What is Josef Vana Jr's strike rate?

Josef Vana Jr has won 4 of 128 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Josef Vana Jr do best at?

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 45 runners (4.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Josef Vana Jr?

Josef Bartos, with 61 runners since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.3%).

Is Josef Vana Jr in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Josef Vana Jr's Fair A/E?

0.58, from 122 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Josef Vana Jr

128 runners in the lifetime window · 50 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

4–128

Wins / Runs

3.1%

Strike rate

n=128

27 (21%)

Placed

0.58

Fair A/E

n=122 · 0.47 incl. margin

−88.80

£1 level stake

n=123 at SP · −72.2%

£391k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.58).

Deterministic profile computed from 128 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Josef Bartos: 3.3% from 61

The read

Josef Bartos rides 48% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.3%, A/E 0.73). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Chase races: Fair A/E 0.32 across 67 runners (1.5% strike, −52.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Prix De La Ville De Nice - Bernard Secly at Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) (Jan 2023, £61,327).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.6%−1.5

n=64 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −55.20

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.2%+1.1

n=24 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −16.20

Debutants · first career start

3.8%+0.7

n=26 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −15.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.3%+2.2

n=19 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −11.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−3.1

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

0%−3.1

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.3%+0.2

n=30 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Hurdle races 4.9% vs 3.1% · n=61 · A/E 0.81

In Chase races 1.5% vs 3.1% · n=67 · A/E 0.32

With a new jockey booking 3.9% vs 3.1% · n=76 · A/E 0.81

On Soft going 2.4% vs 3.1% · n=84 · A/E 0.45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 67 1 1.5% −52.00

Hurdle 61 3 4.9% −36.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 84 2 2.4% −65.70

Heavy 44 2 4.5% −23.10

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 45 2 4.4% −26.10

Auteuil (FR) 32 1 3.1% −24.20

Compiegne (FR) 25 0 0% −25.00

Dieppe (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 5 1 20% +2.50

Lyon Parilly (FR) 4 0 0% −2.00

Pau (FR) 2 0 0% −1.00

Nancy (FR) 2 0 0% —

Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 30 1 3.3% −17.00

Class 3 2 1 50% +5.50

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00

2nd–3rd fav 13 1 7.7% 0.52 −6.10

4th–6th fav 32 2 6.3% 0.88 −16.70

7th+ in betting 74 1 1.4% 0.48 −62.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.7% completed · 128 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 67 76.1% 7 5 4 0 0

Hurdle 61 83.6% 2 0 8 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Capivari (FR)from Josef Vana · then M Seror 13 0 3 8 Dec 23

Sternkranz (GER)from Josef Vana 10 0 1 23 Mar 26

Lord Dragon (FR) 10 0 1 21 May 23

Suroit (FR)from D Cottin 9 1 2 26 Apr 25

Gap Pierji (FR) 6 0 0 29 May 25

First Polar (FR)from Mme P Butel & J-L Beaunez 5 1 3 17 Oct 26

Kapjahr (FR) 5 0 0 30 Mar 23

Kapteen (FR)from Robert Collet 4 0 2 26 May 26

Passion Return (IRE) 4 0 2 19 Dec 22

Moonraker Chic (GB)from Noel George & Amanda Zetterholm 3 0 0 6 Nov 26

Billy Jango (IRE) 3 0 1 7 Aug 26

Le Petit Nice (FR)from R Chotard 3 0 2 15 Jul 26

All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 50 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Daniela Mele (4) and D Bressou (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

110005000·0170

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJosef Bartos

48% of all rides
3.3% SR · A/E 0.73

RiderRWSR£1

Josef Bartos 61 2 3.3% −38.10

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£391k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 1 win

Suroit (FR) — Grand Prix De La Ville De Nice - Bernard Secly (Chase) (Turf) Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) · Jan 2023 · Grade 3

£61,327

Quantum Memories (GER) — Prix Du Debucher Fontainebleau (FR) · Nov 2026 · Class 3

£11,040

First Polar (FR) — Prix du Morbihan (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2025

£9,884

Notable horses

Suroit (FR) First Polar (FR) Edinson (FR) Quantum Memories (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kapgarde (FR) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,637 runs since 2008 (725 horses).

Kamsin (GER) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 9.7% of 848 runs since 2015 (110 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.9% from 186.

Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,845 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Dragon Dancer (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 9% of 578 runs since 2013 (80 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.3% from 162.

Linda's Lad (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,323 runs since 2012 (186 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.6% from 215.

Karaktar (IRE) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 12.8% of 743 runs since 2021 (150 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 263. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18.6% from 140.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 128 · newest first

The latest 50 of 128 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 June 2020 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Moonraker Chic (GB)J: Giany Pinard Prix Du Mont Ussy (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)18f · Soft · 5 ran UR 9/1

06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Quantum Memories (GER)J: Felix De Giles Prix Du DebucherClass 3 · 19f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 13/2

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) First Polar (FR)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix Soulange-bodin21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 28/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) L'aziza Des Places (FR)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix Prince D'ecouen - Grand Handicap D'automneClass 1 · 21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 66/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Matmatah (FR)J: Felix De Giles Prix OrcadaClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 80/1

07 Aug 26 Dieppe (FR) Billy Jango (IRE)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Qg Nautic Martin-eglise (Prix Le Roi Thibault)19.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 15/2

07 Aug 26 Dieppe (FR) First Polar (FR)J: Maelys Herve Prix Mika Motor Location (Prix D'angers - Chmpt Paris Turf Des Ajj)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 8/1

15 Jul 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Billy Jango (IRE)J: Jan Kratochvil Prix Pole International Du Cheval (Prix Des Ypreaux)Class 3 · 18.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 14/1

15 Jul 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Le Petit Nice (FR)J: Jan Kratochvil Prix L'ecole D'equitation Du Pic Longines (Prix Cdt Guy De Pibrac)19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/4

10 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) MadrileneJ: J Kratochvil Prix Revenge Chase4 · 19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 25/1

26 May 26 Auteuil (FR) L'Aziza Des Places (FR)J: Jan Kratochvil Prix de la Muette (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran 5th 47/1

26 May 26 Auteuil (FR) Kapteen (FR)J: Jan Kratochvil Prix du Vesinet (Claiming Hurdle) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 12 ran 7th 33/10F

13 Apr 26 Auteuil (FR) Moonraker Chic (GB)J: Jan Kratochvil Prix du Vivarais (Conditions Hurdle) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 52/1

13 Apr 26 Auteuil (FR) Kapteen (FR)J: Jan Kratochvil Prix des Genets (Claiming Hurdle) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 3rd 4/1

23 Mar 26 Compiegne (FR) Moonraker Chic (GB)J: Bastien Marchand Prix de Brissac (Handicap Chase) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran 12th 30/1

23 Mar 26 Compiegne (FR) Sternkranz (GER)J: Lenka Neprasova Prix Beaute de Cour (Claiming Chase) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran F 16/5

06 Jan 26 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Tough Times (FR)J: Jan Kratochvil Prix Romantisme - Marcel Maschio (Handicap Hurdle) (Turf)20f · Very Soft · 12 ran 2nd 12/1

06 Jan 26 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Ches Demonmirail (FR)J: Clement Lefebvre Prix Jean Fossati (Handicap Chase) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 12 ran 10th 84/10

06 Jan 26 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Jango D'Airy (FR)J: Sertash Nailov-Ferhanov Prix Jean Fossati (Handicap Chase) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 12 ran 4th 17/1

06 Jan 26 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Le Petit Nice (FR)J: Jan Kratochvil Prix Jean Fossati (Handicap Chase) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 12 ran 2nd 87/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Josef Vana Jr's strike rate?: Josef Vana Jr has won 4 of 128 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Josef Vana Jr do best at?: Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 45 runners (4.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Josef Vana Jr?: Josef Bartos, with 61 runners since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.3%).
Is Josef Vana Jr in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Josef Vana Jr's Fair A/E?: 0.58, from 122 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.