Skip to content
Trainer profile

Luca Morgan

10 runners in the last 5 seasons · 8 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 156 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–10
Wins / Runs
10%
Strike rate
n=10
1 (10%)
Placed
0.77
Fair A/E
n=10 · 0.68 incl. margin
−5.50
£1 level stake
n=10 at SP · −55.0%
£4,794
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
16.7%+6.7
n=6 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −1.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
16.7%+6.7
n=6 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −1.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−10.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 8 1 12.5% −3.50
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 5 0 0% −5.00
Soft 4 1 25% +0.50
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Leicester 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Cheltenham 2 0 0% −2.00
Newton Abbot 1 0 0% −1.00
Exeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00
Huntingdon 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 7 1 14.3% −2.50
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 3 1 33.3% 1.85 +1.50
4th–6th fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
7th+ in betting 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75% completed · 8 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 8 75% 0 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Just Lucky Sivola (FR)from Paul Nicholls 2 0 0 24 Feb 26
Perfect Pirate (GB)from Ben Pauling 2 0 0 24 May 24
J'envoievalserenki (FR)from Paul Nolan 1 0 0 19 May 26
Prince In The Park (IRE) 1 0 0 22 Mar 26
On Springs (IRE)from Ben Pauling 1 0 0 28 May 25
Cal Ok (IRE)then Ben Pauling 1 0 0 16 May 25
Givega (FR)from Gary Moore 1 1 1 13 Feb 25
Bigforyourboots (IRE)from Sam Allwood 1 0 0 3 May 24
All 8 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 8 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ben Pauling (2); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr James King 4 1 25% +0.50
Mr Sean O'Connor 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr S P O'Connor 1 0 0% −1.00
Toby McCain-Mitchell 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
1
Archived wins
£4,794
Prize money
2025
Best season · 1 win
Givega (FR) — Pointing Pointers Dick Saunders Novices' Hunters' Chase Leicester · Feb 2025 · Class 5
£3,027
Notable horses
Givega (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Noroit (GER) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.5% of 623 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.1% from 122.
Authorized (IRE) 100% · 1–1
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,021 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Buck's Boum (FR) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,361 runs since 2008 (175 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8% from 263.
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,788 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,837 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 10 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Luca Morgan's 10 archived runners, from 3 May 2024 to 19 May 2026, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 May 26 Huntingdon J'envoievalserenki (FR)J: Mr James King Tattersalls Online Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 11/1
22 Mar 26 Exeter Prince In The Park (IRE)J: Mr Sean O'Connor Greendale Farm Shop Point-To-Point Bumper Maiden NH Flat Race (Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 2/1F
24 Feb 26 Leicester Just Lucky Sivola (FR)J: Mr James King Quorn Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 8/1
12 Feb 26 Leicester Just Lucky Sivola (FR)J: Mr James King Pointing Pointers Dick And Pam Saunders Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Heavy · 5 ran PU 5/2
28 May 25 Newton Abbot On Springs (IRE)J: Mr Sean O'Connor Totnes And Bridgetown Chase Company Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 6 ran 4th 9/4C
16 May 25 Aintree Cal Ok (IRE)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Pendle Capital 'Point-To-Point' Bumper Standard NH Flat Race (Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 17f · Good · 17 ran 12th 40/1
13 Feb 25 Leicester Givega (FR)J: Mr James King Pointing Pointers Dick Saunders Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 7/2
24 May 24 Downpatrick Perfect Pirate (GB)J: Mr S P O'Connor Dennison Commercials Hunters Chase29f · Good · 9 ran 6th 18/1
03 May 24 Cheltenham Perfect Pirate (GB)J: Mr Sean O'Connor Molson Coors Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 32.5f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 22/1
03 May 24 Cheltenham Bigforyourboots (IRE)J: Mr Sean O'Connor Congratulations Keith And Michelle Smith Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Luca Morgan's strike rate?
Luca Morgan has won 1 of 10 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).