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Trainer profile

David Kemp

105 runners in the lifetime window · 21 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2025 99% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
27–105
Wins / Runs
25.7%
Strike rate
n=105
49 (47%)
Placed
1.48
Fair A/E
n=105 · 1.29 incl. margin
+22.30
£1 level stake
n=105 at SP · +21.2%
£134k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
50%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 26% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.48). With a claiming rider up the record reads 28% (82 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 105 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 28%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 18.2% (n=44, Fair A/E 1.17). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (32.1%, n=56). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 17.6% over 34 runners, 8.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE) — 6 wins from 15 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 25.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
18.2%−7.5
n=44 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −8.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−25.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
16.7%−9.0
n=12 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.1%−14.6
n=9 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −3.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−25.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
38.1%
n=21 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −2.54
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
28%+2.3
n=82 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +4.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 25.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mr Dale Peters 34.2% vs 25.7% · n=38
With Mr D Kemp 17.1% vs 25.7% · n=35
Beyond 3m 17.6% vs 25.7% · n=34
Off a break of 180+ days 18.2% vs 25.7% · n=44
Over 2m5f – 3m 32.1% vs 25.7% · n=56
With a new jockey booking 18.9% vs 25.7% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 104 27 26% +23.30
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 61 17 27.9% +23.01
Good to Soft 18 4 22.2% +5.63
Soft 14 3 21.4% −6.09
Good to Firm 9 3 33.3% +2.75
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fakenham 25 6 24% −2.75
Cheltenham 23 3 13% −11.62
Stratford 19 6 31.6% +24.13
Fontwell 7 3 42.9% +10.16
Huntingdon 5 4 80% +12.50
Leicester 5 1 20% −2.50
Towcester 4 1 25% −0.75
Folkestone 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell 3 1 33.3% −0.75
Aintree 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00
Newbury 2 1 50% +3.50
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 1 100% +1.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 45 12 26.7% +6.83
Class 5 22 9 40.9% +11.96
Class 2 19 3 15.8% +14.00
Class 4 17 3 17.6% −8.49
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 22 8 36.4% 1.04 −3.54
2nd–3rd fav 43 15 34.9% 1.86 +18.84
4th–6th fav 29 4 13.8% 1.83 +18.00
7th+ in betting 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74% completed · 104 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 104 74% 3 3 20 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Law Of Gold (IRE) 17 5 10 30 May 25
Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE) 15 6 8 30 May 25
Master Workman (IRE) 11 3 4 8 May 18
Caulkin (IRE)from I R Ferguson · then John Whyte 10 1 3 14 May 15
Curraigflemens (IRE)from Michael Butler 9 3 3 8 Jun 18
Caryto Des Brosses (FR) 8 2 6 3 May 24
Rydal Park (IRE)from Mrs S D Williams 7 2 3 12 Apr 09
Took My Eye (IRE) 6 1 2 25 Apr 11
Moroman (IRE) 5 3 4 29 May 15
Hill Of Gold (IRE) 4 1 2 9 May 17
Cheyanwe (IRE)from Gerard Cully 2 0 1 14 May 15
Where's My Baby (IRE)from Jonjo O'Neill 2 0 0 5 Apr 10
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Noel Meade (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0028213033······
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr Dale Peters
36% of all rides
34.2% SR · A/E 1.63
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Dale Peters 38 13 34.2% +15.64
Mr D Kemp 35 6 17.1% −16.83
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
30
Archived wins
£149k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Moroman (IRE) — Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase (57th Running) Stratford · May 2015 · Class 2
£14,990
Law Of Gold (IRE) — pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The John Corbet Cup) Stratford · May 2019 · Class 2
£11,992
Law Of Gold (IRE) — Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase Stratford · May 2021 · Class 2
£9,778
Notable horses
Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE) Law Of Gold (IRE) Master Workman (IRE) Curraigflemens (IRE) Moroman (IRE) Deckie (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gold Well (GB) 29.4% · 5–17
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).
Getaway (GER) 37.5% · 6–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,994 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Posidonas (GB) 27.3% · 3–11
Progeny have won 6.4% of 234 runs since 2008 (25 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Flemensfirth (USA) 33.3% · 3–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Maresca Sorrento (FR) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,431 runs since 2008 (182 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.2% from 323.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 124 · newest first

The latest 50 of 124 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2005 to 30 May 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 May 25 Stratford Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Free Horse Racing Tips At tipsterreviews.co.uk Handicap Hunters' Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 4 ran 1st 11/8F
30 May 25 Stratford Law Of Gold (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase (The 66th Running For the Horse and Hound Cup)Class 2 · 27.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 10/1
02 May 25 Cheltenham Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Royal Gloucestershire Hussars Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 9/2
02 May 25 Cheltenham Law Of Gold (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Brooklands Watches Golden Miller Chronograph Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 32.5f · Good · 18 ran 3rd 9/2
21 Mar 25 Newbury Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Ultimate Travel Company Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 9/2
25 Feb 25 Leicester Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Cottesmore Open Hunters' ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 11/1
31 May 24 Stratford Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Peter Wright Over And Out Handicap Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/3F
31 May 24 Stratford Law Of Gold (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 27.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 12/1
03 May 24 Cheltenham Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Royal Gloucestershire Hussars Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/2
03 May 24 Cheltenham Law Of Gold (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Molson Coors Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 32.5f · Soft · 10 ran PU 9/4F
03 May 24 Cheltenham Caryto Des Brosses (FR)J: Mr Dale Peters Congratulations Keith And Michelle Smith Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 5/2
11 Apr 24 Aintree Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase (National Course)Class 2 · 21f · Heavy · 22 ran 10th 14/1
15 Mar 24 Fakenham Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Queens Cup Grassroots Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 1st 3/1
02 Jun 23 Stratford Law Of Gold (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 27.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 9/4
02 Jun 23 Stratford Clara Sorrento (FR)J: Mr Rupert Stearn Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 27.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 22/1
05 May 23 Cheltenham Law Of Gold (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters Remembering Gabe Mahon Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 32.5f · Good · 12 ran 1st 11/8F
05 May 23 Cheltenham Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Dale Peters INEOS Grenadier Mixed Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 5/1
05 May 23 Cheltenham Caryto Des Brosses (FR)J: Mr Dale Peters John Wyke Aka Mr Guinness Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 16/5
10 Apr 23 Fakenham Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE)J: Mr Alex Chadwick Queen's Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 5 ran UR 6/5F
24 Mar 23 Newbury Caryto Des Brosses (FR)J: Mr Dale Peters Lengthen The Odds At BetVictor Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 5/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Kemp's strike rate?
David Kemp has won 27 of 105 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 25.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is David Kemp's Fair A/E?
1.48, from 105 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).