What is Adrian Wintle's strike rate?

Adrian Wintle has won 97 of 1,216 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Adrian Wintle do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 27 wins from 235 runners (11.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Adrian Wintle?

Finley Marsh, with 444 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 50 (11.3%).

Is Adrian Wintle in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Adrian Wintle's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 1,210 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Adrian Wintle

1,216 runners in the last 5 seasons · 112 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.4% of 322 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 94% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

97–1,216

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=1,216

296 (24%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=1,210 · 0.73 incl. margin

−438.13

£1 level stake

n=1,216 at SP · −36.0%

£781k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,216 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 24.5% when favourite Finley Marsh: 11.3% from 444 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=186, Fair A/E 0.44). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −111.76 to a £1 stake over 327 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Finley Marsh rides 37% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.3% vs 8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Firm going (26.9%, n=52) and off a 0-7-day break (20%, n=40). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 72 runners, 8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.50 across 79 runners (2.5% strike, −48.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Blue Hero (CAN) — 11 wins from 60 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.2%−5.8

n=186 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −115.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.6%−5.4

n=78 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −38.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.0

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10%+2.0

n=20 · A/E 1.82 · £1 −3.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.5%+0.5

n=47 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −13.02

When favourite

24.5%

n=94 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −23.89

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.4%−1.6

n=327 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −111.76

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 26.9% vs 8% · n=52

Off a 0-7-day break 20% vs 8% · n=40

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 8% · n=72

At Southwell (AW) 0% vs 8% · n=30

In Hurdle races 1.9% vs 8% · n=53

In Class 4 2.5% vs 8% · n=79

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,143 96 8.4% −376.13

Hurdle 53 1 1.9% −42.00

Chase 13 0 0% −13.00

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 511 34 6.7% −202.36

Good 285 25 8.8% −64.01

Good to Firm 168 12 7.1% −51.25

Good to Soft 104 9 8.7% −61.10

Soft 69 2 2.9% −47.00

Firm 52 14 26.9% +10.09

Heavy 27 1 3.7% −22.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 371 30 8.1% −104.86

Bath 235 27 11.5% −56.71

Chepstow 146 15 10.3% −22.75

Ffos Las 86 9 10.5% −43.94

Kempton (AW) 51 1 2% −34.00

Lingfield (AW) 38 3 7.9% −12.50

Windsor 37 2 5.4% −21.50

Southwell (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00

Leicester 24 1 4.2% −17.50

Nottingham 21 1 4.8% −12.50

Chelmsford City (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00

Brighton 14 2 14.3% −7.12

Chester 13 2 15.4% +12.50

Newbury 12 2 16.7% +20.75

Hereford 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 848 80 9.4% −276.58

Class 5 267 13 4.9% −115.05

Class 4 79 2 2.5% −48.50

Class 2 12 1 8.3% +1.00

Class 3 10 1 10% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 116 27 23.3% 0.90 −29.89

2nd–3rd fav 225 30 13.3% 0.80 −80.24

4th–6th fav 382 27 7.1% 0.88 −117.50

7th+ in betting 493 13 2.6% 0.86 −210.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Blue Hero (CAN)from Michael Appleby 54 9 14 19 Oct 26

Ravenglass (IRE)from Richard Fahey 51 3 16 13 Oct 26

Diamondsinthesand (IRE)from John O'Shea 49 5 19 27 Aug 26

Pessoa (GB)from John Joseph Murphy 44 7 19 27 Apr 26

Flatley (GB) 37 5 8 13 Dec 25

Aces Wild (IRE)from Thomas Gallagher 34 7 17 29 Sep 26

Savalas (IRE)from Geoffrey Harker 33 4 7 22 Sep 25

Kenstone (FR)from David Dennis 31 2 12 7 Jan 25

Dappled Light (GB)from John Joseph Murphy 29 6 13 29 Sep 26

Monsieur Patat (GB)from Robyn Brisland 28 5 11 29 Sep 26

Soi Dao (IRE)from Micky Fenton 28 3 11 10 Oct 25

Angel On High (IRE)from Harry Dunlop 27 2 9 19 Aug 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 112 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 52 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Adam West (2) and Charlie Johnston (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

739414716105385

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderFinley Marsh

37% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Finley Marsh 444 50 11.3% −91.31

Tyler Heard 81 3 3.7% −59.47

Taryn Langley 78 9 11.5% −3.25

Joe Leavy 75 7 9.3% −15.67

Billy Loughnane 44 6 13.6% −2.17

David Probert 43 4 9.3% −16.59

Gina Mangan 37 2 5.4% −17.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

164

Archived wins

£1.17m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 26 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Vaunted (GB) — Betting.Bet Horse Racing Odds Bath Summer Sprint Series Final Handicap Bath · Sep 2024 · Class 2

£15,462

Kenstone (FR) — Boodles Roodee Challenge Cup Polo September Handicap Chester · Aug 2017 · Class 3

£12,450

Aces Wild (IRE) — Halliwell Jones Handicap (Div 1) Chester · Jul 2025 · Class 5

£7,731

Notable horses

Blue Hero (CAN) Kenstone (FR) Pessoa (GB) Aces Wild (IRE) Plansina (GB) Seaforth (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.5% · 9–95

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Kendargent (FR) 10.3% · 7–68

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,213 runs since 2008 (579 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 253.

Ardad (IRE) 15.2% · 10–66

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,502 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 8.2% · 5–61

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,778 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Air Force Blue (USA) 15.5% · 9–58

Progeny have won 7.6% of 314 runs since 2008 (26 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.6% from 111.

Twilight Son (GB) 15.8% · 9–57

Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,641 runs since 2008 (281 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.6% from 613.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,047 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,047 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2007 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Bath Blue Hero (CAN)J: Joe Leavy Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Redhot Whisper (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 4/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Blue Point Express (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Mooretown Lad (IRE)J: Jack Callan Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 22/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Legendsoftheland (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/4F

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Yokkell (IRE)J: Harry Davies Cavani Raceday Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 40/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ravenglass (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 14/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Havana Club (GB)J: Donagh Murphy Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 11/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Uncle Albert (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 40/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Eutropia (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 7th 7/2

08 Oct 26 Bath Thai Boxer (GB)J: George Wood Seat Unique EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 400/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Buck Barrow (GB)J: George Wood Your Elite Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 5th 17/2

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Our Dagger (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 2nd 3/1J

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Ten Club (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 4th 20/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sup Of Red (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 25/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Monsieur Patat (GB)J: Finley Marsh Clyde And Co Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 17/2

29 Sep 26 Bath Legendsoftheland (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Clyde And Co Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 100/30F

29 Sep 26 Bath Aces Wild (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Sw Hire Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 18/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Dappled Light (GB)J: Finley Marsh Ael Solutions Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 18/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Havana Club (GB)J: Donagh Murphy Ael Solutions Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adrian Wintle's strike rate?: Adrian Wintle has won 97 of 1,216 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adrian Wintle do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 27 wins from 235 runners (11.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Adrian Wintle?: Finley Marsh, with 444 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 50 (11.3%).
Is Adrian Wintle in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Adrian Wintle's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 1,210 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.