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Trainer profile

Ashley Dodgson

25 runners in the lifetime window · 6 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2023 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–25
Wins / Runs
8%
Strike rate
n=25
6 (24%)
Placed
1.75
Fair A/E
n=25 · 1.48 incl. margin
−16.50
£1 level stake
n=25 at SP · −66.0%
£11,309
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−8.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 3.55 · £1 +2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.5%+4.5
n=16 · A/E 2.56 · £1 −7.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 20 2 10% −11.50
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 13 1 7.7% −10.00
Good to Soft 6 1 16.7% −0.50
Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wetherby 9 1 11.1% −3.50
Sedgefield 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell 4 0 0% −4.00
Catterick 2 0 0% −2.00
Hexham 2 1 50% +1.00
Newcastle 2 0 0% −2.00
Cartmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 13 1 7.7% −7.50
Class 5 8 1 12.5% −5.00
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 3.55 +2.00
2nd–3rd fav 3 1 33.3% 2.39 +2.50
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.5% completed · 21 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 20 90% 0 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mr Dealer (IRE)from J G Cosgrave 11 0 2 15 Feb 23
Dicky Shore (GB) 4 0 0 22 Jun 14
Witch Way (GB) 4 0 0 2 May 13
Candleford (GB)from Sally Hall 3 2 3 30 May 13
Witch One (GB)from Edwin Tuer 2 0 0 28 Apr 13
Rich Hill (GB)from J H Culloty 1 0 1 30 May 11
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
John Kington 8 0 0% −8.00
Tony Kelly 4 2 50% +4.50
Nathan Moscrop 3 0 0% −3.00
Samantha England 3 0 0% −3.00
Dean Pratt 2 0 0% −2.00
Diarmuid O'Regan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr M Walford 1 0 0% −1.00
Bruce Lynn 1 0 0% −1.00
Jack Hogan 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
2
Archived wins
£11,309
Prize money
2013
Best season · 2 wins
Candleford (GB) — James Brindley Best Dressed Lady Competition Handicap Hurdle Wetherby · May 2013 · Class 4
£3,249
Candleford (GB) — Margaret Ferries Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Hexham · May 2013 · Class 5
£2,274
Notable horses
Candleford (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mr Dinos (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 7.3% of 409 runs since 2011 (33 horses).
Silver Patriarch (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Iktibas (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 5.8% of 156 runs since 2010 (16 horses).
Vettori (IRE) 66.7% · 2–3
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,775 runs since 2008 (163 horses).
Environment Friend (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 8.2% of 645 runs since 2008 (83 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 108.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 25 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Ashley Dodgson's 25 archived runners, from 30 May 2011 to 15 February 2023, newest first — 2 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Feb 23 Wetherby Mr Dealer (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Follow RacingTV On Twitter Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 18/1
26 Dec 22 Wetherby Mr Dealer (IRE)J: Jack Hogan William Hill Build Yourodds Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 14/1
28 Oct 22 Wetherby Mr Dealer (IRE)J: John Kington Bet365 Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 20/1
09 May 22 Southwell Mr Dealer (IRE)J: John Kington Cazoo Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 5/1
22 Apr 22 Southwell Mr Dealer (IRE)J: John Kington Andrew Roy Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 28/1
22 Mar 22 Wetherby Mr Dealer (IRE)J: John Kington Wear A Hat Day Supporting braintumourresearch.org Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 50/1
04 Feb 22 Catterick Mr Dealer (IRE)J: John Kington Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 40/1
15 Jan 22 Wetherby Mr Dealer (IRE)J: John Kington wetherbyracing.co.uk Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 50/1
18 Dec 21 Newcastle Mr Dealer (IRE)J: John Kington bet365 Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 18/1
25 May 21 Southwell Mr Dealer (IRE)J: John Kington Happy Birthday Lucy Titchener 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 100/1
30 Dec 18 Haydock Mr Dealer (IRE)J: Nathan Moscrop Platt Bridge Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 22/1
22 Jun 14 Hexham Dicky Shore (GB)J: Dean Pratt Bet totejackpot Novices' Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 100/1
01 May 14 Sedgefield Dicky Shore (GB)J: Tony Kelly Compare Bookies Free Bets With bookmakers.co.uk Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 50/1
16 Apr 14 Southwell Dicky Shore (GB)J: Dean Pratt michaeltowers.co.uk Getting Your Winners Home Standard NH Flat Race (Conditional/Amateur)Class 6 · 15.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 66/1
18 Mar 14 Wetherby Dicky Shore (GB)J: Diarmuid O'Regan Racing Again On 28th March Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 13th 66/1
30 May 13 Wetherby Candleford (GB)J: Tony Kelly James Brindley Best Dressed Lady Competition Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 9/2
11 May 13 Hexham Candleford (GB)J: Tony Kelly Margaret Ferries Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 12 ran 1st 2/1F
02 May 13 Sedgefield Witch Way (GB)J: Diarmuid O'Regan 32Red.com Conditional Jockeys' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 8 ran PU 200/1
28 Apr 13 Wetherby Witch One (GB)J: Samantha England DM Keith Skoda & Seat Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 100/1
24 Apr 13 Sedgefield Witch Way (GB)J: Samantha England Amco Rail Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ashley Dodgson's strike rate?
Ashley Dodgson has won 2 of 25 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).