What is Nathan Moscrop's strike rate?

Nathan Moscrop has won 90 of 958 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nathan Moscrop do best at?

Carlisle by strike rate: 11 wins from 61 rides (18%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Nathan Moscrop ride most for?

Rebecca Menzies, with 489 rides since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (10.4%).

Is Nathan Moscrop in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Nathan Moscrop's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 958 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Nathan Moscrop

958 rides in the last 5 seasons · 295 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

90–958

Wins / Runs

9.4%

Strike rate

n=958

243 (25%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=958 · 0.88 incl. margin

−240.22

£1 level stake

n=958 at SP · −25.1%

£990k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 190 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (96 rides). Rides mostly for Rebecca Menzies — 51% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 958 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Jun 34% when favourite Rebecca Menzies: 10.4% from 489 LTO winners: 25% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Carlisle (18%, n=61) and Market Rasen (15.9%, n=44) — all clear of the rider's 9.4% baseline. It is weakest at Ayr (1.7% over 59 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 25% (n=96, Fair A/E 1.51), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.5% (n=220, Fair A/E 0.65). Rebecca Menzies supplies 51% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.4%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.3% over 86 rides, 7.1pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Virgin Bet Mares' Novices' Hurdle at Doncaster (Mar 2022, £17,085). The standout partner of the record: Curley Finger (IRE) — 5 wins from 18 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.2%−3.2

n=257 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −38.87

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

25%+15.6

n=96 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +36.84

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.5%−4.9

n=220 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −109.10

When favourite

34%

n=53 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +0.36

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

18.5%+9.1

n=27 · A/E 1.70 · £1 −2.75

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.7%−4.7

n=86 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −26.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.7%−2.7

n=15 · A/E 1.88 · £1 +4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 25% vs 9.4% · n=96

At Carlisle 18% vs 9.4% · n=61

Off a break of 180+ days 2.3% vs 9.4% · n=86

At Ayr 1.7% vs 9.4% · n=59

With C&D winners 15.5% vs 9.4% · n=97

At Market Rasen 15.9% vs 9.4% · n=44

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 691 66 9.6% −136.47

Chase 169 15 8.9% −53.15

NH Flat 94 9 9.6% −46.60

Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 391 45 11.5% −0.58

Good to Soft 260 20 7.7% −82.51

Soft 236 20 8.5% −111.21

Heavy 55 5 9.1% −29.92

Good to Firm 12 0 0% −12.00

Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hexham 147 14 9.5% −5.42

Sedgefield 100 10 10% −55.42

Kelso 82 8 9.8% −18.25

Newcastle 77 11 14.3% −12.26

Perth 75 7 9.3% −10.50

Wetherby 70 4 5.7% −49.00

Carlisle 61 11 18% +40.75

Ayr 59 1 1.7% −46.00

Musselburgh 46 5 10.9% +20.25

Cartmel 45 3 6.7% −25.79

Market Rasen 44 7 15.9% +1.50

Catterick 43 3 7% −32.58

Uttoxeter 22 1 4.5% +4.00

Doncaster 22 4 18.2% +8.50

Southwell 17 1 5.9% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 455 41 9% −105.53

Class 5 335 33 9.9% −70.94

Class 3 94 9 9.6% −53.50

Class 2 56 6 10.7% −11.25

Class 1 18 1 5.6% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 62 20 32.3% 1.06 −2.76

2nd–3rd fav 208 38 18.3% 1.08 −32.96

4th–6th fav 348 21 6% 0.86 −95.50

7th+ in betting 340 11 3.2% 1.07 −109.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.5% completed · 860 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 169 72.8% 3 5 37 1 0

Hurdle 691 86.1% 8 7 80 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sunset Hill (IRE) 19 1 8 6 Nov 26

Disco Annie (IRE) 18 2 4 6 May 26

Curley Finger (IRE) 18 5 8 29 Jun 25

Les's Legacy (GB) 17 2 4 7 Nov 26

Kilmore Rock (IRE) 13 4 6 25 May 26

Blame Rose (IRE) 13 2 3 25 May 25

Velasco (IRE) 13 3 4 25 Feb 25

Twoshotsoftequila (IRE) 12 1 5 7 Mar 26

Zuul (GB) 12 0 3 24 Sep 25

Miss Friday Lions (GB) 11 0 2 18 Oct 26

Wee Alki (IRE) 11 2 6 24 Sep 26

Raffles Wonder (FR) 11 1 2 19 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 295 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1191211111361113684

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRebecca Menzies

51% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 0.97

TrainerRWSR£1

Rebecca Menzies 489 51 10.4% −138.80

Susan Corbett 227 31 13.7% +66.20

Brian Ellison 54 2 3.7% −44.12

R Mike Smith 44 2 4.5% −21.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

160

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.53m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 28 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Fonzerelli (IRE) — Virgin Bet Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) Doncaster · Mar 2022 · Listed

£17,085

Curley Finger (IRE) — Pertemps Network Group Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Feb 2024 · Class 2

£15,609

Curley Finger (IRE) — Racing TV Go North Brindisi Breeze Hurdle Series Final (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£15,609

Notable horses

Curley Finger (IRE) Set In Stone (IRE) Wor Verge (GB) Kilmore Rock (IRE) Russian Virtue (GB) Im Too Generous (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Court Cave (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,964 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Getaway (GER) 25% · 8–32

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,017 runs since 2016 (1,033 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Fame And Glory (GB) 3.3% · 1–30

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,215 runs since 2016 (504 horses).

Shirocco (GER) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,199 runs since 2010 (926 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Sholokhov (IRE) 17.2% · 5–29

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,279 runs since 2008 (423 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Snow Sky (GB) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 10.9% of 421 runs since 2021 (54 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.2% from 158. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 130. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.6% from 184.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,939 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,939 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2007 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Kelso Fairly Fulling (IRE)T: Susan Corbett Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/2

07 Nov 26 Kelso Les's Legacy (GB)T: Susan Corbett Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

06 Nov 26 Hexham Sunset Hill (IRE)T: Susan Corbett carpetgallop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 4th 12/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Kaikoura (FR)T: Susan Corbett Canine PREMIER FLEX Plus Joint Supplement Etc Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 9th 18/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Letmeseethecolts (GB)T: Brian Ellison MW Civils And Groundworks Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 10/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Mio Amico (GB)T: Michael Keady CopyBet For Football Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 66/1

30 Oct 26 Wetherby Fairly Fulling (IRE)T: Susan Corbett Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 21.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 12/1

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Paragon (IRE)T: Susan Corbett High Gosforth Park Golf Club Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 7th 25/1

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Come On John (IRE)T: Alison Hamilton Border Minstrel Dog Friendly Pub Maiden Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 6th 150/1

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Mio Amico (GB)T: Michael Keady Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan & Touring Site Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 250/1

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Samantha's Lady (GB)T: Susan Corbett Mw Civils & Groundworks Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 4th 40/1

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Miss Friday Lions (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Vickers Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran PU 13/2

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Cuillin Ridge (GB)T: Susan Corbett Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran PU 14/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Mio Amico (GB)T: Michael Keady Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 66/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Valette (IRE)T: Susan Corbett Ginetta Clothing British Menswear Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 11/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham Presentandcorrect (IRE)T: Rebecca Menzies Project Rugby Community Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 17/2

08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Ratemenow (IRE)T: Susan Corbett Book Boxing Day At The Races Today! Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 10/11F

08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Ebselysees (GB)T: Susan Corbett Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1

08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Blue Du Neuf (FR)T: Susan Corbett Malton Marquees Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 33/1

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Letmeseethecolts (GB)T: Brian Ellison Chloe Mediumship Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 4th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Nathan Moscrop's strike rate?: Nathan Moscrop has won 90 of 958 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nathan Moscrop do best at?: Carlisle by strike rate: 11 wins from 61 rides (18%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Nathan Moscrop ride most for?: Rebecca Menzies, with 489 rides since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (10.4%).
Is Nathan Moscrop in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nathan Moscrop's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 958 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.