What is Mathieu Calbrix's strike rate?

Mathieu Calbrix has won 10 of 125 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mathieu Calbrix do best at?

Chantilly by strike rate: 6 wins from 48 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Mathieu Calbrix in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mathieu Calbrix's Fair A/E?

1.33, from 125 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mathieu Calbrix

125 rides in the last 5 seasons · 81 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 9 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)

from 1 Jan 2022

10–125

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=125

27 (22%)

Placed

1.33

Fair A/E

n=125 · 1.08 incl. margin

+42.60

£1 level stake

n=125 at SP · +34.1%

£153k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.33). When claiming the record reads 10% (84 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 125 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance First rides: 8.6% Claiming: 9.5%

The read

The record is strongest at Chantilly (12.5%, n=48), clear of the rider's 8% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.77). The rider also reads well on Standard (AW) going (14%, n=57) and over 1m – 1m1f (12.3%, n=57).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.6%+0.6

n=81 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +46.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−8.0

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

15.4%+7.4

n=26 · A/E 2.55 · £1 +32.60

When favourite

100%

n=1 · A/E 4.56 · £1 +2.50

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.5%+1.5

n=84 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +75.60

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.8%−4.2

n=53 · A/E 0.77 · £1 +23.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.0

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Standard (AW) going 14% vs 8% · n=57

At Chantilly 12.5% vs 8% · n=48

Over 1m – 1m1f 12.3% vs 8% · n=57

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 5.6% vs 8% · n=36

When claiming 9.5% vs 8% · n=84 · A/E 1.60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 57 8 14% +86.70

Good to Soft 25 0 0% −25.00

Soft 23 0 0% −23.00

Good 15 1 6.7% −11.50

Heavy 5 1 20% +15.40

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 48 6 12.5% +84.50

Deauville (AW) 22 2 9.1% −10.80

Saint-Cloud (FR) 20 1 5% +0.40

Longchamp (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Strasbourg (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Compiegne (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Le Touquet (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Amiens (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Nancy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Toulouse (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Argentan (FR) 1 1 100% +2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 4 11 2 18.2% −3.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 1 100% 4.56 +2.50

2nd–3rd fav 23 3 13% 1.04 −7.50

4th–6th fav 27 1 3.7% 0.47 −15.80

7th+ in betting 74 5 6.8% 2.20 +63.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fearless Cheetah (FR) 7 3 3 25 Sep 25

La Ferretcapienne (FR) 4 1 1 19 Jul 26

Ocean Star (FR) 4 0 2 7 May 26

Likethewind (FR) 4 0 0 16 Apr 26

Borcano (IRE) 4 0 0 30 Mar 26

Mia Fast (FR) 4 0 0 12 Feb 26

Alicanto (FR) 4 0 0 5 Jul 25

Jonin (GB) 3 1 3 1 Oct 26

Bobby Jean (FR) 3 0 1 7 Aug 26

Black Echo Take (FR) 2 0 0 23 Sep 26

Grand Chelem (FR) 2 0 1 14 Sep 26

Dance De Lune (FR) 2 0 0 4 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 81 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

917003300105101713

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

F Bresson 17 3 17.6% +38.10

N Clement & F Hermans 14 1 7.1% −9.50

Leonardo D Racco 10 0 0% −10.00

Jean-Pierre Carvalho 9 0 0% −9.00

J Silva 9 0 0% −9.00

Gerard Rivases 4 1 25% +18.10

Mme A Wattel 4 1 25% −0.50

Caroline Auvray 4 0 0% −4.00

Mme J Soudan 3 0 0% −3.00

F-X Belvisi 3 0 0% −3.00

V Devillars 2 1 50% +18.40

Charlotte Alesi 2 0 0% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→

Archived wins

£153k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 5 wins

La Ferretcapienne (FR) — Prix de la Piste Sea Bird (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Dec 2025

£9,917

Fearless Cheetah (FR) — Prix de Barbery (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · May 2025

£9,091

Fearless Cheetah (FR) — Prix du Salon de Guise (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Sep 2025

£8,719

Notable horses

Fearless Cheetah (FR) La Ferretcapienne (FR) Jonin (GB) Summer Flirt (FR) Sheema's Rose (FR) Power Papers (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Tigron (USA) 42.9% · 3–7

Progeny have won 11.4% of 167 runs since 2008 (20 horses).

Cloth Of Stars (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,201 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 178.

Toronado (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,848 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.

Hello Youmzain (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 10.2% of 990 runs since 2008 (162 horses).

Chachnak (FR) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 12.2% of 221 runs since 2008 (41 horses).

Dabirsim (FR) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,127 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 142.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 125 · newest first

The latest 50 of 125 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 May 2024 to 11 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Lallybroch (FR)T: Clement & Hermans Prix Henri Dory10f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 22/1

04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Fury Boxing (FR)T: M Krebs Prix Agriteam (Prix Richard Hartley)Class 3 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 12th 22/1

04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Go For It (FR)T: P Baudry Prix Du DaboClass 4 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 22/1

04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Great Spirit (FR)T: Frau Y Vollmer Prix Coupe De L'est10.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 11/2

02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Jagda (FR)T: Laurent Girel Prix Des Jeunes (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 13/2

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Jonin (GB)T: Mme A Wattel Prix Elisabeth MussatClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/2F

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Costa Navarino (GB)T: Francis-Henri Graffard Prix Yves Saint Martin11f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 7/2

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Yuna (FR)T: Jean-Pierre Carvalho Px Du Pdv Pmu Le Chalet Les Attaques (62) (Px Du Stade De La Licorne)11f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 20/1

25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Crin Noir (FR)T: D Le Geay Prix Du Val D'oiseClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 14th 50/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Black Echo Take (FR)T: Charlotte Alesi Prix Des Terriers Du Houx8f · Good · 7 ran 7th 80/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Grand Chelem (FR)T: Pauline Menges Prix Jean Deforge9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 12th 10/1

13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Rolexxa (FR)T: Mme V C Wilde Prix De La Zorn10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 10th 9/1

13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Hatedia Fal (FR)T: Frau Y Vollmer Prix Credit Mutuel (Prix Des Vosges)10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 66/1

07 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Black Echo Take (FR)T: Charlotte Alesi Prix Pharel10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 22/1

04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Grand Chelem (FR)T: Pauline Menges Prix De VerderonneClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 12/1

04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Dance De Lune (FR)T: N Clement & F Hermans Prix Henri Samani (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 4/1

22 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Roulette (FR)T: N Clement & F Hermans Prix Du Bourg Saint-leonardClass 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 7/2

16 Aug 26 Le Touquet (FR) E Va Bin (IRE)T: F Carnevali Prix Algy's BarClass 4 · 10.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 25/1

16 Aug 26 Le Touquet (FR) Valento (FR)T: D De Waele Prix Saracen Nutrition EquineClass 4 · 6.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 16/1

16 Aug 26 Le Touquet (FR) Franciscano (FR)T: Mme A Wattel Prix Hotel Regina HardelotClass 4 · 6.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mathieu Calbrix's strike rate?: Mathieu Calbrix has won 10 of 125 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mathieu Calbrix do best at?: Chantilly by strike rate: 6 wins from 48 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Mathieu Calbrix in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mathieu Calbrix's Fair A/E?: 1.33, from 125 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.