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Trainer profile

Julian Smith

96 runners in the last 5 seasons · 10 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 137 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
7–96
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=96
15 (16%)
Placed
1.20
Fair A/E
n=96 · 1.04 incl. margin
−38.00
£1 level stake
n=96 at SP · −39.6%
£68,475
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.7%−2.6
n=43 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
33.3%+26.0
n=3 · A/E 5.19 · £1 +4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 5.95 · £1 +4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.7%+1.4
n=23 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Harry Bannister 12.5% vs 7.3% · n=32
On Good going 4.3% vs 7.3% · n=46
Over 2m5f – 3m 10% vs 7.3% · n=40
In Class 5 8.7% vs 7.3% · n=69 · A/E 1.27
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 52 4 7.7% −29.50
Hurdle 41 3 7.3% −5.50
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 46 2 4.3% −16.50
Good to Soft 32 2 6.3% −21.00
Soft 17 3 17.6% +0.50
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Market Rasen 17 3 17.6% −1.50
Hereford 11 0 0% −11.00
Ludlow 10 1 10% −4.00
Fakenham 8 3 37.5% +28.50
Southwell 7 0 0% −7.00
Worcester 6 0 0% −6.00
Warwick 5 0 0% −5.00
Huntingdon 5 0 0% −5.00
Taunton 4 0 0% −4.00
Bangor-on-Dee 4 0 0% −4.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Ffos Las 3 0 0% −3.00
Lingfield 3 0 0% −3.00
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontwell 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 69 6 8.7% −18.00
Class 4 23 0 0% −23.00
Class 3 4 1 25% +3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 1 100% 5.95 +4.00
2nd–3rd fav 10 2 20% 1.15 +0.50
4th–6th fav 34 3 8.8% 1.13 −14.50
7th+ in betting 51 1 2% 0.81 −28.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75.3% completed · 93 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 52 76.9% 0 0 11 0 1
Hurdle 41 73.2% 0 1 10 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Caro Des Flos (FR)from W P Mullins 24 3 6 4 Dec 25
Fine By Her (GB) 15 3 6 13 Nov 25
Song Of Earth (IRE)from Ms Margaret Mullins 13 0 1 6 Jun 26
After Midnight (GB) 10 0 0 14 Mar 26
Diamond Rose (GB) 10 0 1 3 Jun 23
Sally's Girl (GB) 8 0 0 22 Apr 24
Dublin City (IRE) 5 0 0 24 May 26
No But I Will (GB)from Robbie Llewellyn 4 1 1 31 May 26
Gone To Texas (IRE) 4 0 0 1 May 23
Stay Out Of Court (IRE)from Adrian Wintle 3 0 0 31 May 23
All 10 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 10 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00001110···0543
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderHarry Bannister
33% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.91
RiderRWSR£1
Harry Bannister 32 4 12.5% −10.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
45
Archived wins
£412k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Emerald Rose (GB) — Snellings Norfolk National Handicap Chase Fakenham · May 2018 · Class 3
£19,754
Glen Warrior (GB) — Novices' Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Mar 2005 · Class 2
£12,447
Fine By Me (IRE) — Totesport 0800 221 221 Handicap Chase Warwick · Dec 2009 · Class 3
£11,090
Notable horses
Emerald Rose (GB) Fine By Me (IRE) Caro Des Flos (FR) Iona Days (IRE) Return Home (GB) No Principles (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tiger Groom (GB) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 10.2% of 678 runs since 2008 (81 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.9% from 122.
Shirocco (GER) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,161 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Sagamix (FR) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.5% of 723 runs since 2008 (83 horses).
Sulamani (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,243 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 580 · newest first

The latest 50 of 580 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 January 2005 to 6 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Jun 26 Worcester Song Of Earth (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Law Without The Horsing Around Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 8th 16/1
31 May 26 Fakenham No But I Will (GB)J: Miss Jessica Milly Smith Prince Of Wales Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 11/1
24 May 26 Uttoxeter Dublin City (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Wrights Great British Bake Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 33/1
14 Apr 26 Market Rasen No But I Will (GB)J: Miss Jessica Milly Smith CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 6th 7/1
21 Mar 26 Bangor-on-Dee Dublin City (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Wrexham Lager Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 10th 50/1
19 Mar 26 Sedgefield Song Of Earth (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Fairlight Studios Cafe At Sedgefield Racecourse Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 4th 10/1
17 Mar 26 Wetherby No But I Will (GB)J: Liam Harrison racingtv.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 14/1
14 Mar 26 Fontwell After Midnight (GB)J: Rex Dingle tigerbet.co.uk Extra Places Paid Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 28/1
07 Mar 26 Hereford Dublin City (IRE)J: Jack Hogan Download The Fairplay App Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 300/1
22 Dec 25 Huntingdon Song Of Earth (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings PricedUp Daily Racing Boosts Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 12/1
21 Dec 25 Fakenham No But I Will (GB)J: Miss Jessica Milly Smith Sky Bet Super Sub Female Jockeys' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 6/1
20 Dec 25 Hereford After Midnight (GB)J: Liam Harrison tigerbet.co.uk New Betting Site Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 80/1
04 Dec 25 Market Rasen Caro Des Flos (FR)J: Ben Jones Play On PricedUp Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 18/1
29 Nov 25 Bangor-on-Dee Dublin City (IRE)J: Liam Harrison Wrexham Lager Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 150/1
24 Nov 25 Ludlow After Midnight (GB)J: Liam Harrison Plyvine Catering Mares' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1
22 Nov 25 Huntingdon Song Of Earth (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings PricedUp Daily Racing Boosts Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 40/1
13 Nov 25 Market Rasen Fine By Her (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Equisign Tack And Feeds Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 28/1
13 Nov 25 Market Rasen Caro Des Flos (FR)J: Harry Bannister Lincolnshire Rural Support Network Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 22/1
17 May 25 Bangor-on-Dee After Midnight (GB)J: Harry Bannister Fyrnwy Equine Clinic Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 66/1
02 Mar 25 Huntingdon Dublin City (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Vic Sweeney 80th Birthday Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Julian Smith's strike rate?
Julian Smith has won 7 of 96 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Julian Smith's Fair A/E?
1.20, from 96 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).