What is Ronan Thomas's strike rate?

Ronan Thomas has won 87 of 977 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ronan Thomas do best at?

Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 22 wins from 217 rides (10.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ronan Thomas ride most for?

C & Y Lerner, with 433 rides since 2022 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 45 (10.4%).

Is Ronan Thomas in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 17.6%. That is above the baseline of 8.9% since 2022.

What is Ronan Thomas's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 976 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ronan Thomas

977 rides in the last 5 seasons · 301 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 3 winners last 14 days Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

87–977

Wins / Runs

8.9%

Strike rate

n=977

294 (30%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=976 · 0.85 incl. margin

−113.52

£1 level stake

n=977 at SP · −11.6%

£3.79m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 200 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (86 rides). Rides mostly for C & Y Lerner — 44% of rides in the window. The rider is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 977 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 33.8% when favourite C & Y Lerner: 10.4% from 433 LTO winners: 16.3% Group/Graded: 15.2% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.3% (n=86, Fair A/E 1.24). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 15.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.57 and +82.83 to a £1 stake over 125 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is firing: 3 winners from 17 rides in the last 14 days (17.6%, 8.7pts above the 8.9% baseline). C & Y Lerner supplies 44% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.4%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well in Class 1 (14.8%, n=128). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 39 rides, 8.9pts below the baseline. 49 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix du Jockey Club at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2024, £745,304). The standout partner of the record: Gallardo (IRE) — 7 wins from 15 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.6%−1.3

n=288 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +71.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.3%+7.4

n=86 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −12.45

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.2%−2.7

n=194 · A/E 0.83 · £1 +9.75

When favourite

33.8%

n=71 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +5.40

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.9%−2.0

n=461 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +11.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.2%+6.3

n=125 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +82.83

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.3% vs 8.9% · n=86

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 8.9% · n=39

In Group / Graded races 15.2% vs 8.9% · n=125

In Class 1 14.8% vs 8.9% · n=128

With Gianluca Bietolini 14.9% vs 8.9% · n=67

With debutants 4.1% vs 8.9% · n=122

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 976 87 8.9% −112.52

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 331 29 8.8% −38.20

Good to Soft 254 26 10.2% +18.23

Soft 227 17 7.5% −49.30

Heavy 82 7 8.5% −20.95

Good 80 7 8.8% −29.60

Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% +6.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 278 19 6.8% −119.20

Deauville (FR) 258 25 9.7% +25.00

Longchamp (FR) 217 22 10.1% +50.00

Saint-Cloud 181 10 5.5% −76.30

Clairefontaine (FR) 11 1 9.1% −6.67

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 5 3 60% +4.80

La Teste De Buch (FR) 4 1 25% +0.00

Dieppe (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Compiegne (FR) 3 1 33.3% +9.00

Toulouse (FR) 3 1 33.3% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 3 1 33.3% +2.90

Fontainebleau (FR) 2 1 50% +1.70

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 2 1 50% +3.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 2 1 50% +1.25

Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 128 19 14.8% +79.83

Class 3 14 1 7.1% −10.00

Class 2 4 1 25% −0.75

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 75 25 33.3% 1.32 +6.20

2nd–3rd fav 193 21 10.9% 0.75 −86.82

4th–6th fav 279 23 8.2% 1.03 −39.90

7th+ in betting 430 18 4.2% 1.15 +7.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

White Platin (FR) 42 3 11 15 Oct 26

Orange Vif (FR) 35 1 9 30 Oct 26

Exxtra (FR) 19 3 8 14 Sep 25

Luci Del Faro (FR) 19 1 6 3 Dec 24

Wapi (FR) 17 2 7 26 Oct 26

Gouttes De Dieu (FR) 12 0 1 7 Oct 26

Spezial (GB) 12 1 2 31 Jan 25

Aha (FR) 12 0 5 23 Jan 25

Sapristi (FR) 11 3 6 30 Jul 26

Aversa (FR) 10 1 2 8 Jun 25

Breath Of Fire (FR) 10 0 2 14 May 23

Lethal Beauty (FR) 9 2 5 19 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 301 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

3 from 17 17.6% · +8.7pts vs baseline

Last 14 days17.6%

5-season base8.9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

811311713810108106

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardC & Y Lerner

44% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

C & Y Lerner 433 45 10.4% −86.27

Mme C Barande-Barbe 150 8 5.3% −74.10

Gianluca Bietolini 67 10 14.9% +72.60

N Caullery 62 6 9.7% +6.50

P Decouz 61 7 11.5% +16.10

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

410

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£12.5m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 39 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Look De Vega (FR) — Qatar Prix du Jockey Club (3yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2024 · Group 1

£745,304

Musical Way (FR) — Prix Dollar Casino Barriere de Montreux Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2007 · Group 2

£50,068

Exxtra (FR) — Prix de Seine-et-Oise (3yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2023 · Group 3

£35,398

Notable horses

Gallardo (IRE) Musical Way (FR) White Platin (FR) Air De Valse (FR) Ten Years After I (FR) Exxtra (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Polarix (GB) 7% · 3–43

Progeny have won 6.8% of 280 runs since 2019 (29 horses).

Racinger (FR) 2.9% · 1–35

Progeny have won 10.2% of 591 runs since 2013 (75 horses).

Le Havre (IRE) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,874 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.

Elusive City (USA) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,426 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

New Bay (GB) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,991 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Goken (FR) 3.4% · 1–29

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,081 runs since 2020 (246 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.1% from 199.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,304 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,304 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Bromus (FR)T: M Blancpain Prix Du Bray Normand9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 3/1F

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Corypheene (FR)T: C Lecrivain Prix Du Plateau De La Madrie9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Moondance (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix ZeddaanClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 4/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Wood Ming (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix Du Pays De Bray9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Orange Vif (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix De BeaufosseClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 14th 11/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Quiet Strength (FR)T: M Blancpain Prix De Saint-loyer-des-champs7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 11/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Dictynna (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix De La Rocque9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Amnesia (FR)T: C Lerner Criterium De VitesseClass 1 · 5.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 1st 22/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Wapi (FR)T: C Lerner Prix De La Route Des PrincesClass 2 · 8f · Standard · 16 ran 12th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Warriors Whisper (IRE)T: C Lerner Grand Prix Du NordClass 1 · 10f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 20/1

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Motraff (FR)T: C Lerner Prix Droit Divin12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 9/1

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Barsac (USA)T: C Lerner Prix Du Haras De Poujux9f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 4/1

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Manuae (FR)T: M Blancpain Prix De L'ecluse Francois I Er6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 9/1

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Rock Of Rosha (GB)T: M Blancpain Prix Du Canal Du Havre6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 20/1

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) New Eve (FR)T: M Blancpain Prix D'argentan7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 25/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Akhilleus (FR)T: M Blancpain Px Merci A La Boutique Gourmande Expl. Des Resto De Cf (Px Filiberto)9f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 50/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) La Saucelle (FR)T: C Lerner Prix Merci Aux Partenaires & Exposants De Clairefontaine (Prix Madina)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 18/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Ikko (FR)T: Gerald Mosse Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 20/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Bromus (FR)T: M Blancpain Prix Des Biches11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 7/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) White Platin (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix De L'amante InquieteClass 3 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 4th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ronan Thomas's strike rate?: Ronan Thomas has won 87 of 977 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ronan Thomas do best at?: Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 22 wins from 217 rides (10.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ronan Thomas ride most for?: C & Y Lerner, with 433 rides since 2022 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 45 (10.4%).
Is Ronan Thomas in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 17.6%. That is above the baseline of 8.9% since 2022.
What is Ronan Thomas's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 976 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.