No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12).
Deterministic profile computed from 519 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFired May–JunJames Sullivan: 15.8% from 57Claiming riders: 8.7%
The read
It is weakest at Newcastle (1.9% over 54 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.1% (n=95, Fair A/E 0.44). James Sullivan rode 11% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.8% vs 8.3%, A/E 2.39) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.9% over 54 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Patavium (IRE) — 10 wins from 86 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jun.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.1%−6.2
n=95 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −67.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.9%−2.4
n=17 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10.5%+2.2
n=19 · A/E 1.59 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
23.1%
n=26 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −4.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.7%+0.4
n=183 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −39.25
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With James Sullivan15.8% vs 8.3% · n=57
With Kevin Stott15.2% vs 8.3% · n=46
At Newcastle1.9% vs 8.3% · n=54
Off a 61-180-day break1.9% vs 8.3% · n=54
With horses switching code2.8% vs 8.3% · n=72
Over 6f – 7f2.4% vs 8.3% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat3783810.1%−51.50
Hurdle11654.3%−70.38
NH Flat2300%−23.00
Chase200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good158148.9%−28.25
Good to Firm128107.8%−44.50
Soft10077%−30.88
Good to Soft9688.3%−30.50
Heavy23313%−4.25
Standard (AW)1000%−10.00
Firm4125%+1.50
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Catterick9488.5%−26.50
Newcastle5411.9%−46.50
Beverley4149.8%+5.50
Redcar3837.9%−17.50
Pontefract35411.4%+13.75
Thirsk35411.4%−6.00
Ripon30413.3%+13.00
Doncaster2414.2%−18.50
Carlisle24520.8%+10.50
Sedgefield2000%−20.00
York1417.1%+1.00
Wetherby1317.7%+4.00
Haydock1218.3%−3.00
Musselburgh1119.1%−6.50
Market Rasen1100%−11.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 5189179%−46.50
Class 4168148.3%−59.38
Class 611098.2%−32.00
Class 33425.9%−6.00
Class 21815.6%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite371232.4%1.53+11.62
2nd–3rd fav71912.7%0.90−15.50
4th–6th fav138118%1.01−27.00
7th+ in betting273114%1.13−116.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f1732011.6%+0.00
1m5f – 2m11065.5%−53.25
1m – 1m1f931111.8%+7.25
2m1f – 2m4f7445.4%−44.50
6f – 7f4112.4%−31.00
2m5f – 3m2514%−22.38
Over 3m300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20087134.2%−58.00
20094449.1%−10.38
201058712.1%+6.50
2011641117.2%+12.25
20126046.7%−21.00
20138989%−20.25
20146857.4%−1.00
20156511.5%−55.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps424409.4%−76.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners173137.5%−62.38
8-10 runners165169.7%−28.25
14-16 runners10187.9%−12.50
5-7 runners5147.8%−34.25
17+ runners2827.1%−8.50
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 41 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 41 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon Snr (4); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.
7 have since run for another yard, most often for Grant Tuer (4); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
5075111541411740
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
61
Archived wins
£407k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 11 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Easy Terms (GB) — Sportingbet Jorvik Handicap York · May 2012 · Class 2
£28,464
Easy Terms (GB) — Totesport.com Cumberland Plate Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2011 · Class 4
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,080 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Sulamani (IRE)11.8% · 6–51
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,243 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Snurge (IRE)9.5% · 4–42
Progeny have won 8.8% of 1,506 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 176. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.8% from 520.
Chevalier (IRE)15% · 6–40
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,683 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.9% from 417.
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,131 runs since 2008 (143 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 127.
Monsieur Bond (IRE)6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 767 · newest first
The latest 50 of 767 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 January 2005 to 3 November 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Edwin Tuer's strike rate?
Edwin Tuer has won 43 of 519 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Edwin Tuer do best at?
Ripon by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Edwin Tuer?
James Sullivan, with 57 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (15.8%).
What is Edwin Tuer's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 519 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Edwin Tuer·SR 8.3%·A/E 1.12
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy