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Trainer profile

Edwin Tuer

519 runners in the lifetime window · 41 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2015
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
43–519
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=519
124 (24%)
Placed
1.12
n=519 · 0.95 incl. margin
−146.88
£1 level stake
n=519 at SP · −28.3%
£273k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
1.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12).

Deterministic profile computed from 519 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun James Sullivan: 15.8% from 57 Claiming riders: 8.7%
The read

It is weakest at Newcastle (1.9% over 54 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.1% (n=95, Fair A/E 0.44). James Sullivan rode 11% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.8% vs 8.3%, A/E 2.39) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.9% over 54 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Patavium (IRE) — 10 wins from 86 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.1%−6.2
n=95 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −67.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.9%−2.4
n=17 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.3
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10.5%+2.2
n=19 · A/E 1.59 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
23.1%
n=26 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −4.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.7%+0.4
n=183 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −39.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With James Sullivan 15.8% vs 8.3% · n=57
With Kevin Stott 15.2% vs 8.3% · n=46
At Newcastle 1.9% vs 8.3% · n=54
Off a 61-180-day break 1.9% vs 8.3% · n=54
With horses switching code 2.8% vs 8.3% · n=72
Over 6f – 7f 2.4% vs 8.3% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 378 38 10.1% −51.50
Hurdle 116 5 4.3% −70.38
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 158 14 8.9% −28.25
Good to Firm 128 10 7.8% −44.50
Soft 100 7 7% −30.88
Good to Soft 96 8 8.3% −30.50
Heavy 23 3 13% −4.25
Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Firm 4 1 25% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Catterick 94 8 8.5% −26.50
Newcastle 54 1 1.9% −46.50
Beverley 41 4 9.8% +5.50
Redcar 38 3 7.9% −17.50
Pontefract 35 4 11.4% +13.75
Thirsk 35 4 11.4% −6.00
Ripon 30 4 13.3% +13.00
Doncaster 24 1 4.2% −18.50
Carlisle 24 5 20.8% +10.50
Sedgefield 20 0 0% −20.00
York 14 1 7.1% +1.00
Wetherby 13 1 7.7% +4.00
Haydock 12 1 8.3% −3.00
Musselburgh 11 1 9.1% −6.50
Market Rasen 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 189 17 9% −46.50
Class 4 168 14 8.3% −59.38
Class 6 110 9 8.2% −32.00
Class 3 34 2 5.9% −6.00
Class 2 18 1 5.6% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 37 12 32.4% 1.53 +11.62
2nd–3rd fav 71 9 12.7% 0.90 −15.50
4th–6th fav 138 11 8% 1.01 −27.00
7th+ in betting 273 11 4% 1.13 −116.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Patavium (IRE)from E J O'Neill 65 8 19 12 Oct 15
Fazza (GB)from David Arbuthnot · then Grant Tuer 51 6 15 23 Oct 15
Ailsa Craig (IRE)from Richard Hannon Snr 40 6 12 25 Oct 13
Sphinx (FR)from Jamie Poulton 38 4 12 15 Jan 14
The Blue Banana (IRE)from Brian Meehan · then Grant Tuer 35 2 5 22 Sep 15
Blue Maisey (GB)from Peter Makin 31 2 9 16 Oct 15
Maneki Neko (IRE)from Mark H Tompkins 21 4 9 9 Oct 12
Donna Elvira (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr 20 0 2 28 Aug 12
Bulas Belle (GB)then Grant Tuer 19 3 10 27 Oct 15
Easy Terms (GB)from Rod Millman 18 6 6 15 May 15
Sally Friday (IRE)from Peter Winkworth 17 1 6 21 Sep 13
Gold Show (GB)from Mick Channon · then Grant Tuer 16 1 6 8 Apr 14
All 41 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 41 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon Snr (4); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Grant Tuer (4); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
5075111541411740
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJames Sullivan
11% of all rides
15.8% SR · A/E 2.39
RiderRWSR£1
James Sullivan 57 9 15.8% +36.00
Paul Mulrennan 50 4 8% −14.00
Kevin Stott 46 7 15.2% +9.25
Tony Hamilton 44 6 13.6% +18.00
Keith Mercer 30 2 6.7% −21.88
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
61
Archived wins
£407k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 11 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Easy Terms (GB) — Sportingbet Jorvik Handicap York · May 2012 · Class 2
£28,464
Easy Terms (GB) — Totesport.com Cumberland Plate Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2011 · Class 4
£15,542
Through The Rye (GB) — Novices' Chase Carlisle · Feb 2005 · Class 3
£10,244

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Titus Livius (FR) 12.3% · 8–65
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,080 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Sulamani (IRE) 11.8% · 6–51
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,243 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Snurge (IRE) 9.5% · 4–42
Progeny have won 8.8% of 1,506 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 176. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.8% from 520.
Chevalier (IRE) 15% · 6–40
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,683 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.9% from 417.
Red Clubs (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,131 runs since 2008 (143 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 127.
Monsieur Bond (IRE) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,979 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 767 · newest first

The latest 50 of 767 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 January 2005 to 3 November 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 15 Redcar Bulas Belle (GB)J: Barry McHugh Sam Hall Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 12/1
12 Oct 15 Sedgefield Patavium (IRE)J: Tony Kelly Vhe Construction Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 14 ran 13th 50/1
01 Oct 15 Beverley Fazza (GB)J: Joe Doyle Racing UK Day Pass Just 10 HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th 11/2
01 Oct 15 Beverley Blue Maisey (GB)J: Jordan Vaughan Eppleworth Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 8/1
01 Oct 15 Beverley Mystical Moment (GB)J: Joe Doyle Eppleworth Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 10/1
09 Sep 15 Carlisle Fazza (GB)J: Tom Eaves Bet & Watch With Racing UK's App HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Edwin Tuer's strike rate?
Edwin Tuer has won 43 of 519 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Edwin Tuer do best at?
Ripon by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Edwin Tuer?
James Sullivan, with 57 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (15.8%).
What is Edwin Tuer's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 519 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).