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Trainer profile

Colin Heard

79 runners in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2021 100% of runners over jumps
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–79
Wins / Runs
2.5%
Strike rate
n=79
11 (14%)
Placed
0.50
n=79 · 0.43 incl. margin
−67.00
£1 level stake
n=79 at SP · −84.8%
£15,044
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Liam Heard: 3% from 67

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.5
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 2.5% · n=31
In Hurdle races 3.6% vs 2.5% · n=56 · A/E 0.82
With Liam Heard 3% vs 2.5% · n=67 · A/E 0.65
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 56 2 3.6% −44.00
Chase 16 0 0% −16.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 26 2 7.7% −14.00
Good 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 23 2 8.7% −11.00
Exeter 20 0 0% −20.00
Taunton 13 0 0% −13.00
Wincanton 10 0 0% −10.00
Chepstow 5 0 0% −5.00
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 52 2 3.8% −40.00
Class 5 21 0 0% −21.00
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 1.38 +2.50
2nd–3rd fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
4th–6th fav 18 1 5.6% 0.84 −10.50
7th+ in betting 52 0 0% 0.00 −52.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.4% completed · 72 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 16 50% 1 0 7 0 0
Hurdle 56 83.9% 0 0 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Little Eaglet (IRE)from Henrietta Knight 22 2 7 26 Mar 14
Cottage Acre (IRE)from Tom George · then Mrs K Heard 8 0 0 10 Oct 13
Talikos (FR)from Henrietta C Knight 7 0 2 13 May 09
Blue Signal (IRE)from Tom George 6 0 1 31 Aug 13
Carheney River (IRE) 6 0 0 22 May 13
Silver Emblem (GB) 5 0 0 17 May 10
Innocent Rebel (USA)from Alan King · then Mrs K Heard 4 0 1 13 May 09
Makety (GB)from Oliver Sherwood · then Oliver Sherwood 3 0 0 8 Apr 21
Sam Miguel (GB) 3 0 0 10 Dec 20
Wolftrap (IRE)from Mrs K Heard 3 0 0 7 May 19
Kris Magic (IRE) 3 0 0 30 Jan 14
Wray Castle (IRE)from Ian Williams 2 0 0 25 May 11
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Henrietta Knight (2) and Tom George (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs K Heard (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000033000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderLiam Heard
85% of all rides
3% SR · A/E 0.65
RiderRWSR£1
Liam Heard 67 2 3% −55.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
3
Archived wins
£16,808
Prize money
2013
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Little Eaglet (IRE) — Sis International Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Jun 2013 · Class 4
£3,509
Little Eaglet (IRE) — Nspcc Golf Day 21 July Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Jun 2011 · Class 4
£2,706
Innocent Rebel (USA) — Teign Suite Novices' Hunters' Chase Newton Abbot · Apr 2007 · Class 6
£989

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dushyantor (USA) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,917 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 139.
Shernazar (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,462 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Nikos (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12.9% of 628 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17.7% from 130. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 147.
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Blueprint (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,670 runs since 2008 (137 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 82 · newest first

The latest 50 of 82 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2007 to 8 April 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Mar 21 Exeter Makety (GB)J: Nick Scholfield Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 16/1
07 May 19 Exeter Wolftrap (IRE)J: Liam Heard Locomotive Inn Exeter Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 80/1
26 Apr 19 Chepstow Wolftrap (IRE)J: Liam Heard Braceys Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 18 ran 13th 50/1
06 Apr 19 Chepstow Wolftrap (IRE)J: Liam Heard Bet On Course At Sid Hooper Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 16th 40/1
24 Sep 13 Newton Abbot Cottage Acre (IRE)J: Liam Heard Paignton Zoo Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 33/1
21 Aug 13 Newton Abbot Blue Signal (IRE)J: Liam Heard Blueglue Linux Sys Admin Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Colin Heard's strike rate?
Colin Heard has won 2 of 79 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Colin Heard?
Liam Heard, with 67 runners since 2008 — 85% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3%).
What is Colin Heard's Fair A/E?
0.50, from 79 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).