Millie Wonnacott
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (43 runs).
First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 8.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +11.82 to a £1 stake over 180 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. J S Moore supplies 17% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13% vs 9%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (18.6%, n=59) and at trips under 6f (18.6%, n=43). The market has also underrated the rider on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 1.45 across 57 rides (14% strike, +12.13 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 2.9% over 35 rides, 6.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.57 across 126 rides (4.8% strike, −82.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 444 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 444 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 June 2018 to 29 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Millie Wonnacott's strike rate?
- Millie Wonnacott has won 29 of 321 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Millie Wonnacott do best at?
- Bath by strike rate: 6 wins from 50 rides (12%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Millie Wonnacott ride most for?
- J S Moore, with 54 rides since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (13%).
- Is Millie Wonnacott in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Millie Wonnacott's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 320 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.