L Cendra
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (111 runs).
Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.18 and +6.60 to a £1 stake over 111 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Delphine Santiago rides 23% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.3% vs 6.9%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Soft going (15.6%, n=32). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1.6% over 61 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Oct.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 354 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 354 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 July 2005 to 3 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is L Cendra's strike rate?
- L Cendra has won 24 of 347 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does L Cendra do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 191 runners (7.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for L Cendra?
- Delphine Santiago, with 80 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (11.3%).
- Is L Cendra in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is L Cendra's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 344 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.