No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 20.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.4%−11.5
n=32 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −17.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−20.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
28.6%+7.7
n=21 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +11.30
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−20.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
26.3%
n=19 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −4.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−20.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
16.7%−4.2
n=12 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +2.60
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f23.1% vs 20.9% · n=39
With a new jockey booking19.2% vs 20.9% · n=52 · A/E 1.47
In Flat races20.9% vs 20.9% · n=91 · A/E 1.46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)29310.3%−13.70
Soft25728%+6.50
Good19421.1%−4.20
Good to Soft9111.1%+0.80
Heavy7228.6%+17.40
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR)24625%+9.40
Deauville (FR)2328.7%−10.40
Longchamp (FR)10330%−1.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)9222.2%−1.20
Saint-Cloud (FR)8337.5%+19.70
Bordeaux Le Bouscat600%−5.00
La Teste De Buch300%−3.00
Toulouse2150%−1.00
Langon11100%—
Pornichet-La Baule100%−1.00
Mont-De-Marsan100%−1.00
Le Mans100%−1.00
Compiegne100%−1.00
Dax11100%+3.30
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 112216.7%+2.60
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite20525%1.10−5.90
2nd–3rd fav29724.1%1.52+0.60
4th–6th fav17317.6%2.61+12.00
7th+ in betting1915.3%1.54+0.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f39923.1%+10.50
1m2f – 1m4f22313.6%−10.00
1m – 1m1f21628.6%+12.50
Under 6f8112.5%−5.20
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20084250%—
2010200%−2.00
2011300%−2.00
201217529.4%+10.30
201330413.3%+7.30
201429827.6%−0.80
2015300%−3.00
2016100%−1.00
2019100%−1.00
2020100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps3339.1%−12.60
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners22313.6%−2.60
8-10 runners19421.1%+9.00
11-13 runners14321.4%+7.90
2-4 runners14214.3%−6.70
5-7 runners12650%+8.20
17+ runners900%−9.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 29 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P Bary (3); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2540173613441301425140
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bodhi (FR) — Prix De Guiche (3yo Colts) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · May 2014 · Group 3
£33,333
Abu Sidra (FR) — Prix de Ris-Orangis (3yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Jun 2013 · Group 3
£32,520
Voxna (FR) — Prix de la Ligue Francaise de Protection du Cheval (Handicap) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2007
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,163 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Bernstein (USA)28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 12.2% of 691 runs since 2008 (46 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 16.5% from 212. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 16.2% from 198.
Cadeaux Genereux (GB)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,919 runs since 2008 (203 horses).
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,137 runs since 2008 (145 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.3% from 124. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 372. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.5% from 155. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Poliglote (GB)28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since 2008 (596 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 95 · newest first
The latest 50 of 95 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 April 2006 to 20 May 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is J-F Bernard's strike rate?
J-F Bernard has won 19 of 91 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 20.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J-F Bernard's Fair A/E?
1.46, from 74 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
J-F Bernard·SR 20.9%·A/E 1.46
KTB
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