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Trainer profile

M Mescam

106 runners in the last 5 seasons · 24 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2024 96% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
14–106
Wins / Runs
13.2%
Strike rate
n=106
34 (32%)
Placed
1.36
Fair A/E
n=105 · 1.13 incl. margin
+63.00
£1 level stake
n=105 at SP · +60.0%
£624k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.36). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 17% off breaks of two months or more (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 106 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 16.7% Damien Mescam: 15.3% from 59
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 16.7% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.99). Damien Mescam rides 56% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.3% vs 13.2%, A/E 1.53) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (19.5%, n=41). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 9.8% over 61 runners, 3.4pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Montgomery Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2023, £65,708).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
16.7%+3.5
n=36 · A/E 1.99 · £1 +43.80
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−13.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
8.3%−4.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%−4.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=14 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −10.40
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.5%−1.7
n=26 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −5.20
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.3%−7.9
n=19 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 19.5% vs 13.2% · n=41
With a new jockey booking 9.3% vs 13.2% · n=43
In Hurdle races 9.8% vs 13.2% · n=61
With Damien Mescam 15.3% vs 13.2% · n=59
At Auteuil (FR) 11.3% vs 13.2% · n=80 · A/E 1.29
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 61 6 9.8% −15.30
Chase 41 8 19.5% +82.30
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 54 7 13% +55.20
Soft 48 6 12.5% +10.80
Good to Soft 2 1 50% −1.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 80 9 11.3% +43.90
Compiegne (FR) 19 4 21.1% +25.10
Deauville (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Pau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Wissembourg (FR) 1 1 100% —
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 19 1 5.3% +20.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 2 13.3% 0.48 −11.40
2nd–3rd fav 11 2 18.2% 1.34 +0.50
4th–6th fav 20 3 15% 1.85 +6.70
7th+ in betting 59 6 10.2% 2.59 +67.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.3% completed · 102 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 41 90.2% 1 1 2 0 0
Hurdle 61 83.6% 2 1 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Iorana Vallis (FR)then Louisa Carberry 17 3 6 24 Oct 24
Blackfield (FR) 14 3 6 2 Dec 23
Java Du Large (FR) 12 0 3 17 Mar 24
Burrows Diane (FR)then Patrice Quinton 10 0 5 19 Oct 24
Obeone (FR) 7 2 2 8 Oct 23
Royal Devil (FR) 6 0 1 15 May 23
Rock Of Spirit (FR) 4 0 0 10 Feb 23
Flamme Rouge (FR) 4 0 1 30 Nov 22
Defi D'Oudairies (FR)from Mme A-S Pacault · then David Pipe 4 3 4 16 May 22
Iroise Vallis (FR) 3 1 1 28 Oct 23
Joie D'Or (FR) 3 0 0 8 Apr 23
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·020202580·201100
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDamien Mescam
56% of all rides
15.3% SR · A/E 1.53
RiderRWSR£1
Damien Mescam 59 9 15.3% +54.20
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
37
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£1.50m
Prize money
2019
Best season · 8 wins
Blackfield (FR) — Prix Montgomery (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2023 · Grade 3
£65,708
Iorana Vallis (FR) — Prix de la Rochelle (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Apr 2023
£43,805
Iorana Vallis (FR) — Prix Jean Victor (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2024
£43,043

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Martaline (GB) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,339 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Great Pretender (IRE) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 13% of 3,528 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Pastorius (GER) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 12.6% of 741 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17% from 106.
Hunter's Light (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,315 runs since 2008 (152 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.5% from 166. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 158. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.6% from 205. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.3% from 128.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,337 runs since 2008 (642 horses).
Muhtathir (GB) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,709 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 287 · newest first

The latest 50 of 287 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 November 2017 to 24 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Mescam's strike rate?
M Mescam has won 14 of 106 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Mescam do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 80 runners (11.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Mescam?
Damien Mescam, with 59 runners since 2022 — 56% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (15.3%).
What is M Mescam's Fair A/E?
1.36, from 105 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).