and he has failed to place in two previous attempts at today's trip. Trainer Fergal O'Brien has a 12% strike rate from 270 runs at Chepstow while jockey Donagh Murphy is operating at 17% from a small sample of six rides here. He is usually held up and produces his effort late, which may not be ideal given the likely uncontested lead up front. With only one run on good ground and no win or place he enters the race with questions to answer.
Typeface KTB Fit 46/100
Typeface has shown consistent placed form in this grade lately, as his figures of 7-6433 demonstrate, and he handles good ground well with two wins from four starts and three places overall. He is limited on the figures though and has failed to land a blow in three previous tries at this trip. The yard has a modest 9% strike rate at Chepstow from 263 runs while the jockey Jack Dace is operating at 10% from a small sample of ten rides with an A/E of 1.16. Usually held up with high confidence in that assessment, his run-style will see him coming from off the pace in a race where the leader may not come back. The combination of recent consistency and going suitability keeps him in the mix.
The rest of the field
Tiger BeetleKTB Fit 45/100
Tiger Beetle is a limited performer who has been placed twice from three runs at Chepstow without winning. He drops back to his winning trip today having last run over a mile and a half, and he has shown he handles good ground with one win and two places from six starts. The yard's modest 4% strike rate here from 50 runs is offset by the jockey Zoe Lewis's solid 12% record at the track from 17 rides.
Celebrating EthelKTB Fit 40/100
Celebrating Ethel is a limited performer who has dropped to the bottom of the weights but has shown little spark this year with form figures of 699041. Two runs at Chepstow brought no joy and the recent form figures confirm she is hard to fancy. Trainer Tony Carroll's modest 9% strike-rate here from a large sample adds no encouragement while the 3lb claimer is still too inexperienced at the track to assess.
City EscapeKTB Fit 39/100
City Escape is a limited performer who has been around a long time and is now operating at a modest level with figures of 665561. He has posted a string of ordinary efforts this year and his four runs at Chepstow have produced no better than a couple of fourths. The trainer's poor record at the track adds little encouragement though he has won over today's trip and handles good ground with one win and two places from eight starts.
Elora PrinceKTB Fit 31/100
Elora Prince is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts with figures of 897466 and sits on a career record of no wins from 15 runs. He has failed to place in four attempts at this trip and looks just as ineffective on good ground with no win or place from four starts. Trainer Adrian Wintle holds a modest record here while the jockey is even quieter at the track.
KTB verdict
Knightmare is the KTB Selection in a race where the modest level is reflected across the field. His course win, recent consistency with multiple placed efforts and proven ability to handle the step up in trip give him the strongest profile. Pepper Fizz looks the main danger if allowed to dictate from the front, while Typeface and Rajbello are next in the order of merit among a field where few are progressing.
KTB Selection Knightmare
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 29 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Knightmare | 10/3 | Bet365 |
| Pepper Fizz | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Rajbello | 8/1 | 7Bet |
| Typeface | 7/2 | 7Bet |
| Tiger Beetle | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Celebrating Ethel | 5/1 | Midnite |
| City Escape | 4/1 | 7Bet |
| Elora Prince | 10/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 7:45 Chepstow. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Chepstow racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Chepstow results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to take the uncontested lead?
Pepper Fizz, whose front-running style matches the lone leader pace shape with high confidence.
How many wins has Knightmare recorded at Chepstow?
One win from two runs.
What is Typeface's record on good ground?
Two wins from four starts on good with three places overall.
Has Tiger Beetle won at this trip before?
Yes, he drops back to his winning trip today.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Chepstow in this field?
David Evans and Fergal O'Brien both have a 12% strike rate at the track.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies