Millie Wonnacott
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (43 runs).
First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 8.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +11.82 to a £1 stake over 180 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. J S Moore supplies 17% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.7% vs 9%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (18.6%, n=59) and at trips under 6f (18.6%, n=43). The market has also underrated the rider on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 1.45 across 57 rides (14% strike, +12.13 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 2.8% over 36 rides, 6.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.57 across 126 rides (4.8% strike, −82.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 445 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 445 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 June 2018 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Millie Wonnacott's strike rate?
- Millie Wonnacott has won 29 of 322 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Millie Wonnacott do best at?
- Bath by strike rate: 6 wins from 50 rides (12%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Millie Wonnacott ride most for?
- J S Moore, with 55 rides since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (12.7%).
- Is Millie Wonnacott in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Millie Wonnacott's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 321 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.