M Mescam
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.36). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 17% off breaks of two months or more (36 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 16.7% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.99). Damien Mescam rides 56% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.3% vs 13.2%, A/E 1.53) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (19.5%, n=41). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 9.8% over 61 runners, 3.4pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Montgomery Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2023, £65,708).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2017→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 287 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 287 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 November 2017 to 24 October 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is M Mescam's strike rate?
- M Mescam has won 14 of 106 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does M Mescam do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 80 runners (11.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for M Mescam?
- Damien Mescam, with 59 runners since 2022 — 56% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (15.3%).
- What is M Mescam's Fair A/E?
- 1.36, from 105 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.