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Jockey profile

Jack Dace

585 rides in the last 5 seasons · 322 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
57–585
Wins / Runs
9.7%
Strike rate
n=585
148 (25%)
Placed
1.06
Fair A/E
n=583 · 0.90 incl. margin
−13.27
£1 level stake
n=585 at SP · −2.3%
£667k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 120 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (78 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 585 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Luke Dace: 9.2% from 109 First rides: 10.2% LTO winners: 17.9% Claiming: 10.1%
The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (3.1% over 32 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.9% (n=78, Fair A/E 1.23), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.93). Luke Dace supplies 19% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.2%, A/E 1.36) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (13.8%, n=123). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 6.2% over 209 rides, 3.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.2%+0.5
n=322 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −8.97
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.9%+8.2
n=78 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +27.07
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.6%−0.1
n=83 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +25.50
When favourite
15.4%
n=26 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −14.55
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.1%+0.4
n=547 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −1.77
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.4%−5.3
n=45 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −27.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 17.9% vs 9.7% · n=78
With Stuart Williams 17.1% vs 9.7% · n=41
With Ralph Beckett 16.2% vs 9.7% · n=37
At Southwell (AW) 3.1% vs 9.7% · n=32
Over 1m – 1m1f 13.8% vs 9.7% · n=123
Over 6f – 7f 6.2% vs 9.7% · n=209
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 302 31 10.3% +42.50
Good to Firm 108 10 9.3% −25.84
Good 90 9 10% −18.38
Good to Soft 45 3 6.7% +6.50
Soft 24 3 12.5% −4.67
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −8.38
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 104 11 10.6% +17.25
Kempton (AW) 72 9 12.5% +69.25
Wolverhampton (AW) 56 7 12.5% +0.50
Southwell (AW) 32 1 3.1% −25.50
Goodwood 25 3 12% −1.50
Brighton 22 0 0% −22.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 22 2 9.1% −9.00
Bath 21 3 14.3% +5.00
Lingfield 21 1 4.8% −14.50
Yarmouth 20 3 15% +21.45
Windsor 19 1 5.3% −4.00
Newbury 18 1 5.6% −15.38
Leicester 17 1 5.9% −4.00
Newcastle (AW) 16 1 6.3% −10.00
Epsom 13 1 7.7% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 227 17 7.5% −45.13
Class 5 170 20 11.8% +39.53
Class 4 120 14 11.7% +9.83
Class 2 34 4 11.8% +1.50
Class 3 33 2 6.1% −18.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 6 17.1% 0.57 −14.55
2nd–3rd fav 121 22 18.2% 1.09 −10.72
4th–6th fav 204 19 9.3% 1.19 −4.00
7th+ in betting 225 10 4.4% 1.43 +16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Defiant (GB) 20 1 6 25 Feb 26
Haveagobeau (GB) 18 2 5 15 Oct 26
Youthful King (GB) 16 2 4 14 Oct 26
Lunario (IRE) 15 2 3 9 Oct 26
Lady Manzor (GB) 12 3 5 9 Sep 26
Tatmeen (IRE) 11 1 2 25 Mar 26
Ocean Heights (GB) 11 2 2 10 Feb 26
King Cabo (USA) 10 1 1 4 Nov 25
Valentine Boy (GB) 9 2 3 14 Sep 26
Now The Eagle (FR) 8 1 3 7 Oct 26
Invincible Melody (IRE) 7 0 3 23 Feb 26
Lunanova (GB) 5 0 0 19 May 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 322 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady
2 from 23 8.7% · −1.0pts vs baseline
Last 14 days8.7%
5-season base9.7%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
911851259171011186
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardLuke Dace
19% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 1.36
TrainerRWSR£1
Luke Dace 109 10 9.2% +44.75
Stuart Williams 41 7 17.1% +14.00
Ralph Beckett 37 6 16.2% +0.00
Amanda Perrett 35 4 11.4% +10.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
57
Archived wins
£667k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 32 wins
Lady Manzor (GB) — BetMGM All-Weather Vase Fillies' Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2025 · Class 4
£25,770
Prince Of The Seas (IRE) — LiveScoreBet Total Betting Experience Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Goodwood · Aug 2025 · Class 2
£23,193
Maelstrom (GB) — Tote.co.uk For Racing & Sports Betting Handicap Stakes Ascot · Sep 2026 · Class 2
£18,900
Notable horses
Lady Manzor (GB) Sibling Rivelry (GB) Haveagobeau (GB) Youthful King (GB) Lunario (IRE) Ocean Heights (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Havana Grey (GB) 18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,533 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.
Morpheus (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.
Brazen Beau (AUS) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,472 runs since 2008 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.
Fountain Of Youth (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.9% from 201. Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.8% from 158.
Gregorian (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,941 runs since 2008 (164 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 116.
Kodiac (GB) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 585 · newest first

The latest 50 of 585 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 August 2024 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Holi Scarlett (IRE)T: Stuart Williams bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rosemary's Rose (IRE)T: Rod Millman bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 15/2
17 Oct 26 Ascot Tribal Chief (FR)T: David Menuisier Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 9th 11/1
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Wanderlust (FR)T: Iain Jardine Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 7/2
15 Oct 26 Brighton Play Me (GB)T: Jim Boyle bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 8th 8/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Haveagobeau (GB)T: Jim Boyle Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 9th 12/1
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Youthful King (GB)T: Luke Dace Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 11th 80/1
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Bolo Neighs (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 4th 33/1
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Crystal Pier (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 7th 40/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Cuban Fiesta (GB)T: Gihan Arnolda Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 3/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Dottie Diamond (GB)T: William Stone Quinnbet Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 10/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Sullom Voe (IRE)T: David Menuisier Pro Shop At Caister Golf Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 33/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Lavender Gold (FR)T: David Menuisier Aks Skip Hire Services Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 40/1
11 Oct 26 Goodwood Oh Yes You Do (FR)T: David Menuisier Virgin Bet A Good Bet Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 16/1
11 Oct 26 Goodwood Justcallmepete (GB)T: Tony Carroll Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 40/1
11 Oct 26 Goodwood Angel Childe (GB)T: Heather Main Virgin Bet / British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 125/1
10 Oct 26 York Wyld Bill (GB)T: Gihan Arnolda Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 10.5f · Soft · 18 ran 18th 80/1
09 Oct 26 Newmarket Lunario (IRE)T: Luke Dace HKJC World Pool Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 12/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Pangbourne (GB)T: Roger Teal Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 5th 16/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Pacific Storm (FR)T: David Menuisier Your Elite Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 1st 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jack Dace's strike rate?
Jack Dace has won 57 of 585 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jack Dace do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 72 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jack Dace ride most for?
Luke Dace, with 109 rides since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (9.2%).
Is Jack Dace in form?
In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 8.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.7% since 2022.
What is Jack Dace's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 583 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).